January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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HarrisonSasquatchWx
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

AbbyJr wrote: Wed Jan 29, 2025 9:37 pm The 00Z Euro does not disapoint. Continues to show a major region wide snowstorm beginning Saturday evening. I can sleep stress free tonight. :thumbup: :wave: :flakey:


ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-snow_24hr_kuchera_cm-8508400.png

ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-total_snow_kuchera_cm-8584000.png
Valley looks decent too. :clap: l'm staying off the AF for now too much drama there time to stay local. Things are lining up Knuckles back in a wildcard spot 3 wins in a row Slyts training is coming along looking good. Nice to see the gangs all back just missing afew characters Mountain man.
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Leighbugs »

wetcoast91 wrote: Wed Jan 29, 2025 8:08 pm My forecast is for a ton of snow.

We will need the military to help people out of their homes.
This is extra funny coming from you, Lord of The Pineapples. :lol: 🍍🍍🍍🤪
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wetcoast91
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Leighbugs wrote: Wed Jan 29, 2025 9:48 pm This is extra funny coming from you, Lord of The Pineapples. :lol: 🍍🍍🍍🤪
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AbbyJr
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Nice reload in the clown range. Look at that high latitude blocking. :shock: :shock: :shock:

ecmwf-deterministic-nhemi-z500_anom-9469600.png
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Central Abbotsford
50m (164ft)

2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm

:team: :snowwindow: :snowman:
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Michael1 wrote: Wed Jan 29, 2025 9:38 pm Again, stingy for SE island.perplexing
Weaker outflow means less enhancment. The trajectory of that low keeps you all dry slotted.
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

WeatherPro wrote: Wed Jan 29, 2025 9:13 pm One thing I forgot to mention is how different this scenario is going into this cold period. Normally you enter from a warm/cool rainy period, this time is very different. Almost all of January was dry and chilly, especially at night. So it's almost like a mini cool period has been around for a few weeks. I'm very interested to see if this affects the normal dynamics we see, or if it will be largely unaffected. I saw some pics on social media of frozen portions of farm fields in low lying areas. Also unusual without an actual arctic front. My curiosity is really excited to see the potential behavior of the weather over the next several days! :thumbup:
Thank you for all your posts WPro! I agree..lots of low level, established cold already in place and the wet bulb factor. Exciting days ahead but i think some local snowzone areas we will be getting hammmmerd with snow over the next several days :hearteyes: :hearteyes:
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
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AbbyJr
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Nordelian wrote: Wed Jan 29, 2025 9:09 pm Snow depth maps would be more accurate to show what actually is on the ground. A lot of these totals maps will have mixing in between and sublimation or impaction and are not reflective of what actually accumulates.
To some degree but the kuchera maps are pretty good. They try to account for different snow ratios. But the snow depth maps are a good indicator of how much snow will be on the ground when factoring in compacting and or melting during the day. So they serve an important purpose. :thumbup: :flakey:
Central Abbotsford
50m (164ft)

2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm

:team: :snowwindow: :snowman:
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AbbyJr
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

The 00Z Euro continues to show a long duration cold snap. Any snow that falls on the weekend would be on the ground at least a week. :D :flakey:

ecmwf-deterministic-CYXX-daily_tmin_tmax-8195200.png
ecmwf-deterministic-CWZA-daily_tmin_tmax-8195200.png
ecmwf-deterministic-CWMM-daily_tmin_tmax-8195200.png
ecmwf-deterministic-CWHC-daily_tmin_tmax-8195200.png
ecmwf-deterministic-CYVR-daily_tmin_tmax-8195200.png
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Central Abbotsford
50m (164ft)

2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm

:team: :snowwindow: :snowman:
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Slytyguy »

SouthSardiswx wrote: Wed Jan 29, 2025 9:38 pm Valley looks decent too. :clap: l'm staying off the AF for now too much drama there time to stay local. Things are lining up Knuckles back in a wildcard spot 3 wins in a row Slyts training is coming along looking good. Nice to see the gangs all back just missing afew characters Mountain man.
Well said!
-Sardis #greatdaytobeaduck
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tyweather
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by tyweather »

WeatherPro wrote: Wed Jan 29, 2025 9:31 pm Hello, when will you be biking through Edmonton? :lol:
I have my studded tires at the ready
Why not try cycling to work, grocery store, anywhere!
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Rubus_Leucodermis
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

:thumbup: 00Z Euro looks good.
ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-snow_24hr_kuchera_cm-8540800.png
ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-snow_24hr_kuchera_cm-8627200.png
ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-snow_48hr_cm-8627200.png
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It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

NAM 3km hinting at flurry action by early Saturday morning.
nam-nest-vancouverski-snow_24hr_kuchera_cm-8411200.png
nam-nest-vancouverski-t925-8411200.png
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It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: Wed Jan 29, 2025 11:00 pm NAM 3km hinting at flurry action by early Saturday morning.

nam-nest-vancouverski-snow_24hr_kuchera_cm-8411200.png
nam-nest-vancouverski-t925-8411200.png
Wow that's a good map it looks like East Van Hill is in the darker shade of gray :thumbup:
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

00Z GFS not looking too shabby either.
gfs-deterministic-vancouverski-snow_24hr_kuchera_cm-8540800.png
gfs-deterministic-vancouverski-snow_24hr_kuchera_cm-8627200.png
gfs-deterministic-vancouverski-snow_48hr_cm-8627200.png
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It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hound »

AbbyJr wrote: Wed Jan 29, 2025 10:12 pm The 00Z Euro continues to show a long duration cold snap. Any snow that falls on the weekend would be on the ground at least a week. :D :flakey:

Image


Image


Image
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