February 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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HarrisonSasquatchWx
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Re: February 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

I'm bored l've got dick all for snow to look at or play in so l'm trying to help Neetzz look for undercutting potential it's always 10 days away.. :D
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
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Re: February 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Just looked at the Euro and GFS and looks like the next round of Fraser outflow starts Monday afternoon or evening.

Gradual moderation is already underway but looks chilly until then with mins around -10˚C on the clear nights (not all nights will be clear). Maxes around +1 or +2˚C. No big melt in the foreseeable future.

Temps have not been extraordinarily cold but this cold snap is shaping up to be noteworthy for its duration.

Next chance for moisture seems to be Saturday morning. ECMWF, GFS, and NAM 3km show some light snow then. Will probably be patchy/showery.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: February 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Typeing3 wrote: Thu Feb 06, 2025 6:36 am Temps will pop above freezing in Metro Vancouver this afternoon, likely around 2c or 3c.

Looks fairly clear later on so tonight will be cold! Perhaps another -10c reading in east Coquitlam. :think:
Hopefully the cold stays trapped in the valley today. I'd like to at least stay slightly below freezing. 8-) :wave:
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Re: February 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Just no juice in the Northern stream.

MJO entering phase 7 and probably phase 8.
Means the :dancepine: is coming in 7-10 days. GFS shows gradual moderation into AR. CMC shows a potentially significant AR overrunning event. :flakey:

Euro weeklies and CFS bring the cold back towards early March.
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Re: February 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

AbbyJr wrote: Thu Feb 06, 2025 8:49 am Hopefully the cold stays trapped in the valley today. I'd like to at least stay slightly below freezing. 8-) :wave:
Just waiting for Neetzz to say southerlies kick in today Jr. Man. :lol:
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
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Re: February 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

Forrest Gump wrote: Wed Feb 05, 2025 9:30 pm Watching the snow come down while celebrating my birthday at Milestones was a nice bonus. Added another 2cm out of the deal.
Did someone say more surprises are possible overnight?
Happy birthday :wave:
All about them Cowboys !!! 🤠 🤠
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Re: February 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

wetcoast91 wrote: Thu Feb 06, 2025 8:49 am Just no juice in the Northern stream.

MJO entering phase 7 and probably phase 8.
Means the :dancepine: is coming in 7-10 days. GFS shows gradual moderation into AR. CMC shows a potentially significant AR overrunning event. :flakey:

Euro weeklies and CFS bring the cold back towards early March.
Can't discount the old TurdFuS right Neato.
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
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Re: February 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

wetcoast91 wrote: Thu Feb 06, 2025 8:49 am Just no juice in the Northern stream.

MJO entering phase 7 and probably phase 8.
Means the :dancepine: is coming in 7-10 days. GFS shows gradual moderation into AR. CMC shows a potentially significant AR overrunning event. :flakey:

Euro weeklies and CFS bring the cold back towards early March.
And given that we are already five days into the cold snap, that will make for a remarkably long-playing one.

:dancepine: always wins in the end. Of course it’s coming.
Last edited by Rubus_Leucodermis on Thu Feb 06, 2025 9:05 am, edited 1 time in total.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: February 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Flurries! Now on my sixth consecutive day with with recorded snowfall.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: February 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Kinda nice not having a bird flapping around here this morning. It's currently -4.0c @ the pond in south Sardis.
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
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Re: February 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Storm »

wetcoast91 wrote: Thu Feb 06, 2025 8:49 am Just no juice in the Northern stream.

MJO entering phase 7 and probably phase 8.
Means the :dancepine: is coming in 7-10 days. GFS shows gradual moderation into AR. CMC shows a potentially significant AR overrunning event. :flakey:

Euro weeklies and CFS bring the cold back towards early March.
:roll:
gfs_T850_nwus_fh312-348.gif
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Last edited by Storm on Thu Feb 06, 2025 9:12 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: February 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: Thu Feb 06, 2025 9:00 am And given that we are already five days into the cold snap, that will make for a remarkably long-playing one.

:dancepine: always wins in the end. Of course it’s coming.
2 week cold snap with snow on the ground is pretty impressive. :thumbup:

The GFS tries to rebuild that NPAC ridge after that :dancepine: and puts us in a NW flow. :o
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Re: February 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Storm »

Euro brings some snow Saturday morning.
floop-ecmwf_full-2025020612.prateptype_cat_ecmwf-imp.us_nw.gif
sn10_acc-imp.us_nw.png
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Re: February 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Storm wrote: Thu Feb 06, 2025 9:11 am :roll:
gfs_T850_nwus_fh312-348.gif
I actually do not see any significant warming until April. I could see us feeding into a ton more moisture in March for plenty of Mountain :flakey:

La Nina is kicking into gear.
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Re: February 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Storm »

Here's another one.
C8DF85DC-1EF5-4BD0-92D4-4C16B9D33EC0.thumb.png.13ed7901017f5d7a0e3dc241f2b5e6cc.png
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