October 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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stuffradio
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Re: October 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

HarrisonSasquatchWx wrote: ↑Sun Oct 26, 2025 8:16 pm You mean @ the pond Mr. New Sardis man? :o :wtf:
Yes 😊
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Typeing3
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Re: October 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

12z GFS ensembles:
ens_image (30).png
12z ECWMF ensembles:
ens_image (31).png
12z GEM ensembles:
ens_image (32).png



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20251027050808-2c3a34a576cc295437aae75c1001384a3b7d5260.png
20251027050757-4da2bfdd86b69f7a4cfb21751f64c31039cb62d4.png
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:typing: :type3:
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#MrJanuary :geek: 8-)
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Hawk
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Re: October 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Typeing3 wrote: ↑Sun Oct 26, 2025 10:09 pm 12z GFS ensembles:
ens_image (30).png
12z ECWMF ensembles:
ens_image (31).png
12z GEM ensembles:
ens_image (32).png




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20251027050808-2c3a34a576cc295437aae75c1001384a3b7d5260.png
20251027050757-4da2bfdd86b69f7a4cfb21751f64c31039cb62d4.png
wow. This clearly shows yet another troff incoming around Nov 3 :shock:
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
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Abby_wx
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Re: October 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Abby_wx »

Got down to 5.7C this morning.

When did 70% become a "chance"... would that not be "showers likely"?

Capture3.PNG
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:dragon:

Fall/Winter 2025/26
Low min: -5.0C (Feb 20th)
Low max: 2.8C (Feb 19th)
Snowfall: 3 cm
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Re: October 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

Abby_wx wrote: ↑Mon Oct 27, 2025 9:56 am Got down to 5.7C this morning.

When did 70% become a "chance"... would that not be "showers likely"?


Capture3.PNG
That's a 30% chance it doesn't rain :)
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HarrisonSasquatchWx
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Re: October 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Abby_wx wrote: ↑Mon Oct 27, 2025 9:56 am Got down to 5.7C this morning.

When did 70% become a "chance"... would that not be "showers likely"?


Capture3.PNG
Terminology Abby Sr. when E.C. went to the % system in the early 80's l thought great we will know how much of a chance for snow now they seem to use it as a crutch since there wrong more than half the time. Now l like the chance of or likely wording that the Americans use. :D
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
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HarrisonSasquatchWx
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Re: October 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

stuffradio wrote: ↑Mon Oct 27, 2025 10:58 am That's a 30% chance it doesn't rain :)
Or a 70% chance it won't rain perhaps.
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
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HarrisonSasquatchWx
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Re: October 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Harrison weather today.
IMG_20251027_115716979.jpg
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Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
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wetcoast91
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Re: October 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

November = :dancepine: :dance: :dancepine:

Crazy to see the pattern return to a Baffin/Hudson vortex + west coast amplification once November hits.
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Re: October 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

wetcoast91 wrote: ↑Mon Oct 27, 2025 2:52 pm November = :dancepine: :dance: :dancepine:

Crazy to see the pattern return to a Baffin/Hudson vortex + west coast amplification once November hits.
long range = ~20-30% chance. I wouldnt get too excited yet. You know the drill, models flippin n floppn.
Go Jays Go!! :shh:
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
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Canada Goose
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Re: October 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Canada Goose »

wetcoast91 wrote: ↑Mon Oct 27, 2025 2:52 pm November = :dancepine: :dance: :dancepine:

Crazy to see the pattern return to a Baffin/Hudson vortex + west coast amplification once November hits.
I'll believe it when I see it.
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HarrisonSasquatchWx
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Re: October 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Canada Goose wrote: ↑Mon Oct 27, 2025 3:32 pm I'll believe it when I see it.
:lol: Nice diss Cpt. Goose. :D it's currently 10.2c @ the lake in Harrison.
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
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HarrisonSasquatchWx
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Re: October 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Heading south from Harrison Hot Springs. :wave:
IMG_20251027_173442622.jpg
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Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
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Rubus_Leucodermis
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Re: October 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Looks like some folks to the east of the city got convective showers this afternoon. Stayed dry here. Just as well, I was out and about on my bike sans rain gear. Taken at around 4:40 pm just east of the Knight Street Bridge.
P1110288_scaled.jpg
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It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: October 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by John »

Very winter like feeling weather this morning snow line is way down. December like. This winter might be epic
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