December 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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AbbyJr
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Re: December 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: Thu Dec 04, 2025 8:17 pm It came so close to flooding in 2021. It would have flooded if locals hadn’t volunteered and built a temporary barrier to keep the water out.

https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/british- ... -1.6294127
Here's a few excerpts from the article:
  • Four Abbotsford-area neighbours are being recognized for their early work helping to save the Barrowtown pump station after it was nearly swamped by floodwaters during November's deadly and destructive storms.
  • "If the pumps were overtaken by water, they would have had to shut them down and evacuate all the [station] staff," said Doug Kasper.
  • "Had that pump station swamped, we would be talking about 10 feet of water over the highway and it would be there for a year" said Braun at the time. "They did a heroic job, I'm so proud of them."
The November 2021 flood was already a major disaster but had it not been for those volunteers, the flood would have been significantly worse. I sure hope those volunteers got a massive financial reward for saving lives and preventing a natural disaster from becoming an apocalyptic nightmare.
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Typeing3
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Re: December 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

AbbyJr wrote: Thu Dec 04, 2025 8:59 pm The 00Z GFS has backed off on next weekends AR but still shows significant rainfall. Looks like a 24hr event now versus the 48hr deluge shown on the 18Z run. Also, it shows much higher totals over Victoria than Abbotsford, which is quite unusual. Either way, looks very wet next week. :wave: :raindrip:


gfs-deterministic-vancouverski-precip_24hr_mm-5584000.png
In the more recent future... next Monday looks wet!

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gfs_apcpn24_nwus_15.png
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Re: December 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Next Wednesday in Washington and Oregon... :raindrip:
gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_22.png
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Re: December 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

00z ICON and GEM look great for ths ducks next Monday.
:dancepine: :dance: :dancepine:
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Re: December 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

HarrisonSasquatchWx wrote: Thu Dec 04, 2025 9:16 pm What a B.S. start to meteorological winter ready to pack it in. :x
Huh? Fish, it’s December 4th, it’s going to be okay and it will probably snow at some point this winter.
Spring/Summer :sick: Fall/Winter :thumbup:

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AbbyJr
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Re: December 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Typeing3 wrote: Thu Dec 04, 2025 9:20 pm In the more recent future... next Monday looks wet!


gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_16.png
gfs_apcpn24_nwus_15.png
I don't think we're avoiding it. The first half of December looks extremely wet. Hopefully we can score an arctic blast late month or in January. :silent: :wave:
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Re: December 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

AbbyJr wrote: Thu Dec 04, 2025 9:52 pm I don't think we're avoiding it. The first half of December looks extremely wet. Hopefully we can score an arctic blast late month or in January. :silent: :wave:
I think it's coming. But yeah late December earliest at this point. This pattern needs to just burn itself out.
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Re: December 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by John »

PortKells wrote: Thu Dec 04, 2025 9:57 pm I think it's coming. But yeah late December earliest at this point. This pattern needs to just burn itself out.
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Re: December 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

i bought new wiper blades yesterday :|
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
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Re: December 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

:alert:
The good news is the 06z GFS has settled on the repeated AR's thru mid December, instead offering chillier solutions in the mid and LR.
The bad news is its the GFS :lol: :lol:
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
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Re: December 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Storm »

Hawk wrote: Fri Dec 05, 2025 6:53 am :alert:
The good news is the 06z GFS has settled on the repeated AR's thru mid December, instead offering chillier solutions in the mid and LR.
The bad news is its the GFS :lol: :lol:
Euro has been very disappointing the last couple of years.
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Re: December 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

the models are great to look at, but none of them can accurately predict what will happen 5-6 days+. Nothing new really. So basically as of today, who knows what will really be happening on Dec 11+ right? Lets hope for the best, as the models keep struggling!

:14clown: :14clown:
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
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Re: December 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Abby_wx »

Very dark out there this morning.

Light rain/drizzle and 5C. Seems to be the default condition lately.
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Re: December 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

You see zero signs of any prolonged cold the rest of the month. Looks like a backloaded winter is on tap. Hopefully a wet and cool Feb/March to deliver a healthy Mountain snowpack
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Re: December 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Storm »

wetcoast91 wrote: Fri Dec 05, 2025 10:10 am You see zero signs of any prolonged cold the rest of the month. Looks like a backloaded winter is on tap. Hopefully a wet and cool Feb/March to deliver a healthy Mountain snowpack
The 🤴 has spoken.
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