February 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
Post Reply
User avatar
Typeing3
Weather Psycho
Weather Psycho
Posts: 14198
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:02 pm
Location: Coquitlam
Elevation: 25M./80Ft.
Has thanked: 26799 times
Been thanked: 28396 times

Re: February 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

12z GFS ensembles:
ens_image (36).png
12z ECMWF ensembles:
ens_image (37).png
12z GEM ensembles:
ens_image (38).png



--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
20260209015339-330db3632b27b1275fe690bc729aeb68352f06d5.png
20260209015324-45a11cf11a7a2f18f8acdff45d70d6863579edb9.png
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
:typing: :type3:
East Coquitlam
Elevation 25M (80Ft)
#MrJanuary :geek: 8-)
User avatar
Hawk
Total Weather Geek
Total Weather Geek
Posts: 8630
Joined: Mon Feb 18, 2019 6:45 pm
Location: Langley-Willoughby/The Similkameeeens
Elevation: 100m/950m
Has thanked: 17152 times
Been thanked: 8328 times

Re: February 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

06gfs says :shock: :shock: at around Feb 19-24 for some snowy actions :clap: :clap:
once again, only 10-15 days away, but at least its only 10 days this time. Baby steps buttees for some slushfestivals upcoming :thumbup: with higher sun angles
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
User avatar
Rubus_Leucodermis
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 6344
Joined: Thu Nov 21, 2019 5:48 pm
Location: Vancouver
Elevation: 70 m / 230 ft
Has thanked: 4874 times
Been thanked: 12959 times

Re: February 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Hawk wrote: Mon Feb 09, 2026 5:30 am 06gfs says :shock: :shock: at around Feb 19-24 for some snowy actions :clap: :clap:
once again, only 10-15 days away, but at least its only 10 days this time. Baby steps buttees for some slushfestivals upcoming :thumbup: with higher sun angles
Everyone knows my skepticism about March, but even late February can deliver. Have seen it happen many times. We shall see. I will take it seriously if the Euro comes on board and both then stay on board within day five.
It's called clown range for a reason.
User avatar
tyweather
Model Rider
Model Rider
Posts: 1869
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:39 pm
Location: Newton, Surrey, EL. 70m
Has thanked: 84 times
Been thanked: 4244 times

Re: February 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by tyweather »

Portland snow dumps?

Image
Why not try cycling to work, grocery store, anywhere!
User avatar
stuffradio
Site Admin
Site Admin
Posts: 3127
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:07 pm
Location: Maple Ridge
Has thanked: 5010 times
Been thanked: 7526 times
Contact:

Re: February 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: Mon Feb 09, 2026 7:31 am Everyone knows my skepticism about March, but even late February can deliver. Have seen it happen many times. We shall see. I will take it seriously if the Euro comes on board and both then stay on board within day five.
Early March can deliver some snow.
User avatar
Typeing3
Weather Psycho
Weather Psycho
Posts: 14198
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:02 pm
Location: Coquitlam
Elevation: 25M./80Ft.
Has thanked: 26799 times
Been thanked: 28396 times

Re: February 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

stuffradio wrote: Mon Feb 09, 2026 9:40 am Early March can deliver some snow.
Apparently a March anti-snow globe follows @Rubus around wherever he lives. :lol:
:typing: :type3:
East Coquitlam
Elevation 25M (80Ft)
#MrJanuary :geek: 8-)
User avatar
Typeing3
Weather Psycho
Weather Psycho
Posts: 14198
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:02 pm
Location: Coquitlam
Elevation: 25M./80Ft.
Has thanked: 26799 times
Been thanked: 28396 times

Re: February 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Hawk wrote: Mon Feb 09, 2026 5:30 am 06gfs says :shock: :shock: at around Feb 19-24 for some snowy actions :clap: :clap:
once again, only 10-15 days away, but at least its only 10 days this time. Baby steps buttees for some slushfestivals upcoming :thumbup: with higher sun angles
Some significant snowstorms (non-slush events) in late February during recent times. 2023, 2018, 2014, and 2011. It can happen!
:typing: :type3:
East Coquitlam
Elevation 25M (80Ft)
#MrJanuary :geek: 8-)
User avatar
Hawk
Total Weather Geek
Total Weather Geek
Posts: 8630
Joined: Mon Feb 18, 2019 6:45 pm
Location: Langley-Willoughby/The Similkameeeens
Elevation: 100m/950m
Has thanked: 17152 times
Been thanked: 8328 times

Re: February 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Ya it’s snowed here lots in March Rubus…some exceptional snowfalls. And I’m not lying
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
User avatar
Hawk
Total Weather Geek
Total Weather Geek
Posts: 8630
Joined: Mon Feb 18, 2019 6:45 pm
Location: Langley-Willoughby/The Similkameeeens
Elevation: 100m/950m
Has thanked: 17152 times
Been thanked: 8328 times

Re: February 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Typeing3 wrote: Mon Feb 09, 2026 9:54 am Some significant snowstorms (non-slush events) in late February during recent times. 2023, 2018, 2014, and 2011. It can happen!
Ya I know. but the way this winter has been I can’t imagine we’re gonna score some late season snow :think:
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
User avatar
PortKells
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 7726
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 4:08 pm
Location: Port Kells
Elevation: 78m
Has thanked: 589 times
Been thanked: 13671 times

Re: February 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

It’s really close but the mechanism to drive it far enough south just isn’t materializing on the AIFS, aka the GOAT.
User avatar
tyweather
Model Rider
Model Rider
Posts: 1869
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:39 pm
Location: Newton, Surrey, EL. 70m
Has thanked: 84 times
Been thanked: 4244 times

Re: February 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by tyweather »

Cypress has managed fairly well to keep terrain open compared to Grouse. Grouse only has the peak chair and beginner areas by the chalet open. Cypress has both main chairs open, beginner chair and Sky chair open today. I see today that the blue run on Lions is now closed after this weekend's rain but it was open on Friday and there weren't any visible rocks/ bare areas. It's finally snowing again on the mountains today!
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
Why not try cycling to work, grocery store, anywhere!
User avatar
tyweather
Model Rider
Model Rider
Posts: 1869
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:39 pm
Location: Newton, Surrey, EL. 70m
Has thanked: 84 times
Been thanked: 4244 times

Re: February 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by tyweather »

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Ensemble guidance remains in strong agreement that the brief
break will indeed not last long, as the next disturbance will
already be approaching by late Thursday. This will bring another
round of precipitation chances, but with fairly good agreement
in the ensembles that the system will be focused well to our
south, this looks to preclude widespread impacts but just a
passing focus for additional precipitation (in the form of
lowland rain and mountain snow). Nearly all of the ensemble
members favor a deeper trough by the end of the weekend that
suggest a very high (>80%) likelihood of a colder and wet
pattern taking shape late in the weekend.
Why not try cycling to work, grocery store, anywhere!
User avatar
PortKells
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 7726
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 4:08 pm
Location: Port Kells
Elevation: 78m
Has thanked: 589 times
Been thanked: 13671 times

Re: February 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Looking good in the mountains at least. I want to ski at least once this season. Even cross country at Manning would be nice.
ecmwf-aifs-all-vancouverski-total_snow_10to1_cm-1934400.png
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
User avatar
PortKells
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 7726
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 4:08 pm
Location: Port Kells
Elevation: 78m
Has thanked: 589 times
Been thanked: 13671 times

Re: February 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Not sure why Nito is down on the mountain snow pattern here. Looks good on the GOAT ensembles.
ecmwf-aifs-ensemble-avg-or_wa-total_snow_10to1-1934400.png
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
User avatar
Typeing3
Weather Psycho
Weather Psycho
Posts: 14198
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:02 pm
Location: Coquitlam
Elevation: 25M./80Ft.
Has thanked: 26799 times
Been thanked: 28396 times

Re: February 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

PortKells wrote: Mon Feb 09, 2026 11:36 am Not sure why Nito is down on the mountain snow pattern here. Looks good on the GOAT ensembles.

ecmwf-aifs-ensemble-avg-or_wa-total_snow_10to1-1934400.png
Local mountains will pick up 20cm by end of day.
:typing: :type3:
East Coquitlam
Elevation 25M (80Ft)
#MrJanuary :geek: 8-)
Post Reply