February 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

[wetcoast91]

Not sure why Nito is down on the mountain snow pattern here. Looks good on the GOAT ensembles.

ecmwf-aifs-ensemble-avg-or_wa-total_snow_10to1-1934400.png

Some runs keep showing a weak split flow and send more precip either North or South. Many runs were showing a better outlook for the mountains a few days ago.

[Rubus_Leucodermis]

Apparently a March anti-snow globe follows @Rubus around wherever he lives.

I was willing to give March a chance until a couple years ago when there was a really good pattern for lowland snow in late Feb/early March. Actually got a decent dump in late Feb. Then March 1st rolls around and nothing but slushy rain at best falls, while the western lowlands of Oregon score big. I think even Redding, CA scored. It was then that I knew.

It will not snow significantly IMBY next month. You can take it to the bank.

[HarrisonSasquatchWx]

Who the heck is Bad Bunny. what did l watch yesterday during the Super bowl halftime show. it's currently 8c @ the lake in Harrison Hot Springs.

[Typeing3]

12z GFS ensembles:

ens_image (39).png

12z ECMWF ensembles:

ens_image (40).png

12z GEM ensembles:

ens_image (41).png

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[HarrisonSasquatchWx]

12z GFS ensembles:
ens_image (39).png
12z ECMWF ensembles:
ens_image (40).png
12z GEM ensembles:
ens_image (41).png




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20260209233238-d9290f68bcb4e96602b88268ad8a8ef6300349e0.png

Hmmm... Models coming in a little chillier by the weekend. EL Pineapple will deny it.

[Hawk]

I was willing to give March a chance until a couple years ago when there was a really good pattern for lowland snow in late Feb/early March. Actually got a decent dump in late Feb. Then March 1st rolls around and nothing but slushy rain at best falls, while the western lowlands of Oregon score big. I think even Redding, CA scored. It was then that I knew.

It will not snow significantly IMBY next month. You can take it

Oops delete this post thx

[Hawk]

I was willing to give March a chance until a couple years ago when there was a really good pattern for lowland snow in late Feb/early March. Actually got a decent dump in late Feb. Then March 1st rolls around and nothing but slushy rain at best falls, while the western lowlands of Oregon score big. I think even Redding, CA scored. It was then that I knew.

It will not snow significantly IMBY next month. You can take it to the bank.

Easy Rubus..if it’s March, it’s better than a 0cm winter. We’ve had lots of snow in march. Your regional jinx will get crushed here one year. Take that to the same bank

[Rubus_Leucodermis]

Only a few double digits this afternoon.

Abbotsford 9.4°C
Agassiz 7.8°C
Burns Bog 10.0°C
Hope 7.7°C
Langley 9.9°C
MBY 8.2˚C
Pitt Meadows 8.8°C
Squamish 6.9°C
Vancouver Harbour 7.3°C
Vancouver YVR 9.6°C
West Vancouver 6.7°C
White Rock 10.1°C

[PortKells]

Who the heck is Bad Bunny. what did l watch yesterday during the Super bowl halftime show. it's currently 8c @ the lake in Harrison Hot Springs.

Wasn’t the worst IMO! I like more traditional Latin music like salsa but the more pop version was fun. Wish I knew more Spanish, it’s a nice language.

[wetcoast91]

Another lousy GFS run bringing 30-40cm of snow to the hills over the next 10 days. I remember runs last week showing 100+cm

[PortKells]

Another lousy GFS run bringing 30-40cm of snow to the hills over the next 10 days. I remember runs last week showing 100+cm

Why are you looking at junk models...

ecmwf-aifs-all-vancouverski-total_snow_10to1_cm-1977600.png

[HarrisonSasquatchWx]

Why are you looking at junk models...
ecmwf-aifs-all-vancouverski-total_snow_10to1_cm-1977600.png

[HarrisonSasquatchWx]

Wasn’t the worst IMO! I like more traditional Latin music like salsa but the more pop version was fun. Wish I knew more Spanish, it’s a nice language.

Was that Lady Gaga for like 2 min at the end.

[AbbyJr]

Why are you looking at junk models...
ecmwf-aifs-all-vancouverski-total_snow_10to1_cm-1977600.png

To be fair, all models are fantasy 300hrs+ out. But I do think there is a credible chance of a cool down and some low elevation snow late month.

[Hawk]

EC is showing pretty chilly temps for Abby over the next 7 days = slushfestival possible


and the NWS is similar, while mentioning the split flow like TheNito was saying:
given the overall precipitation chances and amounts (along with temperatures near the surface),
it remains very unlikely (less than 5%) for any accumulations