March 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Weather101
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Re: March 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

PortKells wrote: Sat Mar 14, 2026 11:31 am Climate looking as normal as ever.

eps_T2ma_namer_28.png
Very normal !!! :thumbdown:
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Re: March 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

PortKells wrote: Sat Mar 14, 2026 12:21 pm The cold east has overshadowed how incredibly warm the Lower 48 have been this winter. I can't remember if I read it was warmest on record but very close. This is how the facts get skewed - a couple fairly normal cold snaps, in a historical context, gets tons of headlines. But extreme warmth overall gets approximately the same attention or less. Like in the arctic, where we are seeing the lowest sea ice extent on record, not to mention sea ice volume and thickness. Potentially for the lowest minima on record here heading into an El Nino. People have no clue what kind of chaos this system is capable of, on top of what's already happening.

All this on top of the food crisis that's coming as a result of the war, and the drought that's causing lakes to dry up upstream of the breadbasket of California (I know it's not necessarily grain they're known for but w/e).
Great post :clap: nailed it
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Re: March 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Wuta tremendous troffy day, legit. It was def looking like another round of precip, and with plummeting dew points, wet snow was possible..and it was legit wet snowing at sea level it Pitt meadows around 3:30-4pm. That cell moving E is impressive.

Not only does it snow in March on multiple occasions, but it accumulates as well. And then we have snow falling at 8C :shock: :shock:

Rubus has had so many victories in March! Curse has been defeated :clap: :clap:
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
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Re: March 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

I have had snow showers on and off today but nothing accumulating.
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Re: March 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

stuffradio wrote: Sat Mar 14, 2026 4:37 pm I have had snow showers on and off today but nothing accumulating.
I was out in Hope today :D driving into Hope via #7 there were some patches of snow as you cross the bridge over the Fraser also afew wet snow showers leaving Hope via #7. :wave:
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Re: March 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by John »

Junior or anyone else for that matter, where are the potential flood updates for next week?
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Re: March 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

John wrote: Sat Mar 14, 2026 5:49 pm Junior or anyone else for that matter, where are the potential flood updates for next week?
Don't worry John your not in a flood plane. :wave:
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Re: March 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by tyweather »

From FB John Scheve

Map: February 2026 running monthly average of atmospheric 2 meter height temperature anomalies for the date.

It is absolutely stunning and horrifying given the over 4 decades long trend of massively disparate warming of the Arctic that northern hemisphere mid latitude interiors of continents had higher temperature anomalies (that reached incredible values of + 4 to + 6 degrees C or + 7 to + 11 degrees F) than did almost all of the Arctic for this past month. Stratospheric warming events should have also produced the opposite of what shows up here. Similar is happening in southern hemisphere but to lesser degree.

I think major atmospheric circulation changes induced by crossing some threshold of polar region warming are now warming the mid latitude interiors. What happens in the polar regions may not stay in the polar regions. If this development becomes a long term trend the impacts will be catastrophic and it won’t take long: crops will fail, water supplies will dry up, and millions of people could perish - in just a few years.

I’m astonished at the acceleration now of the feedback cascade. This warming shift to the mid latitudes and global ocean surface warming now appear to be tipping points that could lead to our own extinction, or even Extinction Level Events by themselves.
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Re: March 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

tyweather wrote: Sat Mar 14, 2026 6:30 pm From FB John Scheve

Map: February 2026 running monthly average of atmospheric 2 meter height temperature anomalies for the date.

It is absolutely stunning and horrifying given the over 4 decades long trend of massively disparate warming of the Arctic that northern hemisphere mid latitude interiors of continents had higher temperature anomalies (that reached incredible values of + 4 to + 6 degrees C or + 7 to + 11 degrees F) than did almost all of the Arctic for this past month. Stratospheric warming events should have also produced the opposite of what shows up here. Similar is happening in southern hemisphere but to lesser degree.

I think major atmospheric circulation changes induced by crossing some threshold of polar region warming are now warming the mid latitude interiors. What happens in the polar regions may not stay in the polar regions. If this development becomes a long term trend the impacts will be catastrophic and it won’t take long: crops will fail, water supplies will dry up, and millions of people could perish - in just a few years.

I’m astonished at the acceleration now of the feedback cascade. This warming shift to the mid latitudes and global ocean surface warming now appear to be tipping points that could lead to our own extinction, or even Extinction Level Events by themselves.
The best way to proceed forward right now is to find a place that will be less likely to flood or burn down, but also a place that has a temperate climate along with multiple fresh water sources...
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Re: March 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by John »

wetcoast91 wrote: Sat Mar 14, 2026 8:27 pm The best way to proceed forward right now is to find a place that will be less likely to flood or burn down, but also a place that has a temperate climate along with multiple fresh water sources...
Some of this is a bit exaggerated imo.
Global warming sucks but it does beat the opposite I think.
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Re: March 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

John wrote: Sat Mar 14, 2026 8:34 pm Some of this is a bit exaggerated imo.
Global warming sucks but it does beat the opposite I think.
l feel safe in the Harrison Lake valley it has a lot of what Nito says going for it. :thumbup: :clap:
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Re: March 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Roberts Creeker »

stuffradio wrote: Sat Mar 14, 2026 4:37 pm I have had snow showers on and off today but nothing accumulating.
Nice! We had a lovely sunny, blue sky with fluffy white clouds day. It was beautiful but not at all snowy.
:team: :flakey: :flakey:

Snow total: 1cm Dec 24, 1cm Feb 19
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Re: March 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

John wrote: Sat Mar 14, 2026 8:34 pm Some of this is a bit exaggerated imo.
Global warming sucks but it does beat the opposite I think.
I don’t necessarily agree but I understand the reasons for thinking this way.

Also if by opposite you mean global cooling…yes that would suck too. But the old, relatively stable climate of pre industrial times was the cream. Wish we could go back but the genie is out of he bottle.
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Re: March 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by John »

Rainfall warning for Squamish but not for the valley seems strange but maybe still coming
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Re: March 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

John wrote: Sun Mar 15, 2026 5:05 am Rainfall warning for Squamish but not for the valley seems strange but maybe still coming
Trajectory of AR is going to favour more precip for the North Shore and Howe Sound areas. Unfortunately the GFS runs have upped totals for alpine areas...up to 350mm.
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