December 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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John
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Re: December 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by John »

Canadian is better
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Re: December 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Storm »

AbbyJr wrote: Sat Dec 28, 2019 8:57 am :lol: :lol: :lol: And El Nito returns as soon as we get one warmer run. :clap:
Operational is warm outlier for the period in ?????. Next
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Re: December 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by tyweather »

View from Vanderhoof. My father in law made a beautiful drink on the pond.
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Why not try cycling to work, grocery store, anywhere!
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Re: December 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by John »

Storm wrote: Sat Dec 28, 2019 9:00 am Operational is warm outlier for the period in ?????. Next
Proof?
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Re: December 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

John wrote: Sat Dec 28, 2019 9:01 amProof?
gfs-vancouver-ca-49n-123.jpeg
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Re: December 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Storm »

wetcoast91 wrote: Sat Dec 28, 2019 8:55 am Anyone who observed the ensembles saw a trend emerging. Cooler than average with more moisture. This is cooler than average with more moisture. :thumbup:

Mountains look prime for 5ft of snow. Happy as hell.
You contradict yourself all the time. Two days ago was split flow with no end now this.
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Re: December 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Storm »

John wrote: Sat Dec 28, 2019 9:01 amProof?
Catnip beat me.
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Re: December 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by John »

Catnip wrote: Sat Dec 28, 2019 9:04 am gfs-vancouver-ca-49n-123.jpeg
Cool but that’s only 5 days
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Re: December 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

John wrote: Sat Dec 28, 2019 9:07 am Cool but that’s only 5 days
It's still running. Latest one.

I wouldn't look too far ahead. Just concentrate on the short term.
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Re: December 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Storm wrote: Sat Dec 28, 2019 9:06 am You contradict yourself all the time. Two days ago was split flow with no end now this.
Yeah and the EPS has been consistently cold. Can’t just pick and choose which ensemble to look at to fit your narrative.
Spring/Summer :sick: Fall/Winter :thumbup:

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Re: December 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Storm »

Bonovox wrote: Sat Dec 28, 2019 9:11 am Yeah and the EPS has been consistently cold. Can’t just pick and choose which ensemble to look at to fit your narrative.
Well, that's what he does.
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Re: December 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Bonovox wrote: Sat Dec 28, 2019 9:11 am Yeah and the EPS has been consistently cold. Can’t just pick and choose which ensemble to look at to fit your narrative.
EPS has not been "cold." It has shown a -PNA induced ridge but as usual...you have to look at the finer details.

That said...models are pulling back and reverting to the default again.

Image
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Re: December 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Not all that bad, I don't think? 850mb temps of -6 in January would bring some decent chances of low elevation snow at times.
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Re: December 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Storm »

wetcoast91 wrote: Sat Dec 28, 2019 9:18 am EPS has not been "cold." It has shown a -PNA induced ridge but as usual...you have to look at the finer details.

That said...models are pulling back and reverting to the default again.

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Right.
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Re: December 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

wetcoast91 wrote: Sat Dec 28, 2019 9:18 am EPS has not been "cold." It has shown a -PNA induced ridge but as usual...you have to look at the finer details.

That said...models are pulling back and reverting to the default again.

Image
It's gone from a split flow to a chilly onshore flow and now a colder onshore pattern that would deliver Arctic air with minor tweaks.
Last edited by AbbyJr on Sat Dec 28, 2019 9:27 am, edited 1 time in total.
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