January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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PortKells
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Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Those weeklies are looking insane. Sardine man is strangely quiet about this :?:
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AbbyJr
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Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

I don't think I've ever seen such high precipitation rates advertised on any model as whats being shown on the GEM for next Saturday.
100+ mm 24 hour totals shown with precipitation rates of 30+mm per 3 hours. :shock: :o :shock:
Screen Shot 2020-01-26 at 10.40.14 PM.png
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PortKells
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Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

AbbyJr wrote: ↑Sun Jan 26, 2020 10:42 pm I don't think I've ever seen such high precipitation rates advertised on any model as whats being shown on the GEM for next Saturday.
100+ mm 24 hour totals shown with precipitation rates of 30+mm per 3 hours. :shock: :o :shock:

Screen Shot 2020-01-26 at 10.40.14 PM.png
Yep another brutal week ahead but a little light at the end of the tunnel. This January could go down as one of the wettest. No real dry spell to speak of.
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Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hound »

Well, I say if it's gonna rain, let it break records, and let it rain hard, and flood some stuff. Otherwise all this drizzle crap can go to hell.
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Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Storm »

4indices.png
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Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Nito's east coast ice box is only 14 days away.
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Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bear Golden »

Holy SMOKES looks like Whistler is going to get HAMMERED next weekend...hopefully it can stay as snow...
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PortKells
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Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

I knew Tim would comment on this one run even though he'll lecture people about not paying attention to long term model noise. I seriously hope the EPS is colder and see how he tries to twist it.
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Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

PortKells wrote: ↑Mon Jan 27, 2020 9:20 am I knew Tim would comment on this one run even though he'll lecture people about not paying attention to long term model noise. I seriously hope the EPS is colder and see how he tries to twist it.
Always expected the first 2 weeks of Feb to be mild west and cold east. Eventually seeing West Coast Ridge retrogression by Feb 14.
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Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

Storm wrote: ↑Mon Jan 27, 2020 8:19 am4indices.png
Keep in mind, this specific model output only has some (maybe half) of all the ensemble members.
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PortKells
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Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

wetcoast91 wrote: ↑Mon Jan 27, 2020 9:33 am Always expected the first 2 weeks of Feb to be mild west and cold east. Eventually seeing West Coast Ridge retrogression by Feb 14.
PNA forecast looks solid. That first trough will be decent, good skiing anyways. Any potential blast definitely looking delayed until mid month.
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PortKells
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Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

stuffradio wrote: ↑Mon Jan 27, 2020 9:53 am Keep in mind, this specific model output only has some (maybe half) of all the ensemble members.
Is there a better site to look at for a bigger picture?
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Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

PortKells wrote: ↑Mon Jan 27, 2020 9:57 am Is there a better site to look at for a bigger picture?
https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/ ... /pna.shtml This one has all ensemble members for PNA.
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Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

PortKells wrote: ↑Mon Jan 27, 2020 9:20 am I knew Tim would comment on this one run even though he'll lecture people about not paying attention to long term model noise. I seriously hope the EPS is colder and see how he tries to twist it.
Tim is a idiot
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PortKells
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Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Liking the Gem ensembles. Gefs takes a small step back.
gfs-ens_z500a_namer_63.png
gem-ens_z500a_namer_65.png
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