January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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PortKells
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Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

EPS sucked. Anyone up for a meltdown?
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Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SnowGranny »

Hi everyone.
I have been super busy with paperwork this past week and haven’t had time to read all your posts.
I have a question...... can anyone tell me what the chances are for lower mainland wide snow this February. I know the apps are garbage, but they all look consistent with a cold snap coming for the weekend/next week. That being said, do any of the models suggest snow? Thank you to anybody who can answer me.!!
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Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

SnowGranny wrote: Mon Jan 27, 2020 12:59 pm Hi everyone.
I have been super busy with paperwork this past week and haven’t had time to read all your posts.
I have a question...... can anyone tell me what the chances are for lower mainland wide snow this February. I know the apps are garbage, but they all look consistent with a cold snap coming for the weekend/next week. That being said, do any of the models suggest snow? Thank you to anybody who can answer me.!!
Very borderline set up for a brief spell of wet snow likely at higher elevations. The usual stuff. Long range is undetermined as yet but the 12z trends weren't exactly encouraging. Lots of time to shift however.
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Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

If you want cold and snow you really wanna see it before Valentine's day, After that winter is pretty much done with the meaningful stuff.
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Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Weather101 wrote: Mon Jan 27, 2020 1:11 pm If you want cold and snow you really wanna see it before Valentine's day, After that winter is pretty much done with the meaningful stuff.
March 2002 says :wave: . Fairly rare, but we can still get a decent prolonged bout of snow and cold well into mid March.
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Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

Sunday morning anyone?
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2025-26 season stats:
Climo :cancel: ∞ to 0.5 :14clown: GFS

Season total: 0.5 cm and TWO traces!
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Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

Typeing3 wrote: Mon Jan 27, 2020 1:26 pm March 2002 says :wave: . Fairly rare, but we can still get a decent prolonged bout of snow and cold well into mid March.
I guess but sea level areas it's hard
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Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by South Island »

Weather101 wrote: Mon Jan 27, 2020 2:29 pm I guess but sea level areas it's hard
I thought that too...but March 2002 changed my mind. It was very impressive.
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Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Typeing3 wrote: Mon Jan 27, 2020 1:26 pm March 2002 says :wave: . Fairly rare, but we can still get a decent prolonged bout of snow and cold well into mid March.
On March 20th, 2002, YXX recorded 19cm of snow on the ground.

On February 24th, 2014, YXX recorded 25cm of snow on the ground.

On February 24th, 2018, YXX recorded 22cm of snow on the ground.

While March 2002, February 2014, and February 2018 are rare events, they do give us sufficient evidence to prove that a late season arctic blast can still deliver meaningful cold and low elevation snows. Its just a lot harder because you need a mid-top tier blast to do so.

Winter is not done here even if we don't see the colder air until mid-late February or even March.
Last edited by AbbyJr on Mon Jan 27, 2020 3:20 pm, edited 3 times in total.
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Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Weather101 wrote: Mon Jan 27, 2020 2:29 pm I guess but sea level areas it's hard
Its hard even for inland and higher elevation regions. But its possible given a mid-top tier arctic front pushes in.
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Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

I always consider March 10th as the unofficial end of winter. There are some exceptions but the first week of March can often deliver something
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Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Monty wrote: Mon Jan 27, 2020 3:06 pm I always consider March 10th as the unofficial end of winter. There are some exceptions but the first week of March can often deliver something
March 2002 was the exception to that rule as 19cm of snow was recorded at YXX on March 20th, 2002.
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Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

Monty wrote: Mon Jan 27, 2020 3:06 pm I always consider March 10th as the unofficial end of winter. There are some exceptions but the first week of March can often deliver something
It doesn't happen every year, but we can also still get frost and snow in April too.
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Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Cool start to Feb.
1F5BB903-1305-4E7D-B700-57B3D3FD8DAA.jpeg
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Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

VanCitySouth wrote: Mon Jan 27, 2020 2:18 pm Sunday morning anyone?
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I'll be at cypress if so. Eff the superbowl :thumbup:
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