February 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Hawk
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Re: February 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

AbbyJr wrote: ↑Tue Feb 04, 2020 12:40 pm Looks like the precipitation was way overdone on the models. This front is really weak and doesn't have much moisture with it.
So Model Fail again..this time within 24 hours? :think: :think:
Geezus..
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
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PortKells
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Re: February 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Probably up to 8 cm or so here in East Van. Big score for my workplace!
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Typeing3
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Re: February 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

PortKells wrote: ↑Tue Feb 04, 2020 12:42 pm Probably up to 8 cm or so here in East Van. Big score for my workplace!
Not even half that in Coquitlam or Surrey.
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Monty
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Re: February 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

GFS has always had the heaviest precip in the 1-8pm time frame. But perhaps it’ll be too warm.
North end of Shawnigan Lake. Southern Vancouver island. 500ft
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Rubus_Leucodermis
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Re: February 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

View from the deck.
snow_scaled.jpg
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It's called clown range for a reason.
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Typeing3
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Re: February 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Latest HRRR has most of metro vancouver staying as snow through 7pm before a round of ice pellets moves through the region.
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Last edited by Typeing3 on Tue Feb 04, 2020 12:50 pm, edited 1 time in total.
:typing: :type3:
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Re: February 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Abby_wx »

Monty wrote: ↑Tue Feb 04, 2020 12:40 pm Can some repost that chart showing the snowfall intensity definitions. Light, moderate, heavy. I thought I saw it the other day on here.
This one?

intensity.JPG
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:dragon:

Fall/Winter 2025/26
Low min: -5.0C (Feb 20th)
Low max: 2.8C (Feb 19th)
Snowfall: 3 cm
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Re: February 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Storm »

AbbyJr wrote: ↑Tue Feb 04, 2020 12:40 pm Looks like the precipitation was way overdone on the models. This front is really weak and doesn't have much moisture with it.
People seem to ignore the models. Abby was never really in the score zone. This was always SWWest Metro event.
5 cm. at my house.
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Re: February 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Storm »

Typeing3 wrote: ↑Tue Feb 04, 2020 12:45 pm Latest HRRR has most of metro vancouver staying as snow through 7pm before a round of ice pellets moves through the region.
Cold rain for Abby.
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PortKells
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Re: February 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Storm wrote: ↑Tue Feb 04, 2020 12:53 pm People seem to ignore the models. Abby was never really in the score zone. This was always SWWest Metro event.
5 cm. at my house.
Agreed. And the heaviest stuff is still an hour or two away.
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Catnip
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Re: February 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Storm wrote: ↑Tue Feb 04, 2020 12:53 pm People seem to ignore the models. Abby was never really in the score zone. This was always SWWest Metro event.
5 cm. at my house.
Case in point.

Vancouver in the bullseye.
index.png
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*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Hawk
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Re: February 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Catnip wrote: ↑Tue Feb 04, 2020 1:04 pm Case in point.

index.png
Selective viewing..this wasnt the only model lets be honest. And even if so, maybe they should start drawing out the 9" in North Van next event based on Bears obs every marginal event... :roll: :roll:
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
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Re: February 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Macster »

6cm on the grass. White roads
Heavier bands coming later
Not a bust yet here
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wetcoast91
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Re: February 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Just a raw gross day out there. Snow is getting very wet. Still at 3cm. Cannot believe some METS were calling up to 20cm when most models showed temps holding near +1C with Feb daylight. At least the rain should wash it away quickly overnight. :thumbup:

Crazy potential in long range. shaping up well for 2nd half of the month but some model runs push the ridge a touch far east. Win-win scenario. Either we stay dry.
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Re: February 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

:dunno:

Another model, another west based snowfall.
nam.png
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*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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