February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

[Bonovox]

We lost Bono and the Euro this afternoon. We need them both back tonight.

I’ll be around for the Euro tonight.

[Radar]

Looks like a few flurries early Wednesday morning.

Maybe for Sumas flats, promontory, and rosedale east.

[AbbyJr]

00Z NAM shows a low of -17 with a wind chill around -29 for YXX early Thursday morning.

[VanCitySouth]

00Z NAM shows a low of -17 with a wind chill around -29 for YXX early Thursday morning.

If you guys get down to -17 on Thursday morning I will eat my hat.

[Rubus_Leucodermis]

It always struggles to get past the Coast mtns..dont hold your breath

Oh, I’m not. The NAM is just showing once again why it is not one of the most accurate models.

[AbbyJr]

I’ll be around for the Euro tonight.

[AbbyJr]

It would be nice to have some arctic air reloads like in 08. I would imagine that would be tough to detect by the long range models.

18Z GFS hinted at a reload in the long range. But we all know how reliable the long range has been this winter.

[Rubus_Leucodermis]

If you guys get down to -17 on Thursday morning I will eat my hat.

I remember last winter when the GFS was alleging that Bellingham would see -20ËšC temperatures.

[VanCitySouth]

I remember last winter when the GFS was alleging that Bellingham would see -20ËšC temperatures.

Oh I remember. The mm5 had -16 at YVR at one point

[Catnip]

18Z GFS hinted at a reload in the long range. But we all know how reliable the long range has been this winter.

And the short term lately.....

[Forrest Gump]

If you guys get down to -17 on Thursday morning I will eat my hat.

Non of your favourite condiments allowed.

[Wintergirl]

When do these arctic outflow winds come? Usually Squamish is howling with them. I guess the front is not here yet? Global news doesn't even mention wind‍♀️

[Typeing3]

I remember last winter when the GFS was alleging that Bellingham would see -20ËšC temperatures.

I think today's 12z GEM takes the cake. 850s down to -20c at YVR by HR108, and down to -23c by HR120.

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[VanCitySouth]

I think today's 12z GEM takes the cake. 850s down to -20c at YVR by HR108, and down to -23c by HR120.
Capture.PNG

Who knows, maybe 0z will dig its heels in

[PortKells]

I think the safe bet here is a somewhere in the middle of Jan 2011 rug pull and Dec 1996 historical. Which would leave us somewhere in the February 2017 range. But a rug pull is always lurking and a historic event is always possible.

I think the amount of “extreme “ model runs we’ve seen should make us confident that a very good event is about to unfold. But when it comes to a 12z Gem like pattern, I’ll believe it when I see it.