February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Rubus_Leucodermis
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

AbbyJr wrote: Fri Feb 12, 2021 10:49 am That 12Z NAM is pretty impressive with the north trend. A bit further north and the Lower Mainland will be in on the big snows Saturday. :shock: :o :shock:

12Z:
12ZNAM.png


6Z:
6ZNAM.png

Even with the current solution, totals are still much improved:

12Z:
12ZNAMsnow.png


6Z:
6ZNAMsnow.png
35 cm here! Woo-hoo! Too bad it's just the NAM.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Catnip wrote: Fri Feb 12, 2021 10:51 am I'm guessing those ice bombs are just going to be something that motorists will need to deal with going forward, considering they have yet to find a proper solution.
Roof over the roadway? Ice bomb shed?
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

AbbyJr wrote: Fri Feb 12, 2021 10:57 am Without a doubt. Models have really struggled in the medium-long range this winter.
Still tracking that progression in the long range. Looks like another block could form. Not worth tracking until 3 days out anyways but I can't help myself.

It really is too bad that Jan 24 "event" busted so hard. If that had turned out and this one did, combined with that December snowfall..this would easily be an above average to good winter for recent times. As it is, everything is now riding on this low. Another dud here and this winter is a hard bust. But the trend is definitely our friend. :thumbup:
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

B218807B-E8CB-4228-A4A3-E41F5B47D4E7.png
2DFAE142-920B-4E93-BFC6-EC798B2DC95A.png
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

Just in time. New wood stove.
A17AFF26-7975-4440-9E16-78D1B1B58F12.jpeg
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Monty wrote: Fri Feb 12, 2021 11:11 am B218807B-E8CB-4228-A4A3-E41F5B47D4E7.png2DFAE142-920B-4E93-BFC6-EC798B2DC95A.png
Supressed cherry blossoms, dead tulips....
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Monty wrote: Fri Feb 12, 2021 11:15 am Just in time. New wood stove.

A17AFF26-7975-4440-9E16-78D1B1B58F12.jpeg
Ohhh shes a beauty
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hound »

wetcoast91 wrote: Fri Feb 12, 2021 11:16 am Supressed cherry blossoms, dead tulips....
I can accept that!
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

wetcoast91 wrote: Fri Feb 12, 2021 11:16 am Supressed cherry blossoms, dead tulips....
Flat west coast ridge. Ridge building in towards the Aleutians. PV lobe moving into the Yukon. :think:
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hound »

Catnip wrote: Fri Feb 12, 2021 10:51 am I'm guessing those ice bombs are just going to be something that motorists will need to deal with going forward, considering they have yet to find a proper solution.
Tear the bridge down and build one that actual works and is actually straight rather than curved on the deck like it is. Coming out of Surrey heading onto the bridge on the first curve you think you will be heading straight and then it curves again in an un-natural way to what the physics should be delivering thus causing an accident there countless times. Garbage bridge.
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hound »

Monty wrote: Fri Feb 12, 2021 11:15 am Just in time. New wood stove.
I'm coming over with BIG marshmallows!

Image
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

AbbyJr wrote: Fri Feb 12, 2021 10:49 am That 12Z NAM is pretty impressive with the north trend. A bit further north and the Lower Mainland will be in on the big snows Saturday. :shock: :o :shock:

12Z:
12ZNAM.png


6Z:
6ZNAM.png

Even with the current solution, totals are still much improved:

12Z:
12ZNAMsnow.png


6Z:
6ZNAMsnow.png
3km NAM is your friend at this range. :wave:
:typing: :type3:
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

wetcoast91 wrote: Fri Feb 12, 2021 11:16 am Supressed cherry blossoms, dead tulips....
I’ve seen it drop to -8˚C in the Rockies when tulips were in bud. Surprisingly little damage. Most of them bloomed just fine. And I’ve seen daffodils survive -14˚C. Springtime bulb plants are surprisingly tough.
Last edited by Rubus_Leucodermis on Fri Feb 12, 2021 11:26 am, edited 1 time in total.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Monty wrote: Fri Feb 12, 2021 11:19 am Flat west coast ridge. Ridge building in towards the Aleutians. PV lobe moving into the Yukon. :think:
Maybe Jr will finally get that March 1951 repeat he's wanted. :thumbup:
:typing: :type3:
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by tyweather »

Catnip wrote: Fri Feb 12, 2021 10:51 am I'm guessing those ice bombs are just going to be something that motorists will need to deal with going forward, considering they have yet to find a proper solution.
I don't think that ice bombs would be a problem on Saturday if it is cold enough. Need that sticky snow, not champagne snow.
Why not try cycling to work, grocery store, anywhere!
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