February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
Post Reply
User avatar
Forrest Gump
Weather Enthusiast
Weather Enthusiast
Posts: 4701
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:11 pm
Location: South Surrey/White Rock
Elevation: 377 Ft. or 115 M
Has thanked: 12906 times
Been thanked: 8688 times

Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Forrest Gump »

Bonovox wrote: Fri Feb 12, 2021 5:26 pm Compared to the 18z 3km NAM, we are definitely a couple of hours ahead of schedule. Hopefully that means the lower levels saturate a bit quicker.
That's what I was thinking. Clouds are thickening, as the plot thickens.
7th Annual Over the Hill Grumpy Old Men Winter Classic
Wrinkle Rock Fish Pulverizers 15cm
South Sardis Stinkin Sardines 3.5cm
Esquimalt39
Weather Tracker
Weather Tracker
Posts: 161
Joined: Tue Nov 19, 2019 6:06 pm
Location: Esquimalt
Elevation: 6 feet
Has thanked: 13 times
Been thanked: 127 times

Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Esquimalt39 »

Bonovox wrote: Fri Feb 12, 2021 5:31 pm What's everyone thinking by 10pm Saturday?

My call:

Eastern Metro Vancouver: 7-10cm
Western Metro Vancouver: 10-15cm
Fraser Valley: 5-10cm
South Island: 20cm+


I will probably be wrong.
Western Metro Vancouver: 12 cm
Eastern Metro Vancouver: 8 cm
Fraser valley: 3 cm
South island: 23 cm
User avatar
Pumpkin Seed
Weather Tracker
Weather Tracker
Posts: 356
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:24 pm
Location: Richmond west
Elevation: 2 Ft
Has thanked: 279 times
Been thanked: 787 times

Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Pumpkin Seed »

Bonovox wrote: Fri Feb 12, 2021 5:26 pm Compared to the 18z 3km NAM, we are definitely a couple of hours ahead of schedule. Hopefully that means the lower levels saturate a bit quicker.
Seems like it will be arriving in Richmond in an hour or so. Let’s see.
Richmond west
Elevation: 2 ft
User avatar
Bonovox
Moderator
Moderator
Posts: 6738
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:10 pm
Location: Ladner
Elevation: Sea Level
Has thanked: 4808 times
Been thanked: 15613 times

Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Pumpkin Seed wrote: Fri Feb 12, 2021 5:34 pm Seems like it will be arriving in Richmond in an hour or so. Let’s see.
That stuff won't reach the ground. It'll take a few hours to saturate.

I think.
Spring/Summer :sick: Fall/Winter :thumbup:

Ladner - Elevation: Sea Level

Wx Station: https://tempestwx.com/station/41362/grid
User avatar
Pumpkin Seed
Weather Tracker
Weather Tracker
Posts: 356
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:24 pm
Location: Richmond west
Elevation: 2 Ft
Has thanked: 279 times
Been thanked: 787 times

Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Pumpkin Seed »

Bonovox wrote: Fri Feb 12, 2021 5:34 pm That stuff won't reach the ground. It'll take a few hours to saturate.

I think.
Will report once it landed.
Richmond west
Elevation: 2 ft
User avatar
Forrest Gump
Weather Enthusiast
Weather Enthusiast
Posts: 4701
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:11 pm
Location: South Surrey/White Rock
Elevation: 377 Ft. or 115 M
Has thanked: 12906 times
Been thanked: 8688 times

Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Forrest Gump »

Bonovox wrote: Fri Feb 12, 2021 5:34 pm That stuff won't reach the ground. It'll take a few hours to saturate.

I think.
Outflow winds look weak so far,at least here anyways.
7th Annual Over the Hill Grumpy Old Men Winter Classic
Wrinkle Rock Fish Pulverizers 15cm
South Sardis Stinkin Sardines 3.5cm
User avatar
Pomoman
Weather Nut
Weather Nut
Posts: 508
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:22 pm
Location: Burnaby Mtn
Elevation: 365 M
Has thanked: 162 times
Been thanked: 1480 times

Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Pomoman »

My guess is precip showing on the radar will be shredded the second it approaches the mainland. At least for 4 to 6 hours is my guess. Haven’t much of a clue about what I speak compared to you nerds (and cow?) but the dry outflow is still there despite that it isn’t windy right now.
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
Burnaby Mountain @ 365 m..

Stats? Fresh out of those. But I win anyway. I got all the inches.
User avatar
wetcoast91
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 7099
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:12 pm
Location: New Westminster
Elevation: 106m
Has thanked: 6962 times
Been thanked: 16341 times

Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Pomoman wrote: Fri Feb 12, 2021 5:42 pm My guess is precip showing on the radar will be shredded the second it approaches the mainland. At least for 4 to 6 hours is my guess. Haven’t much of a clue about what I speak compared to you needs but the dry outflow is still there despite that it isn’t windy right now.
Dry layer above the LM extends up to 2000m. If you want it to snow sooner...I suggest you aim water guns at the sky.
User avatar
Pomoman
Weather Nut
Weather Nut
Posts: 508
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:22 pm
Location: Burnaby Mtn
Elevation: 365 M
Has thanked: 162 times
Been thanked: 1480 times

Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Pomoman »

wetcoast91 wrote: Fri Feb 12, 2021 5:44 pm Dry layer above the LM extends up to 2000m. If you want it to snow sooner...I suggest you aim water guns at the sky.
What if we go outside and just spit? Will that help?
Does in my fake line of work
Burnaby Mountain @ 365 m..

Stats? Fresh out of those. But I win anyway. I got all the inches.
User avatar
wetcoast91
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 7099
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:12 pm
Location: New Westminster
Elevation: 106m
Has thanked: 6962 times
Been thanked: 16341 times

Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Pomoman wrote: Fri Feb 12, 2021 5:46 pm What if we go outside and just spit? Will that help?
Does in my fake line of work
Spit or pee....as long as you do it away from anyone. :thumbup:
User avatar
Monty
Weather Enthusiast
Weather Enthusiast
Posts: 4575
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:56 pm
Has thanked: 959 times
Been thanked: 9576 times

Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

Esquimalt39 wrote: Fri Feb 12, 2021 5:23 pm Do you think the HRRR is overdoing the east wind effect?
I think it’s overdoing any upslope that it’s seeing on the hills
North end of Shawnigan Lake. Southern Vancouver island. 500ft
User avatar
Monty
Weather Enthusiast
Weather Enthusiast
Posts: 4575
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:56 pm
Has thanked: 959 times
Been thanked: 9576 times

Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

You can see the snow creeping down the hills here as the sun sets.
North end of Shawnigan Lake. Southern Vancouver island. 500ft
User avatar
PortKells
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 7726
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 4:08 pm
Location: Port Kells
Elevation: 78m
Has thanked: 589 times
Been thanked: 13672 times

Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Monty wrote: Fri Feb 12, 2021 5:53 pm You can see the snow creeping down the hills here as the sun sets.
You're going to get smoked. Looking forward to seeing the totals.
User avatar
HarrisonSasquatchWx
Donator
Donator
Posts: 22659
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:37 pm
Location: Harrison Hot Springs B.C.
Has thanked: 60010 times
Been thanked: 19788 times

Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Bonovox wrote: Fri Feb 12, 2021 5:31 pm What's everyone thinking by 10pm Saturday?

My call:

Eastern Metro Vancouver: 7-10cm
Western Metro Vancouver: 10-15cm
Fraser Valley: 5-10cm
South Island: 20cm+


I will probably be wrong.
I wish, dusting for the valley east of Abby l'll say. outflow snoweater ineffect.
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
User avatar
Storm
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 7094
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:09 pm
Location: North Burnaby/Burquitlam
Has thanked: 2493 times
Been thanked: 12532 times

Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Storm »

00z Nam up the totals for the LM quite a bit. Can someone post the snowfall maps
Last edited by Storm on Fri Feb 12, 2021 6:10 pm, edited 1 time in total.
North Burnaby/Burquitlam
Elevation - 64 M./210 Feet
Post Reply