February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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East Chilliwack
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by East Chilliwack »

Sardisbcwx wrote: Mon Feb 15, 2021 6:31 pm l have no idea what their thinking is there. And there's absolutely nothing on radar showing up. But it looks fun to look at. :bs:
Snowing nicely here now, don’t know where it’s coming from as I didn’t see much on the radar either. Ended up with 10cm here today so not terrible
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

East Chilliwack wrote: Mon Feb 15, 2021 6:47 pm Snowing nicely here now, don’t know where it’s coming from as I didn’t see much on the radar either. Ended up with 10cm here today so not terrible
Yeah, l just peeked out ground is a little white now, so l missed a snowshower l guess.
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Radar »

AbbyJr wrote: Mon Feb 15, 2021 5:05 pm Someone on Twitter suggested that La Nina actually decreases our chances of top tier cold in the PNW, because it favours a NW flow. He went on to say that we might have better luck next winter when La Nina weakens.

This is interesting. Perhaps this is why statistically, moderate-strong La Nina's are not associated with big time cold events here? Part of me wonders if neutral-weak Nina's combined with a +QBO is the best outcome for us? The 1990/1991 winter was neutral/+QBO.

What are all of your thoughts?
I remember Norm G saying something like that and Steve Pool going in depth about we do best during neutral years.
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Radar wrote: Mon Feb 15, 2021 6:52 pm I remember Norm G saying something like that and Steve Pool going in depth about we do best during neutral years.
Agree too.
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Lightly snowing here 1.5c. the end is nigh me thinks.
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Radar wrote: Mon Feb 15, 2021 6:52 pm I remember Norm G saying something like that and Steve Pool going in depth about we do best during neutral years.
Weak Nina's or neutral generally seem to yield the best winters across the Pacific Northwest. In terms of snow and/or cold.

Been mentioned several times here before but moderate/strong Nina's have a tendency to have a supercharged jet, giving us persistent precip but not much in the way of long lasting cold.
Last edited by Typeing3 on Mon Feb 15, 2021 7:07 pm, edited 1 time in total.
:typing: :type3:
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Willoughby »

Wow...all the NAM runs today sure are adamant about Thurs evening being potentially snowy!

Given this past few days, don’t know if I buy what it’s selling though...
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by JaidynB »

You just gotta believe 🤞🏻
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

JaidynB wrote: Mon Feb 15, 2021 7:21 pm You just gotta believe 🤞🏻
We did it was good for some not for others.
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Now it's time to pack it up for the winter. Trace of snow from that snowshower.
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

SouthHillFrosty wrote: Mon Feb 15, 2021 2:25 pm Yea it was! The last week of Feb is trending colder. I do not think winter is over yet.
Lol Typing and Southy going at it. Yes I ununderstand it's been a frustrating winter..
:damn: :damn: :damn:
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

AbbyJr wrote: Mon Feb 15, 2021 5:05 pm Someone on Twitter suggested that La Nina actually decreases our chances of top tier cold in the PNW, because it favours a NW flow. He went on to say that we might have better luck next winter when La Nina weakens.

This is interesting. Perhaps this is why statistically, moderate-strong La Nina's are not associated with big time cold events here? Part of me wonders if neutral-weak Nina's combined with a +QBO is the best outcome for us? The 1990/1991 winter was neutral/+QBO.

What are all of your thoughts?
My thots are this climate needs to thread the needle to score what we all want. In other words this climate sucks. Nito keeps kickin pumpkins at us. :think: :think:
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by tyweather »

Typeing3 wrote: Mon Feb 15, 2021 11:40 am Highs below 20c are freezing cold in the summer. 8-)
When I was in Vanderhoof last summer the entire week that I was there it didn't crack 20c until the last day.
Why not try cycling to work, grocery store, anywhere!
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Typeing3 wrote: Mon Feb 15, 2021 7:06 pm Weak Nina's or neutral generally seem to yield the best winters across the Pacific Northwest. In terms of snow and/or cold.

Been mentioned several times here before but moderate/strong Nina's have a tendency to have a supercharged jet, giving us persistent precip but not much in the way of long lasting cold.
The west does score..just not the coast.
Similkameen has just been krushing this year considering how dry its been at times
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Pomoman »

The funny part about it is our climate in the winter is COOL. it’s always only a few (or so) degrees from snow. Sometimes big snow. We just have very little variation from the average and almost no variation between daytime high and overnight low. It’s just BLAH. one day I’d love to move to the Okanagan or somewhere in the interior but I’d likely be otherwise bored. I need easy access to a city. Also pornoman would have issues with certain small town mindedness “values”, so it’s a non starter. And, ya know, work. Though COVID really has proven remote work is allllllmost as good as in person in my field. Anyway I guess I’m doomed for a life of boring weather. Hence why it’s good to have the odd wicked storm or unusual event to keep things interesting.
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Stats? Fresh out of those. But I win anyway. I got all the inches.
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