March 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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HarrisonSasquatchWx
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Re: March 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Pomoman wrote: Fri Mar 26, 2021 5:00 pm I predict rain with periods of mixed confetti and slime at 300m

At 500m heavy wet slime
At 700m several accumulated inches of wonderful snow.

Edit: Essentially the same old disappointing story as it has most of this season.

Edit edit: I might be cranky today.
:lol:
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
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Rubus_Leucodermis
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Re: March 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Been looking at the models and really wouldn’t be surprised if many of us end up seeing some snowflakes from Sunday evening into Monday morning. Does not look like there will be significant accumulations, but both the ECMWF and the GFS have been calling for it the past three or four runs. That is usually a pretty reliable sign.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: March 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: Fri Mar 26, 2021 11:13 pm Been looking at the models and really wouldn’t be surprised if many of us end up seeing some snowflakes from Sunday evening into Monday morning. Does not look like there will be significant accumulations, but both the ECMWF and the GFS have been calling for it the past three or four runs. That is usually a pretty reliable sign.
Sorry Rubix but. :drunk: :bs:
Last edited by HarrisonSasquatchWx on Sun Mar 28, 2021 6:05 am, edited 1 time in total.
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
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Re: March 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

We seem to be in a #patternlock with R/T/R/T/R/T, with warm spring ridges and fairly cold troffs, which seem to show up every 7 days or so on weekends. This troff looks to be the coldest one yet :shock: :shock: .
If this system is a duplicate of the previous one then
PornoMan should score a late season snowfall :clap:
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
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Re: March 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

From Cranky to a snow white winter wonderland..bringing happiness and much joy in a winter that just never was for PornoMan :clap: :thumbup:
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
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Re: March 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by arbetrader »

Any ideas as to when this pattern might shift to warner dryer weather?
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Re: March 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Ask Nito. Hes nailing it all season. Right now it's hot and cold. And nitos silence means no sunny warm in the mid to long range :think: :think:
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
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Re: March 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

It hasn’t warmed up much so the ocean is still cold which is preventing it from warming up much. It’s a self-reinforcing cycle that we sometimes get trapped in during springtime.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: March 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

arbetrader wrote: Sat Mar 27, 2021 6:37 am Any ideas as to when this pattern might shift to warner dryer weather?
July. :problem:

Actually it has been pretty dry for March. Very dry over here. But chilly.
North end of Shawnigan Lake. Southern Vancouver island. 500ft
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Re: March 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

Hawk wrote: Sat Mar 27, 2021 6:53 am Ask Nito. Hes nailing it all season. Right now it's hot and cold. And nitos silence means no sunny warm in the mid to long range :think: :think:
We are paying the price for Nito’s warm demands all winter :cry:
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Re: March 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Could see a freeze Monday morning as skies look to rapidly clear out in the front's wake on sunday evening.
gfs_T2m_nwus_8.png
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Re: March 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

Typeing3 wrote: Sat Mar 27, 2021 5:20 pm Could see a freeze Monday morning as skies look to rapidly clear out in the front's wake on sunday evening.
gfs_T2m_nwus_8.png
Wouldn't wind prevent a freeze?
2025-26 season stats:
Climo :cancel: ∞ to 0.5 :14clown: GFS

Season total: 0.5 cm and TWO traces!
Peak depth: 0.5 cm (01/07/2026)
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Re: March 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

Looks like a windy one for the western sections tomorrow evening
2025-26 season stats:
Climo :cancel: ∞ to 0.5 :14clown: GFS

Season total: 0.5 cm and TWO traces!
Peak depth: 0.5 cm (01/07/2026)
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Re: March 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

VanCitySouth wrote: Sat Mar 27, 2021 9:30 pm Looks like a windy one for the western sections tomorrow evening
Good call Van man :thumbup: wind warnings and special weather statements have been posted from the valley to the island. Few day's early for going out like a lion but close enough. Even the risk of thunderstorms for the GVRD.
Last edited by HarrisonSasquatchWx on Sun Mar 28, 2021 6:23 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: March 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Monty wrote: Sat Mar 27, 2021 8:41 am July. :problem:

Actually it has been pretty dry for March. Very dry over here. But chilly.
:lol:
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
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