June 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Rubus_Leucodermis
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Re: June 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Roberts Creeker wrote: ↑Thu Jun 24, 2021 3:06 pm Good one!!! :clap: :clap: :clap:
Honest question: Doesn’t your profile picture make you feel sheepish?
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: June 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Looks like the 18z has cooled by a smidgen on Sat/Sun but is back to showing those ridiculously unrealistic temps for Monday.
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Re: June 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

High res (4km) 12z WRF-GFS high temps on Saturday:
wa_tsfc.59.0000.gif
Sunday:
wa_tsfc.84.0000.gif
Looks like they added more colours to the legend as predicted temps have exceeded their old scale.
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Re: June 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Higher resolution maps still aren't available for Monday, but this is what the lower resolution map shows:
wa_tsfc.108.0000.gif
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Re: June 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

Typeing3 wrote: ↑Thu Jun 24, 2021 3:26 pm Higher resolution maps still aren't available for Monday, but this is what the lower resolution map shows:
wa_tsfc.108.0000.gif
I love how they introduced a new colour scheme today because basically half of the map was white/hot pink.
2023-24 season stats:
Climo :cancel: 81 to 44 :14clown: GFS

Season total: 39.0 cm + 3 traces
Peak depth: 28.0 cm (Jan 17)
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Re: June 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Typeing3 wrote: ↑Thu Jun 24, 2021 3:17 pm Looks like the 18z has cooled by a smidgen on Sat/Sun but is back to showing those ridiculously unrealistic temps for Monday.
Side by side comparison for Sat, Sun and Mon.
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Re: June 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Bonovox wrote: ↑Thu Jun 24, 2021 3:58 pm Side by side comparison for Sat, Sun and Mon.
99f at YXX on Sunday instead of 100f. Score!
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Re: June 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by John »

Typeing3 wrote: ↑Thu Jun 24, 2021 3:17 pm Looks like the 18z has cooled by a smidgen on Sat/Sun but is back to showing those ridiculously unrealistic temps for Monday.
Looks exactly the same except Monday is even worse this is going to be terrible
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Re: June 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

John wrote: ↑Thu Jun 24, 2021 4:11 pm Looks exactly the same except Monday is even worse this is going to be terrible
00z runs will lower those Monday temps. 42-44c in the valley is not going to happen.
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Re: June 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

Typeing3 wrote: ↑Thu Jun 24, 2021 4:16 pm 00z runs will lower those Monday temps. 42-44c in the valley is not going to happen.
The difference between 40 and 43, in terms of how hot it feels, is probably marginal at best. Either way, I'm going to be freezing wet face cloths en masse.
2023-24 season stats:
Climo :cancel: 81 to 44 :14clown: GFS

Season total: 39.0 cm + 3 traces
Peak depth: 28.0 cm (Jan 17)
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Re: June 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Typeing3 wrote: ↑Thu Jun 24, 2021 4:16 pm 00z runs will lower those Monday temps. 42-44c in the valley is not going to happen.
You might be right, but I really think the Valley is going to break 40 on either Sunday or Monday. Most likely Monday. Mesoscale models haven't really toned down the heat. The RGEM has Sunday at 39c for YXX.
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Re: June 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Bonovox wrote: ↑Thu Jun 24, 2021 4:26 pm You might be right, but I really think the Valley is going to break 40 on either Sunday or Monday. Most likely Monday. Mesoscale models haven't really toned down the heat. The RGEM has Sunday at 39c for YXX.
Further to this point, the 2.5km HRDPS already has YXX at 34c by 11AM on Saturday. Not a stretch to imagine they will easily breach 40c.
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Re: June 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Typeing3 wrote: ↑Thu Jun 24, 2021 4:16 pm 00z runs will lower those Monday temps. 42-44c in the valley is not going to happen.
Only WeatherPro knows for sure!

:think: :think:
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

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Re: June 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Environment Canada now says the heat wave will persist until at least Wednesday. :sweat:
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Re: June 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Roberts Creeker »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: ↑Thu Jun 24, 2021 3:15 pm Honest question: Doesn’t your profile picture make you feel sheepish?
Sheepish and sleepish. :D If that's how it works I'm going to be a penguin! :clap: Now I'll be cool for this coming insanity.
Last edited by Roberts Creeker on Thu Jun 24, 2021 5:08 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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