October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
Post Reply
User avatar
Weather101
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 5645
Joined: Fri Feb 22, 2019 7:27 am
Location: Richmond
Elevation: 3 Ft
Has thanked: 5273 times
Been thanked: 7885 times

Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by Weather101 »

PortKells wrote: Fri Oct 22, 2021 4:32 pm He's back :o
Let the annual trolling games on the American forum begin..
All about them Cowboys !!! 🤠 🤠
User avatar
HarrisonSasquatchWx
Donator
Donator
Posts: 22650
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:37 pm
Location: Harrison Hot Springs B.C.
Has thanked: 59992 times
Been thanked: 19781 times

Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Weather101 wrote: Fri Oct 22, 2021 4:46 pm Let the annual trolling games on the American forum begin..
:lol: no better time to start Weedster tomorrow night when the Knuckles beat the Krackenheads.
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
User avatar
HarrisonSasquatchWx
Donator
Donator
Posts: 22650
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:37 pm
Location: Harrison Hot Springs B.C.
Has thanked: 59992 times
Been thanked: 19781 times

Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

AbbyJr wrote: Fri Oct 22, 2021 4:32 pm Here is a comparison of the December 20th, 2018 storm versus this upcoming storm as shown on the 12Z Euro for Sunday/Monday.

Based on what I can I see, there are some similarities but also some differences.

The December 20th, 2018 storm was less deep than this upcoming storm but it continued to deepen as it approached land. This upcoming storm, on the contrary, is deeper but it weakens as it approaches land. However, since it's significantly deeper than the 2018 storm, it ends up deeper when it reaches land despite weakening on approach. As for the track, this upcoming storm looks to be slightly further northwest than the 2018 storm.

December 20th, 2018:
EuroReanalysis2018.png


Upcoming storm:
12ZEuro2021.png
Not by much Jr. man.
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
User avatar
VanCitySouth
Weather Enthusiast
Weather Enthusiast
Posts: 3922
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:21 pm
Location: Vancouver (Langara)
Elevation: 72 m/236 ft
Has thanked: 4164 times
Been thanked: 8316 times

Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by VanCitySouth »

So, the ICON dipped south again, and it looks like a couple more closed isobars on the map as compared to the previous run too. I suspect the Euro might move the same way tonight but we shall see.
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
2025-26 season stats:
Climo :cancel: ∞ to 0.5 :14clown: GFS

Season total: 0.5 cm and TWO traces!
Peak depth: 0.5 cm (01/07/2026)
User avatar
Weather101
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 5645
Joined: Fri Feb 22, 2019 7:27 am
Location: Richmond
Elevation: 3 Ft
Has thanked: 5273 times
Been thanked: 7885 times

Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by Weather101 »

SouthSardiswx wrote: Fri Oct 22, 2021 8:03 pm :lol: no better time to start Weedster tomorrow night when the Knuckles beat the Krackenheads.
:lol: They banned me last year so might need to make a new account
All about them Cowboys !!! 🤠 🤠
User avatar
HarrisonSasquatchWx
Donator
Donator
Posts: 22650
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:37 pm
Location: Harrison Hot Springs B.C.
Has thanked: 59992 times
Been thanked: 19781 times

Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Weather101 wrote: Fri Oct 22, 2021 8:39 pm :lol: They banned me last year so might need to make a new account
CanadianKrackenhead would be a good one, but diss them completely. :lol:
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
User avatar
HarrisonSasquatchWx
Donator
Donator
Posts: 22650
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:37 pm
Location: Harrison Hot Springs B.C.
Has thanked: 59992 times
Been thanked: 19781 times

Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

VanCitySouth wrote: Fri Oct 22, 2021 8:30 pm So, the ICON dipped south again, and it looks like a couple more closed isobars on the map as compared to the previous run too. I suspect the Euro might move the same way tonight but we shall see.
That's not good :shock: that track would be a major windstorm for the Lowermainland Van man.
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
User avatar
Weather101
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 5645
Joined: Fri Feb 22, 2019 7:27 am
Location: Richmond
Elevation: 3 Ft
Has thanked: 5273 times
Been thanked: 7885 times

Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by Weather101 »

Komo

As it stands now, the strongest winds should be reserved for the Washington coast and the Northwest Interior, including the San Juans, Whidbey & Camano Islands, and the shoreline areas of Whatcom and Skagit Counties. The National Weather Service has already issued a pre-emptive HIGH WIND WATCH for these regions, as winds there may range between 40 and 60/65 mph Sunday through Monday
All about them Cowboys !!! 🤠 🤠
User avatar
Weather101
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 5645
Joined: Fri Feb 22, 2019 7:27 am
Location: Richmond
Elevation: 3 Ft
Has thanked: 5273 times
Been thanked: 7885 times

Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by Weather101 »

SouthSardiswx wrote: Fri Oct 22, 2021 8:43 pm CanadianKrackenhead would be a good one, but diss them completely. :lol:
That’s actually a good name :lol:
All about them Cowboys !!! 🤠 🤠
User avatar
AbbyJr
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 6604
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:14 pm
Location: Abbotsford
Elevation: 50m(164ft)
Has thanked: 12856 times
Been thanked: 12303 times

Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by AbbyJr »

October 2003 repeat late next week?
ecmwf-deterministic-CYXX-tmp_qpf_snow-4904000.png
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
Last edited by AbbyJr on Fri Oct 22, 2021 9:47 pm, edited 1 time in total.
Central Abbotsford
50m (164ft)

2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm

:team: :snowwindow: :snowman:
User avatar
PortKells
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 7725
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 4:08 pm
Location: Port Kells
Elevation: 78m
Has thanked: 589 times
Been thanked: 13670 times

Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by PortKells »

This is a legitimate PNW autumn.

ens_image (39).png
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
User avatar
HarrisonSasquatchWx
Donator
Donator
Posts: 22650
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:37 pm
Location: Harrison Hot Springs B.C.
Has thanked: 59992 times
Been thanked: 19781 times

Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

PortKells wrote: Fri Oct 22, 2021 9:42 pm This is a legitimate PNW autumn.


ens_image (39).png
That it is Kells :thumbup: hope it leads to a legit winter as well.
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
User avatar
PortKells
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 7725
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 4:08 pm
Location: Port Kells
Elevation: 78m
Has thanked: 589 times
Been thanked: 13670 times

Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by PortKells »

SouthSardiswx wrote: Fri Oct 22, 2021 9:44 pm That it is Kells :thumbup: hope it leads to a legit winter as well.
Ive not felt this confident since 2016. Thats not saying much but hey lets see what happens!
User avatar
Catnip
Moderator
Moderator
Posts: 10709
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 4:01 pm
Location: Coquitlam (Mundy Park)
Elevation: 530ft
Has thanked: 12935 times
Been thanked: 24059 times

Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by Catnip »

:dunno:
12B4FB65-2A14-4E36-8A1A-091B0C9226A4.jpeg
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
User avatar
Roberts Creeker
Donator
Donator
Posts: 4135
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:17 pm
Location: Upper Roberts Creek
Elevation: 162 M./532 ft.
Has thanked: 23678 times
Been thanked: 8022 times

Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by Roberts Creeker »

SWS for the Sunshine Coast! Very windy beginning Sunday
:team: :flakey: :flakey:

Snow total: 1cm Dec 24, 1cm Feb 19
Post Reply