October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion
- Rubus_Leucodermis
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion
Temp 0˚C, DP -2˚C. A freeze without a frost to pair with Friday’s frost without a freeze.
It's called clown range for a reason.
- Typeing3
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion
First freeze of the season here. Hit 0.0c just at sunrise.
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#MrJanuary
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion
Reached -8.8C this morning here and up to a scorching +3.4C now.
It always snows in December in the Kootenays
- AbbyJr
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion
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Central Abbotsford
50m (164ft)
2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm
50m (164ft)
2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm
- AbbyJr
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion
Central Abbotsford
50m (164ft)
2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm
50m (164ft)
2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm
- PortKells
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- Typeing3
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion
I recently compiled snowfall totals for almost every station across the Lower Mainland for the January 1971 snowstorm. Keep in mind, most of these observations are from the old volunteer stations at EC, hence the difference in totals over small areas could be exaggerated due to measuring errors.
Overall, this snowstorm was one of the most significant in recorded history for many areas of Metro Vancouver. I attribute the generally lower totals in S and E Metro Vancouver (Surrey/Maple Ridge) and the Fraser Valley to the track of precip bands and strength of outflow. Temperatures in the valley were also much colder than areas to the west (ex. Sumas Prairie had a high of -11.7c on Jan 11th compared with -3.9c at YVR).
Overall, this snowstorm was one of the most significant in recorded history for many areas of Metro Vancouver. I attribute the generally lower totals in S and E Metro Vancouver (Surrey/Maple Ridge) and the Fraser Valley to the track of precip bands and strength of outflow. Temperatures in the valley were also much colder than areas to the west (ex. Sumas Prairie had a high of -11.7c on Jan 11th compared with -3.9c at YVR).
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#MrJanuary
- Weather101
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion
We are definitely now in the realm of possibilities of getting snow. Always fun when you get to this time of the season. Clown range has a bit more hope.
All about them Cowboys !!!
- Rubus_Leucodermis
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion
There will be an impactful snow event in late November or early December. I know this because that is when I am planning to move a chunk of my stuff. You’re welcome.Weather101 wrote: ↑Sun Oct 31, 2021 6:52 pm We are definitely now in the realm of possibilities of getting snow. Always fun when you get to this time of the season. Clown range has a bit more hope.
It's called clown range for a reason.
- Weather101
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion
I saw your earlier post, I run a moving company and I wish I would be able to help you with the cross border moving but with the Covid restrictions it’s difficult. When are you exactly moving ? Shoot me a private messageRubus_Leucodermis wrote: ↑Sun Oct 31, 2021 7:01 pm There will be an impactful snow event in late November or early December. I know this because that is when I am planning to move a chunk of my stuff. You’re welcome.
All about them Cowboys !!!
- Typeing3
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion
Similar timeframe as some of the analogues (1970-71, 1975-76, 2007-08, 2010-11, 2011-12)...Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: ↑Sun Oct 31, 2021 7:01 pm There will be an impactful snow event in late November or early December. I know this because that is when I am planning to move a chunk of my stuff. You’re welcome.
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#MrJanuary
- AbbyJr
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion
Meteorologist Pete Parsons with the "Oregon Department of Forestry" in his winter forecast update maintains 1971/72, 1996/97, and 2008/09 as the best analogs for this upcoming winter. Would certainly be epic if it verified.
Here is his updated winter forecast video:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0HQn-rEmE_M
Here is his updated winter forecast video:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0HQn-rEmE_M
Last edited by AbbyJr on Mon Nov 01, 2021 12:50 pm, edited 1 time in total.
Central Abbotsford
50m (164ft)
2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm
50m (164ft)
2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm
- PortKells
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion
Ok..that's insane. I think he could be one of those meteorologists who let's his own weather preferences slightly cloud his judgement. I do hope he's right of course.AbbyJr wrote: ↑Sun Oct 31, 2021 9:47 pm Meteorologist Pete Parsons with the "Oregon Department of Forestry" in his winter forecast update maintains 1970/71, 1996/97, and 2008/09 as the best analogs for this upcoming winter. Would certainly be epic if it verified.
Here is his updated winter forecast video:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0HQn-rEmE_M
- SouthSardiswx
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion
Snow maps starting Nov. 1st Jr. man.
Join us next season
Nukes are in round 2!!
Wrinkle Rockers: 43cm
South Sardines: 57cm
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
Nukes are in round 2!!
Wrinkle Rockers: 43cm
South Sardines: 57cm
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
- SouthSardiswx
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion
Awesome Tman.Typeing3 wrote: ↑Sun Oct 31, 2021 4:35 pm I recently compiled snowfall totals for almost every station across the Lower Mainland for the January 1971 snowstorm. Keep in mind, most of these observations are from the old volunteer stations at EC, hence the difference in totals over small areas could be exaggerated due to measuring errors.
Overall, this snowstorm was one of the most significant in recorded history for many areas of Metro Vancouver. I attribute the generally lower totals in S and E Metro Vancouver (Surrey/Maple Ridge) and the Fraser Valley to the track of precip bands and strength of outflow. Temperatures in the valley were also much colder than areas to the west (ex. Sumas Prairie had a high of -11.7c on Jan 11th compared with -3.9c at YVR).
January 1971 Snowstorm Totals Lower Mainland (1).PNG
January 1971 Snowstorm Totals Lower Mainland (2).PNG
January 1971 Snowstorm Totals Lower Mainland (3).PNG
Join us next season
Nukes are in round 2!!
Wrinkle Rockers: 43cm
South Sardines: 57cm
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
Nukes are in round 2!!
Wrinkle Rockers: 43cm
South Sardines: 57cm
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather