November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Typeing3
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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Storm wrote: ↑Fri Nov 26, 2021 3:34 am It's 3:30 am. and it's heavy heavy rain outside that woke me up to check the models.
Same here. Weird.

Will be interesting to see if the 12z OP continues to be an outlier beginning on day 7.
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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Storm wrote: ↑Fri Nov 26, 2021 3:36 am I will drop this for Nito's viewing pleasure.
36773C44-70EF-48C0-8348-DBC2EB9E639D.thumb.png.11f1216c3725d9768196ee24200c0e88.png
:drunk: :bs:
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John
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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by John »

O6Z gfs :( :o :shock:
Last edited by John on Fri Nov 26, 2021 7:14 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Mattman
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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Mattman »

Typeing3 wrote: ↑Fri Nov 26, 2021 3:34 am Too late... I already did. :lol:

OP is an outlier, as expected.
If the OP is consistent for the next 24 hours, and if a a handful of members join the OP, then I'll really pay attention. That potential ridge merger sure is fun for the models to try and pin down.
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Hawk
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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

John wrote: ↑Fri Nov 26, 2021 5:20 am Oz gfs :( :o :shock:
..but we are already at 06z >may want to refresh? ;)

and 06z is :shock: :shock:

Went from 95.+ bomb to 106.+ Super High coming to chase Nito down south 8-)
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

New EC vocab added to rain warnings now :roll: :roll:

"Snowmelt will contribute to run off, increasing the risk of flooding and possibly impacting vulnerable landscapes and infrastructure."

:clap: :clap: :clap:
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Dec 4 cool down begins says GFS..they are back on track to their Nov 24 snowy solution..then Dec 6-8 looks quite snowy for ~48 hours 8-) 8-)
Only 10 days away! Tell em Nito!!! :think: :think:
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Here you go, Nito.

gfs-deterministic-vancouverski-t850_anom_stream-9180800.png
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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by John »

Hawk wrote: ↑Fri Nov 26, 2021 7:00 am ..but we are already at 06z >may want to refresh? ;)

and 06z is :shock: :shock:

Went from 95.+ bomb to 106.+ Super High coming to chase Nito down south 8-)
Has been corrected bro
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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

It's coming boys and girls..like my buttee Weeknd would say...
"I feel it coming" :lol: :lol:
:clap:
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

That run was just disgusting, within 200 hours. Either it's a major outlier (likely) or maybe its picking up a long range trend just early.

Also that ridiculously cold frame I posted is on my birthday. Make it be true! :clap:
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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Ensembles were not all that bad in my eyes.

Dec 6-7 period bears watching.
gfs-vancouver-ca-49n-123(3).jpeg
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*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Dec 4 the Hammmmmmer drops, and so do the temps :thumbup:
King GFS!
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Op was definitely an outlier, but it could be on to something. :think:
Spring/Summer :sick: Fall/Winter :thumbup:

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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Checked the manual gauge and ended up with 45 mm of rain yesterday.
Spring/Summer :sick: Fall/Winter :thumbup:

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