November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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HarrisonSasquatchWx
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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Coquitlam79 wrote:Tue Nov 30, 2021 2:10 am There is moisture from a tropical storm off of Guam and from a disturbance off of Luzon (the Philippines) being fed into the westerlies with this system. That's some impressive moisture fetch with this AR.

0920z.gif
Thanks for that impressive meteorological analysis Cman, always enjoy your reads. :thumbup:
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

AbbyJr wrote: Mon Nov 29, 2021 10:05 pm :wish: :wish: :wish:

gfs-deterministic-vancouverski-total_snow_10to1_cm-8813600.png
That map is making its rounds on the AF, too. It is merely an alternate manifestation of the GFS’ cold operational outlier.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

wetcoast91 wrote: Mon Nov 29, 2021 10:48 pm ECMWF says to hold off tonight. El Nino is here for a bit. Mild rain into dirty ridging and split hell.

Fork. Cancel. Move East as pattern looks to bring major snow potential to the Great Lakes. :alert:
Never bet against Team 10ËšC Rain.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Moderate to at times heavy rain in the central valley now.
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Roberts Creeker »

SouthSardiswx wrote: Tue Nov 30, 2021 3:03 am Moderate to at times heavy rain in the central valley now.
Steady rain here
:team: :flakey: :flakey:

Snow total: 1cm Dec 24, 1cm Feb 19
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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

Coquitlam79 wrote: Tue Nov 30, 2021 2:10 am There is moisture from a tropical storm off of Guam and from a disturbance off of Luzon (the Philippines) being fed into the westerlies with this system. That's some impressive moisture fetch with this AR.

0920z.gif
If we weren’t flooding I would call that beautiful 😍
All about them Cowboys !!! 🤠 🤠
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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Storm »

Lattest WMO multy model seasonal outlook.

https://twitter.com/WMO/status/14656314 ... Y3Tqw&s=19
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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Typeing3 wrote: Mon Nov 29, 2021 11:55 pm Quick reminder that YVR has had 3 straight snowless Decembers (2018-2019-2020), which is the longest streak on record. :problem:
What an embarrassing disaster :roll: :roll:
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

06 GFS chilly and wet
:alert: :alert:
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Storm »

ens_image.png
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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

I mean look at this signal. This has to be onto something...right?


gfs-ensemble-all-avg-namer-t850_anom_stream-1638252000-1639224000-1639634400-20.gif
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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Storm »

PortKells wrote: Tue Nov 30, 2021 6:37 am I mean look at this signal. This has to be onto something...right?



gfs-ensemble-all-avg-namer-t850_anom_stream-1638252000-1639224000-1639634400-20.gif
Don't look at snowfall totals, will hurt your eyes with those pretty colors.
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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Storm »

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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by John »

Seems this AR is coming in further south? Than projected? Very wet this morning
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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Storm »

John wrote: Tue Nov 30, 2021 6:43 am Seems this AR is coming in further south? Than projected? Very wet this morning
Yeah, it looks like the Valley is getting the goodies again.
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