December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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SouthSardiswx
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Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Courtesy of the winter canceled AF.
ecmwf-ensemble-avg-namer-t850_anom_5day-0174400.thumb.png.81498c7086290967949f1d67622ba92f.png
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Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Monty »

SouthSardiswx wrote: Tue Dec 07, 2021 11:33 am Re: Doyle
Sun-Tue sporadic flurries, l don't believe it above 300m perhaps.
850s below -6c with 925mb -1 to -2C with a showery airmass could produce snow flurries to sea level although best chance of accumulating snow would come with elevation
North end of Shawnigan Lake. Southern Vancouver island. 500ft
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Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Monty »

Here’s your MJO phase to observed temperature composite maps for North American in NDJ
94E75A32-DD24-45E7-81FD-2EEB3A46E535.png
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Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Monty »

At least we got enough snow to build 1 slightly muddy snowman
98274215-9359-471B-A51E-7233B51734A2.jpeg
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Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

[quote=Monty post_id=692191 time=1638910221 user_id=711]
At least we got enough snow to build 1 slightly muddy snowman
:lol:
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Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

[quote=Monty post_id=692181 time=1638910077 user_id=711]
Here’s your MJO phase to observed temperature
O.k. so what phase are we in or going into then?
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Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Stock up Granddaddy just in case. :thumbup:
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Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Monty »

SouthSardiswx wrote: Tue Dec 07, 2021 1:07 pm
I think we’re in 6. Heading for 7 and then possibly 8.
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Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Ya throw these maps out. When these maps and graphs are showing W. Van Isle, Pitt Meadows, and Abby in the hammer zone :lol: :lol:
:bs: and :w101: and :naughty:
Are we prepared for this stormy, chilly and wet November, LN style, with our first warning shots :flakey: :flakey: coming early due to this potentially historic LN :shock: :shock:
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
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Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Hawk wrote: Tue Dec 07, 2021 2:43 pm Ya throw these maps out. When these maps and graphs are showing W. Van Isle, Pitt Meadows, and Abby in the hammer zone :lol: :lol:
:bs: and :w101: and :naughty:
I don’t think too many on here take them that seriously.

At least I hope not!

:think:
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

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#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

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Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Hawk wrote: Tue Dec 07, 2021 2:43 pm Ya throw these maps out. When these maps and graphs are showing W. Van Isle, Pitt Meadows, and Abby in the hammer zone :lol: :lol:
:bs: and :w101: and :naughty:
:arrow: :arrow: :arrow:

https://climate.weather.gc.ca/climate_d ... ame=Tahsis
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Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Roberts Creeker »

SouthSardiswx wrote: Tue Dec 07, 2021 11:06 am l don't believe these picasso snow maps anymore. But there good to use to adjust the color on my old 1996 Dell monitor.
:lol: :lol:
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Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

:lol: 1969..what about the other 52 years since? :think: :think: Even Portland gets buried once in a blue moon, and they is way south :flakey: :flakey:
Are we prepared for this stormy, chilly and wet November, LN style, with our first warning shots :flakey: :flakey: coming early due to this potentially historic LN :shock: :shock:
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
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Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Plus Tahsis is more N/Central, and not really outer coast. Deep channel..kinda like Port Alberni, and central Island than western ;)
I checked it out. They prolly get lots of snow sometimes..i think ive seen them get snow on Drive BC lots when we are getting rain here :thumbdown:
Are we prepared for this stormy, chilly and wet November, LN style, with our first warning shots :flakey: :flakey: coming early due to this potentially historic LN :shock: :shock:
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
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Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Split.
Flow.

Not a dry one though. Tons of chilly drizzle and minimal dry days.

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