January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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PortKells
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

AbbyJr wrote: Mon Jan 24, 2022 3:08 pm Yeah but there is still time for it to flip back to the -PNA/-EPO cold pattern. While I'm not confident that it will, it's still a possibility. :thumbup:
Well of course. But it takes time to develop that pattern. We might run out of runway.

I'm now focused on skiing and secondly just some nice days to get some things done. Maybe late Feb will give us a surprise.
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Typeing3 wrote: Mon Jan 24, 2022 3:22 pm Feb 1990 snowstorm repeat!
I actually remember that one! Had moved to Seattle the summer before, and it was one of the first good lowland snow events I got to experience.

It was about four of five years ago that there was a snow event on that same weekend (which is President’s Day down there) in Seattle. Was Vancouver skunked on that event? ISTR it hitting on a Friday or a Saturday and although the roads melted clear where the sun hit them, shaded areas stayed treacherously icy through the entire weekend, which really put the kibosh on my cycling. Highs were below freezing but the sun was pretty strong, hence the partial melting, which reminded me a lot of winters in the mountains of New Mexico.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

wetcoast91 wrote: Mon Jan 24, 2022 12:56 pm:hawk: ?
What does this Hawk mean? :| U need to move to Sunny and warm Oregon :thumbup:
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Looks like winter has ended. Models have failed. Prolly get a chilly March and April. Plant the lettuces. Cover them... higher sun angles cant be beat. Woo hoo. I love garden veggies :hearteyes: :hearteyes:
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

tell em Nito!!
:lol: :lol:
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Wintergirl »

Hawk wrote: Mon Jan 24, 2022 5:34 pm Looks like winter has ended. Models have failed. Prolly get a chilly March and April. Plant the lettuces. Cover them... higher sun angles cant be beat. Woo hoo. I love garden veggies :hearteyes: :hearteyes:
It's still winter here, snow covered and 0 degrees, no fog and stars in the sky, cold and crisp! 😍
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: Mon Jan 24, 2022 4:33 pm I actually remember that one! Had moved to Seattle the summer before, and it was one of the first good lowland snow events I got to experience.

It was about four of five years ago that there was a snow event on that same weekend (which is President’s Day down there) in Seattle. Was Vancouver skunked on that event? ISTR it hitting on a Friday or a Saturday and although the roads melted clear where the sun hit them, shaded areas stayed treacherously icy through the entire weekend, which really put the kibosh on my cycling. Highs were below freezing but the sun was pretty strong, hence the partial melting, which reminded me a lot of winters in the mountains of New Mexico.
Yeah the 1990 storm hit on Valentine's Day and dropped about 30-50cm over two days across Metro Vancouver.

Are you thinking of February 2014? We had a three day snowfall on the 22nd-23rd-24th (Saturday-Sunday-Monday). Had constant light snow on the weekend with temps around 0-1c which really limited accumulations too especially due to the higher sun angles. I think I only picked up about 5cm over both days here but higher elevations (Mundy Park, Westwood plateau, etc), got about 30cm on the weekend. We did get hit pretty good by Monday (~15-20cm for a three day storm total of ~20-25cm) as temps dipped ever so slightly and snow rates increased. By that time, upper westwood plateau had picked up a storm total of over 50cm, nearing 60cm. Was chaos locally over there (some plows got stuck) with the huge difference between lower elevations and higher elevations.

You could also be thinking of the February 23rd, 2018 (Friday) snowstorm. That was a big one considering most of it fell during the day. We did get a second round of a bit more snow later in the night and early morning on the 24th. Picked up about 30cm here on the 23rd plus a few more cm later that night into the 24th. I think YVR got about 15-20cm total.
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Typeing3 wrote: Mon Jan 24, 2022 6:30 pm You could also be thinking of the February 23rd, 2018 (Friday) snowstorm. That was a big one considering most of it fell during the day. We did get a second round of a bit more snow later in the night and early morning on the 24th. Picked up about 30cm here on the 23rd plus a few more cm later that night into the 24th. I think YVR got about 15-20cm total.
2018, I think. Not even 10 cm fell on Bainbridge Island, but it did stick around for the weekend due to the temperature.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by tyweather »

Skiing was beautiful above the fog.
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Why not try cycling to work, grocery store, anywhere!
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Antares »

Yikes. Not looking so good even here. Wtf happened. :wtf:
It always snows in December in the Kootenays :clap:
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by tyweather »

The GEM says what about me after day 10?
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Why not try cycling to work, grocery store, anywhere!
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

tyweather wrote: Mon Jan 24, 2022 10:16 pm The GEM says what about me after day 10?
:lol: and yet the GEM yesterday didn't it back off with the cold?
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Antares wrote: Mon Jan 24, 2022 9:27 pm Yikes. Not looking so good even here. Wtf happened. :wtf:
Climo! :lol:
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

00z GFS ensembles:
ens_image.png
00z GEM ensembles:
ens_image (1).png
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:typing: :type3:
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Huh? :wtf: 06Z GooFuS wants us to have snow followed by chilly air, then more snow. Then a 3rd system in the :14clown: range.
gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_37.png
gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_44.png
gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_50.png
gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_63.png
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Last edited by HarrisonSasquatchWx on Tue Jan 25, 2022 3:16 am, edited 1 time in total.
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
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