October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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HarrisonSasquatchWx
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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

John wrote: ↑Sat Oct 29, 2022 12:35 pm I don’t, what do you mean?
Sink John as in kitchen or bathroom sink. :D
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
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Catnip
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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Typeing3 wrote: ↑Sat Oct 29, 2022 3:11 pm Looks like a lot of phantom snow... Euro resolution issues have carried over from last winter.
Yup. Temps are pretty marginal. Looks like a count the wet flakes on the higher hills type setup... for now.
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Catnip
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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

New station has been ordered.


51fSHzJV5dL._AC_SL1000_.jpg
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*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Bonovox
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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Typeing3 wrote: ↑Sat Oct 29, 2022 3:11 pm Looks like a lot of phantom snow... Euro resolution issues have carried over from last winter.
Apparently the next GFS upgrade scheduled for November is supposed to address this issue. We’ll see though.


:dunno:
Spring/Summer :sick: Fall/Winter :thumbup:

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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Catnip wrote: ↑Sat Oct 29, 2022 2:31 pm yxx.png

yxx snow.png
That’s some pretty good consensus on the EPS. Wow.
Spring/Summer :sick: Fall/Winter :thumbup:

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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Catnip wrote: ↑Sat Oct 29, 2022 3:33 pm Yup. Temps are pretty marginal. Looks like a count the wet flakes on the higher hills type setup... for now.
Probably kind of like a couple of events last season that depended a lot on precip rates and dynamic cooling. Hard to predict.
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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

12Z Euro view of the whole south coast. :shock:
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Rubus_Leucodermis
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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Catnip wrote: ↑Sat Oct 29, 2022 12:06 pm 96E2F1BC-2413-4E26-9948-868D379318BC.png
I’m in the pepto zone on that map. Yes, please!
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Speaking of the GFS upgrade, here is Day 10 for comparison sakes.

GFS 16.2
16.2.png
GFS 16.3
16.3.png
Euro
Euro.png
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*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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VanCitySouth
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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

Catnip wrote: ↑Sat Oct 29, 2022 3:52 pm Speaking of the GFS upgrade, here is Day 10 for comparison sakes.

GFS 16.2
16.2.png
GFS 16.3
16.3.png

Euro
Euro.png
Looks like we're pretty close but it needs juuuuuuuust a bit less digging.
2025-26 season stats:
Climo :cancel: ∞ to 0.5 :14clown: GFS

Season total: 0.5 cm and TWO traces!
Peak depth: 0.5 cm (01/07/2026)
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Roberts Creeker
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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by Roberts Creeker »

Typeing3 wrote: ↑Sat Oct 29, 2022 3:11 pm Looks like a lot of phantom snow... Euro resolution issues have carried over from last winter.
Phantom snow, perfect for Halloween :lol: :lol: but let's not have it anywhere else :lol: :lol:
:team: :flakey: :flakey:

Snow total: 1cm Dec 24, 1cm Feb 19
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Roberts Creeker
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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by Roberts Creeker »

Catnip wrote: ↑Sat Oct 29, 2022 3:37 pm New station has been ordered.

:congrats: :bravo:

Nice!!! :clap: :clap:
:team: :flakey: :flakey:

Snow total: 1cm Dec 24, 1cm Feb 19
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Roberts Creeker
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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by Roberts Creeker »

Bonovox wrote: ↑Sat Oct 29, 2022 3:48 pm 12Z Euro view of the whole south coast. :shock:
Yes!!!! I'm in the 37.2 cm range!!! (I hope it's not rain, that would be more than ample :crazy: )
:team: :flakey: :flakey:

Snow total: 1cm Dec 24, 1cm Feb 19
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Typeing3
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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Bonovox wrote: ↑Sat Oct 29, 2022 3:48 pm 12Z Euro view of the whole south coast. :shock:
Relatively low snow levels (>800m) at the very least seem to be a lock for a few days. North shore mountains will really start building the winter snowpack.
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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Lowest temps of the season (potential freeze too) possible on Wednesday and Thursday. Will depend on cloud cover.

18z GFS -- Wednesday morning temps
gfs_T2m_nwus_16.png

18z GFS -- Thursday morning temps
gfs_T2m_nwus_20.png
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