October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Catnip
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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

It would be quite the 30 day stretch of weather if this actually happens.

Record heat ---> fairly wet ---> Cold/snowy
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

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#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Bonovox
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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Catnip wrote: ↑Mon Oct 31, 2022 11:12 am It would be quite the 30 day stretch of weather if this actually happens.

Record heat ---> fairly wet ---> Cold/snowy
Kind of a macroscale snapshot of our typical winter pattern progression. Ridging, followed by rain leading to cold and snowy.
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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Some ensemble improvement.

Operational is off on it's own toward the end, but the mid-range shows potential.

6z
6z.png
12z
12z.png
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*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

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#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Euro sim to GFS on Friday. Goods are still upstream of course.
Euro.png
gfs.png
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*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

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#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Catnip wrote: ↑Mon Oct 31, 2022 9:55 am :o :o :o :o :o

Wow, cold right through the week.

These maps look pretty much the same all through the week.

Mon am
mon am.png

Sat AM


sat am.png
Guess the 12z GFS decided to show us early November 1911 and 1955 today. How drunk is it? :lol: :lol:

For reference:
November 1911
Vancouver (downtown): https://climate.weather.gc.ca/climate_d ... pe=navLink
New Westminster: https://climate.weather.gc.ca/climate_d ... estminster
North Nicomen: https://climate.weather.gc.ca/climate_d ... pe=navLink
Chilliwack: https://climate.weather.gc.ca/climate_d ... pe=navLink
Agassiz: https://climate.weather.gc.ca/climate_d ... me=Agassiz

November 1955
Vancouver (YVR): https://climate.weather.gc.ca/climate_d ... Vancouver+
New Westminster: https://climate.weather.gc.ca/climate_d ... pe=navLink
Pitt Meadows: https://climate.weather.gc.ca/climate_d ... pe=navLink
Abbotsford (YXX): https://climate.weather.gc.ca/climate_d ... bbotsford+
Agassiz: https://climate.weather.gc.ca/climate_d ... pe=navLink
Chilliwack: https://climate.weather.gc.ca/climate_d ... 5&Month=11#
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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

12Z Euro

Cold building in Northern BC.
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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Deep trough settling in over us.
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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by Storm »

Bonovox wrote: ↑Mon Oct 31, 2022 11:36 am Deep trough settling in over us.
Euro is making a move towards the GFS.
gfs_T850_nwus_29.png
ec-fast_T850_nwus_8.png
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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Storm wrote: ↑Mon Oct 31, 2022 11:38 am Euro is making a move towards the GFS.
It sure is. Not quite there yet for the snow compared to the GFS, but getting close.
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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Storm wrote: ↑Mon Oct 31, 2022 11:38 am Euro is making a move towards the GFS.
gfs_T850_nwus_29.png
ec-fast_T850_nwus_8.png
Image
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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by Storm »

Bonovox wrote: ↑Mon Oct 31, 2022 11:44 am It sure is. Not quite there yet for the snow compared to the GFS, but getting close.
Baby steps
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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Euro 850's Monday AM
850 mon am.png
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2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Tuesday morning lows.
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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Lots of ensemble support for snow on the 12Z GEFS in the mid range. This is 24 hour snowfall, so it won't look as snowy as the total snow map, but I think it gives a better idea of individual "events."
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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

12Z Euro snowfall.
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