November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Catnip
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Typeing3 wrote: ↑Thu Nov 03, 2022 3:24 pm No overrunning event on the 18z... shows the precip shield on Thursday getting shredded by the dry air and outflow before it even reaches the lower mainland. Gradual warmup in the meantime.
#climo
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Storm wrote: ↑Thu Nov 03, 2022 3:24 pm GFS not backing down.
18Z NAM for you.
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Storm wrote: ↑Thu Nov 03, 2022 3:24 pm GFS not backing down.
Beats the NF model which is calling for +12C and rain.
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Monday PM comparison

Current
mondaypm.png
New
mondaypm new.png
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Catnip wrote: ↑Thu Nov 03, 2022 3:25 pm#climo
#Nito
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Storm »

Bonovox wrote: ↑Thu Nov 03, 2022 3:25 pm 18Z NAM for you.
Bring it. In Nam we trust
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Current GFS keeps getting colder with each run.

-11/-12 850's

:shrug:
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Catnip wrote: ↑Thu Nov 03, 2022 3:27 pm Current GFS keeps getting colder with each run.

-11/-12 850's

:shrug:
It did pretty well with the heat dome when we were all calling it crazy.

:dunno:
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Analogue: Drier version of the early Nov 1973 event. With slightly colder temps.
Screenshot 2022-11-03 152743.png
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Bonovox wrote: ↑Thu Nov 03, 2022 3:28 pm It did pretty well with the heat dome when we were all calling it crazy.

:dunno:
It's GEFS supports it also.

:shrug:
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Typeing3 wrote: ↑Thu Nov 03, 2022 3:28 pm Analogue: Drier version of the early Nov 1973 event. With slightly colder temps.
Screenshot 2022-11-03 152743.png
Early Nov 2017 looks to be a fairly decent match as well.
Screenshot 2022-11-03 153216.png
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Catnip wrote: ↑Thu Nov 03, 2022 3:30 pm It's GEFS supports it also.

:shrug:
Sure does. I wouldn't discount it. Either way, without snow it is a bit of a moot point for me personally. A couple degrees on either side and bare ground isn't very exciting. :lol:
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

One thing is for certain. Early Nov 1949 is NOT a good analogue. :lol:
Screenshot 2022-11-03 153331.png
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Typeing3 wrote: ↑Thu Nov 03, 2022 3:34 pm One thing is for certain. Early Nov 1949 is NOT a good analogue. :lol:
Screenshot 2022-11-03 153331.png
Nito Approved!

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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Some "slight" differences on Tuesday Morning.
tuesam.png
tuesamnew.png
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*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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