November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Monty
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

wetcoast91 wrote: ↑Fri Nov 25, 2022 11:13 am Downsloping SE winds :flakey: :cancel:
Ya you’re gonna need some deep arctic air in place if you want a big snowstorm here with a bombing cyclone that far north. Either way it’s still 5-6 days out. So things are gonna change. Currently we have gfs, gem and icon in our corner. Euro and UKmet are off the team. Their probably watching soccer anyways.
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Haha, Euro. Wow, that isn't pretty. :(
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Bonovox wrote: ↑Fri Nov 25, 2022 11:19 am Haha, Euro. Wow, that isn't pretty. :(
Devastating trendz Bono.
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

The trend on the Euro is concerning, but this could just be the pullback and we go back to cold and snow on tonight or tomorrow morning's runs.
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Catnip wrote: ↑Fri Nov 25, 2022 11:21 am Devastating trendz Bono.
Me, wondering if I want to keep looking at the models....


Image
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

The Icon looks ideal for the LM. Plenty of moisture with NW flow and you’d likely see some easterly low level
Flow holding on before the real cold arrives.
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Abby_wx wrote: ↑Fri Nov 25, 2022 10:13 am Moderate rain this morning. 17 mm so far. Very dark today.

I don't have time to read 30 pages, but what's it looking like for Abbotsford between now and 10 am Wednesday?

I can't get my snow tires mounted until then. I should've done it sooner, but I've been so busy with work.
Basically a model fight between the Euro and GFS/GEM/ICON at this point. :lol:
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Posting the ICON again to make myself feel better.
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

The GFS clobbers the Seattle area. :lol:
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Bonovox wrote: ↑Fri Nov 25, 2022 11:27 am The GFS clobbers the Seattle area. :lol:
#itwilltrendnorth

:twisted:
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Well it looks like the 18z BLEND has increased... could be because of the Euro run though.

Both as of Friday 4pm
Friday 4pm -18z.png
friday 4pm - 15z.png
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Catnip wrote: ↑Fri Nov 25, 2022 11:33 am Well it looks like the 18z BLEND has increased... could be because of the Euro run though.
Maybe. It is quite the neat product.

https://vlab.noaa.gov/web/mdl/nbm
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

https://twitter.com/ensembleator/status ... 5HsCNIujIg
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Bonovox wrote: ↑Fri Nov 25, 2022 11:36 am Maybe. It is quite the neat product.

https://vlab.noaa.gov/web/mdl/nbm
It is!

I was reading that the other day. I'm really impressed by the amount of model inputs it uses!
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

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#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

https://twitter.com/joejoezz/status/159 ... 5HsCNIujIg
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