February 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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PortKells
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Re: February 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

There's still a ton of overnight potential.
hrdps-vancouverski-snow_1hr_10to1_cm-8576800.png
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Re: February 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Leighbugs »

Snowing nicely here. Accumulating. :thumbup:
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Re: February 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Here’s what the mesoscale models say for tonight.
hrdps-vancouverski-total_snow_kuchera_cm-8602000.png
hrrr-vancouverski-total_snow_kuchera_cm-8602000.png
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It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: February 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

PortKells wrote: Sun Feb 02, 2025 4:36 pm There's still a ton of overnight potential.
That’s cool. I hope you guys get hammered (with snow). I think this is over for the SW Metro region.
Spring/Summer :sick: Fall/Winter :thumbup:

Ladner - Elevation: Sea Level

Wx Station: https://tempestwx.com/station/41362/grid
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Re: February 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Looks like the heaviest band passes through eastern sections soon. Should split off and give western sections something as well.
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Re: February 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

This is IMO not very good wording (emphasis added):
4:28 PM PST Sunday 2 February 2025
Snowfall Warning in effect for:

Metro Vancouver - central including the City of Vancouver Burnaby and New Westminster

A long period of snowfall with total amounts of 15 to 25 cm is expected.

Where: Metro Vancouver and Howe Sound.

When: Now through Monday morning.

Remarks: Bands of snowfall and localized heavy flurries continue to impact the South Coast of B.C. through Monday morning. A period of heavy snowfall is expected again tonight. Additional accumulations will vary across the region, ranging from 5 to 10 cm. The highest amounts will likely occur over higher terrain, but other areas may see locally intense flurries giving reduced visibility and heavy snow accumulation. Precipitation will taper off to a few flurries Monday morning.

Visibility may be suddenly reduced at times in heavy snow. Surfaces such as highways, roads, walkways and parking lots may become difficult to navigate due to accumulating snow.

Prepare for quickly changing and deteriorating travel conditions.

Please continue to monitor alerts and forecasts issued by Environment Canada. To report severe weather, send an email to BCstorm@ec.gc.ca or tweet reports using #BCStorm.
So, are we expecting 15–25 cm more (note future tense wording), or 5–10 cm more? I think it's the latter if you read it carefully, though you shouldn't have to read these things carefully.

Also, per the maps I just posted, 5–10 cm is very generous, and seems ignorant of the showery nature of this event. Many areas won’t even see 5 cm. “up to 10 cm” would be more accurate.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: February 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

:alert: it's been coming down here really good in Willoughby for 2 hours most of it moderate snow or better. I'm now measuring in inches. There's about 4 of them :shock: :shock:
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
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Re: February 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

Flurries just redeveloped. Right as it's getting dark too. Maybe I do stand a chance at a few more cm tonight...

Wait nvm it's graupel. Hail and a mix? I am confused but whatever it is it ain't melting.
Last edited by VanCitySouth on Sun Feb 02, 2025 4:51 pm, edited 1 time in total.
2025-26 season stats:
Climo :cancel: ∞ to 0.5 :14clown: GFS

Season total: 0.5 cm and TWO traces!
Peak depth: 0.5 cm (01/07/2026)
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Re: February 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by walthz »

Hawk wrote: Sun Feb 02, 2025 3:55 pm Is this your first winter in squamish? I remember you moved but I can't remember where from. Was it south Langley? You are reaping immediate benefits for moving to Squamish which usually does very well with these troffy situations :thumbup:
I moved last fall, just over a year ago, and it's nice that we are always very close to snow, even when we're not getting it right in town. I used to live just north of QE.
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Re: February 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Bonovox wrote: Sun Feb 02, 2025 4:42 pm That’s cool. I hope you guys get hammered (with snow). I think this is over for the SW Metro region.
Haha thank you for clarifying. Last night was the other kind of hammered, hopefully the more healthy one here.

I think you might be right...Ladner might be the sadlands.
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Re: February 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

Are we writing off the arctic front in terms of moisture?
And also where is it?
2025-26 season stats:
Climo :cancel: ∞ to 0.5 :14clown: GFS

Season total: 0.5 cm and TWO traces!
Peak depth: 0.5 cm (01/07/2026)
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Re: February 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: Sun Feb 02, 2025 4:48 pm This is IMO not very good wording (emphasis added):



So, are we expecting 15–25 cm more (note future tense wording), or 5–10 cm more? I think it's the latter if you read it carefully, though you shouldn't have to read these things carefully.

Also, per the maps I just posted, 5–10 cm is very generous, and seems ignorant of the showery nature of this event. Many areas won’t even see 5 cm. “up to 10 cm” would be more accurate.
Flurries at times heavy. 2 to 5cm with localized amounts near 10cm. How hard is that????
VanCitySouth wrote: Sun Feb 02, 2025 4:54 pm Are we writing off the arctic front in terms of moisture?
And also where is it?
It's not a dynamic front.
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Re: February 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Michael1 »

VanCitySouth wrote: Sun Feb 02, 2025 4:54 pm Are we writing off the arctic front in terms of moisture?
And also where is it?
For us, EC dangled the SEX for 3 days and canceled it with the 4 pm update. The last time EC got our forecast right was the mid November windstorm. That over performed lol
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Re: February 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Finally eased up to some light flurry and graupel showers mixed. I'll check the radar to see what else is coming next. I would say 9-10 cm..so far 8-)
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
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Re: February 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Hawk wrote: Sun Feb 02, 2025 5:03 pm Finally eased up to some light flurry and graupel showers mixed. I'll check the radar to see what else is coming next. I would say 9-10 cm..so far 8-)
Nice score!
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