August 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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HarrisonSasquatchWx
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Re: August 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Antares wrote: Tue Aug 03, 2021 12:40 pm 25.5C and a bit smoky (but not too bad) here in Cranbrook. :wave:

Had some heavy rain yesterday.
So are you officially a Cranbrookian Antmeister?
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Re: August 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by LadnerWeather »

00z GFS looks wetter this weekend compared to previous runs. Still pretty dry for early Friday AM tho. Hopefully the trend for the weekend continues on the Euro but I won’t get excited until i see the rain falling :shh:
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Re: August 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

00Z GFS. That really isn't enough rain to suppress any fire growth in a meaningful way in the southern interior. For the bulk of the region anyway.
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Last edited by Bonovox on Tue Aug 03, 2021 10:07 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: August 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

00Z GEM is even worse.
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Re: August 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Nice end to the GFS at day 10. A substantial slug of moisture moves through the interior.
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Re: August 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

LadnerWeather wrote: Tue Aug 03, 2021 10:02 pm 00z GFS looks wetter this weekend compared to previous runs. Still pretty dry for early Friday AM tho. Hopefully the trend for the weekend continues on the Euro but I won’t get excited until i see the rain falling :shh:
Falling apart, rug pull like winter.
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Re: August 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Bonovox wrote: Tue Aug 03, 2021 10:11 pm Nice end to the GFS at day 10. A substantial slug of moisture moves through the interior.
Outlier
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Re: August 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

This is the run to run consistency of day 10 on the last 5 GFS runs. :lol:
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Re: August 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

LadnerWeather wrote: Tue Aug 03, 2021 10:02 pm 00z GFS looks wetter this weekend compared to previous runs. Still pretty dry for early Friday AM tho. Hopefully the trend for the weekend continues on the Euro but I won’t get excited until i see the rain falling :shh:
Nice to see your around still Ladderman. :D
Last edited by HarrisonSasquatchWx on Tue Aug 03, 2021 11:09 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: August 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Bonovox wrote: Tue Aug 03, 2021 10:14 pm This is the run to run consistency of day 10 on the last 5 GFS runs. :lol:
:lol: :clap: :clap:

That is why I look at the GFS to satisfy my curiosity but I look at the Euro, EPS, RGEM, HRDPS, and HRRR to produce a forecast. :thumbup:
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Re: August 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

For what it is worth, the 18Z Euro was drier on Saturday morning than the 12Z. :tiredos:
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Re: August 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

And the 00Z Euro is taking the moisture south on Saturday. :roll:
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Re: August 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Bonovox wrote: Tue Aug 03, 2021 11:16 pm And the 00Z Euro is taking the moisture south on Saturday. :roll:
Redeems itself by the afternoon though.
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Re: August 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Thanks for keeping a handle on things Bones errr maybe not.
Spin the wheel time, darts, pin the tail on the donkey.
I bet the heatwave is still there.
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Re: August 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Bonovox wrote: Tue Aug 03, 2021 11:18 pm Redeems itself by the afternoon though.
Outlier :lol:
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