Weather101 wrote: ↑Fri Nov 27, 2020 5:26 pm
I think you took my post in the wrong way. If he was hyping them up that's fine. The issue is he starts attacking people who use common sense and can clearly see there is nothing there. He also sets himself up for disappointment which happens every year and he actually seems to get really depressed over it. He needs to learn to set his expectations lower and not wish cast. One year people were actually worried about his well being and if he was okay. The other issue I have with him is his predictions like you said are bold and honestly really stupid. It's really hard to take him seriously when he's wanting a 100 freezes a winter lol
Actually I think you may have taken my response the wrong way. but no problem.
I agree with everything you said and that was precisely my point. That is, if all he was doing was hyping up the model runs, I wouldn't have any problem with that. However, I do have a problem with how he attacks people who disagree with him, especially given the fact that his predictions are usually so ridiculously unlikely to verify. Its bizarre to me that he expects people to always agree with him and seems to stir up drama everytime someone is even the slightest bit skeptical of his historic arctic blast predictions every time there is a chance of a GOA ridge. Its perplexing but I too hope he is okay. Its concerning if he is actually allowing the weather to give him depression to the point that people would be worried about him.
AbbyJr wrote: ↑Fri Nov 27, 2020 5:35 pm
Actually I think you may have taken my response the wrong way. but no problem.
I agree with everything you said and that was precisely my point. That is, if all he was doing was hyping up the model runs, I wouldn't have any problem with that. However, I do have a problem with how he attacks people who disagree with him, especially given the fact that his predictions are usually so ridiculously unlikely to verify. Its bizarre to me that he expects people to always agree with him and seems to stir up drama everytime someone is even the slightest bit skeptical of his historic arctic blast predictions every time there is a chance of a GOA ridge. Its perplexing but I too hope he is okay. Its concerning if he is actually allowing the weather to give him depression to the point that people would be worried about him.
My bad haha and that whole forum is a toxic mess anyways. He seriously over hypes every arctic blast every time and he wonders why people are skeptical. He reminds me of a car dealership salesmen just saying whatever they can to make the sale and sell the car.
Yeah that is the most concerning part.. The fact he actually allows it to effect his life is a bit scary.
Weather101 wrote: ↑Fri Nov 27, 2020 5:42 pmMy bad haha and that whole forum is a toxic mess anyways. He seriously over hypes every arctic blast every time and he wonders why people are skeptical. He reminds me of a car dealership salesmen just saying whatever they can to make the sale and sell the car.
Yeah that is the most concerning part.. The fact he actually allows it to effect his life is a bit scary.
Catnip wrote: ↑Fri Nov 27, 2020 10:45 pm
#patternlock
3E34F4EF-9F75-4BC6-AE75-E16B900C3353.png
This is pretty much looking like a strong +ENSO pattern like we saw between DJF in 2014- 2015. Models even want to bridge that Greenland and West Coast Rex block...this would lock Europe and the eastern CONUS into a lengthy cold spell (6-8 weeks?). Very unusual to get a sustained +PNA with -1.5 ENSO value. At this point...the ENSO values serve as no real indicator on our climate anymore.
Models even want to introduce some potential mixing to bring the threat of record warmth with a cut off low due south in the 7-10 period.
wetcoast91 wrote: ↑Fri Nov 27, 2020 10:58 pm
This is pretty much looking like a strong +ENSO pattern like we saw between DJF in 2014- 2015. Models even want to bridge that Greenland and West Coast Rex block...this would lock Europe and the eastern CONUS into a lengthy cold spell (6-8 weeks?). Very unusual to get a sustained +PNA with -1.5 ENSO value. At this point...the ENSO values serve as no real indicator on our climate anymore.
Models even want to introduce some potential mixing to bring the threat of record warmth with a cut off low due south in the 7-10 period.
Honestly if it isn't going to get cold or snow, mine as well be sunny and mild imo.
wetcoast91 wrote: ↑Fri Nov 27, 2020 10:58 pm
This is pretty much looking like a strong +ENSO pattern like we saw between DJF in 2014- 2015. Models even want to bridge that Greenland and West Coast Rex block...this would lock Europe and the eastern CONUS into a lengthy cold spell (6-8 weeks?). Very unusual to get a sustained +PNA with -1.5 ENSO value. At this point...the ENSO values serve as no real indicator on our climate anymore.
Models even want to introduce some potential mixing to bring the threat of record warmth with a cut off low due south in the 7-10 period.
but no problem. 
can I please see your identification. 
