February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Hawk
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

PortKells wrote: Thu Feb 23, 2023 12:54 pm Bonkers :alert: :flakey:

ecmwf-ensemble-CWMM-indiv_snow-7153600.png
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More like model failure. Pitt Meadows struggles to get those totals in an entire La Nina season...never mind Feb 26 to March 10 :lol: :lol:
Throw it out :roll:
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
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PortKells
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Steady as she goes. No kuchera for icon maps so it looks a little different.
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PortKells
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Hawk wrote: Thu Feb 23, 2023 2:24 pm More like model failure. Pitt Meadows struggles to get those totals in an entire La Nina season...never mind Feb 26 to March 10 :lol: :lol:
Throw it out :roll:
Pitt might be affected by terrain bleed but it is the euro were talking about.
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Pumpkin Seed »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: Thu Feb 23, 2023 2:00 pm Encouraging to see the Euro cave to the snowier models instead of the other way 'round.

This is making me feel a lot like the lead-in to February 2019 when I was living near Seattle. Right now we are at that stage where we are exiting clown range yet the models are sticking to super-snowy solutions more than ever. Not quite yet to the point where I will conclude they are probably correct, but the possibility of it being more than just model artifacts is becoming more and more likely with each run.

If, tomorrow afternoon, these model trends are holding, it will be time to get excited.
I got excited already. I will take it even if only 5 or so cm out of this event. Hopefully the accumulated snow, if any, will last for a few days before being washed away and that will make a perfect ending for this winter.
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

More for Monday.
gfs-deterministic-vancouverski-snow_24hr_kuchera_cm-7520800.png
And Friday:
gfs-deterministic-vancouverski-snow_24hr_kuchera_cm-7801600.png
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Last edited by PortKells on Thu Feb 23, 2023 2:42 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

PortKells wrote: Thu Feb 23, 2023 2:39 pm More for Monday.

gfs-deterministic-vancouverski-snow_24hr_kuchera_cm-7520800.png
I love how they've all trended cooler for early next week. Euro started doing it last night too.
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Pumpkin Seed wrote: Thu Feb 23, 2023 2:34 pm I got excited already. I will take it even if only 5 or so cm out of this event. Hopefully the accumulated snow, if any, will last for a few days before being washed away and that will make a perfect ending for this winter.
There's this idea you shouldn't get your hopes up until the snow is falling. This one's been literally shown on the models with very little variation for over a week now, I think you can safely scream it from the rooftops.
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Our tax dollars pay for this.

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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PittGal »

Going by the models you guys see as of today, what would be your best guess of when the snow would be starting on Saturday?
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

PittGal wrote: Thu Feb 23, 2023 3:07 pm Going by the models you guys see as of today, what would be your best guess of when the snow would be starting on Saturday?
Between 4-6 pm. (Perfect timing for colder temps)
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

PortKells wrote: Thu Feb 23, 2023 3:09 pm Between 4-6 pm. (Perfect timing for colder temps)
Ideally a clear night on Friday and the clouds move in around sunrise Saturday.
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Typeing3 wrote: Thu Feb 23, 2023 3:13 pm Ideally a clear night on Friday and the clouds move in around sunrise Saturday.
Looks like we might get some clearance. Then cloudy all Saturday.
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Antares »

hey Buttiees, hope y'all get some good snow on Saturday night. Looks like it. :wtf: :wtf: :silent:

-12C here at the moment. Not such a snowy forecast here but that could change. :think:
It always snows in December in the Kootenays :clap:
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Pumpkin Seed »

PortKells wrote: Thu Feb 23, 2023 2:55 pm There's this idea you shouldn't get your hopes up until the snow is falling. This one's been literally shown on the models with very little variation for over a week now, I think you can safely scream it from the rooftops.
My daughter said she had already heard on the social media about a HUGH snow storm is coming this Saturday! So I guess I am not the only one got excited.
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by tyweather »

Pumpkin Seed wrote: Thu Feb 23, 2023 4:06 pm My daughter said she had already heard on the social media about a HUGH snow storm is coming this Saturday! So I guess I am not the only one got excited.
I didn't realize that the upcoming storm already had a name. Not sure if I would have gone with snow storm HUGH. :lol:
Why not try cycling to work, grocery store, anywhere!
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