January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

[Typeing3]

18Z GFS has a better setup for snow. Trough is digging less which screws over our southern friends.

I think this may be trending towards the classic tight N-S temp gradient battleground setup. No extreme cold but the potential for big snows is certainly there. Could be similar to Feb 2017.

[wetcoast91]

I think this may be trending towards the classic tight N-S temp gradient battleground setup. No extreme cold but the potential for big snows is certainly there. Could be similar to Feb 2017.

Spoke way too soon.

Trough ejects too far west and limits precip.
Dry and cold arctic outflow.
Gradual moderation before precip arrives. Shows snow on this run but that is a freezing rain signal.



Probably an outlier given the other runs. Still funny to see.

[Storm]

Spoke way too soon.

Trough ejects too far west and limits precip.
Dry and cold arctic outflow.
Gradual moderation before precip arrives. Shows snow on this run but that is a freezing rain signal.



Probably an outlier given the other runs. Still funny to see.

Only 9 days away.

[AbbyJr]

I think this may be trending towards the classic tight N-S temp gradient battleground setup. No extreme cold but the potential for big snows is certainly there. Could be similar to Feb 2017.

It’s a very fragile setup but potential is there for a big snow event.

[Catnip]

Spoke way too soon.

Trough ejects too far west and limits precip.
Dry and cold arctic outflow.
Gradual moderation before precip arrives. Shows snow on this run but that is a freezing rain signal.



Probably an outlier given the other runs. Still funny to see.

I Neetz. Still lots to figure out either way.

A bit of a reverse trend today though it seems.

[AbbyJr]

I agree. Seeing some similarities to Feb 2017 with this setup. Pretty much at the same exact timeframe too.

Was this the timeframe the models initially had the cold ejecting into the Pacific in February 2017? I recall the models trended further west 4 days out and that’s when the real fun model riding started. It should be noted that often the cold ends up trending further east than initially modelled. Usually that means game over for us but in this case it could put us in the score zone for significant snowfall.

[Storm]

I Neetz. Still lots to figure out either way.

A bit of a reverse trend today though it seems.

This is pretty normal for the models to fluctuate.

Colder runs ahead!

[wetcoast91]

This is pretty normal for the models to fluctuate.

Colder runs ahead!

Colder or snowier?

[Storm]

Was this the timeframe the models initially had the cold ejecting into the Pacific? I recall the models trended further west 4 days out and that’s when the real fun model riding started. It should be noted that often the cold ends up trending further east than initially modelled. Usually that means game over for us but in this case it could put us in the score zone for some big low elevation snows.

If I remember correctly, there was a bunch of run dumping west, then corrected itself. We stand the best chance of seeing snow due to our latitude. Oregon folks might get the short end of the stuck.

[Michael1]

This is pretty normal for the models to fluctuate.

Colder runs ahead!

your posts are more welcome, than the constant , childish finger in the eye from another forum member.

[Catnip]

Appears that maybe the 18Z OP run is heading into outlier status?

Still running though.

gfs-seattle-us-475n-1225(1).jpeg

[Storm]

your posts are more welcome, than the constant , childish finger in the eye from another forum member.

This is always the case with the models this far out, although not that far out in reality.

[HarrisonSasquatchWx]

This is pretty normal for the models to fluctuate.

Colder runs ahead!

Knew it would collapse it's that kind of winter and hockey season Jr man.

[Storm]

your posts are more welcome, than the constant , childish finger in the eye from another forum member.

You will do quite well there.

[Catnip]

Appears that maybe the 18Z OP run is heading into outlier status?

Still running though.



gfs-seattle-us-475n-1225(1).jpeg

Oops, just saw I posted the Seattle one.

gfs-vancouver-ca-49n-123(3).jpeg