December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Monty
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Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Monty »

Catnip wrote: Fri Dec 31, 2021 10:43 am Monty!

51BFACC8-FB6B-4811-8527-6E0E2485F542.png
Omg. Bubbles bullseye 🎯

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Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

wetcoast91 wrote: Fri Dec 31, 2021 10:08 am Tough to say. That front really kicks up the SE/S winds prior to the arrival of moisture.
"Moist" lol wet snow, with S winds. Has that ever happened before? You know, when there is so much cold air and we get those Euuuuuuuuuuuge flakes with massive accumulations :clap:
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
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Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Forrest Gump »

stuffradio wrote: Fri Dec 31, 2021 11:17 am Apparently we're only supposed to take hour 240 maps seriously when it shows warmth and ridging ;)
I was just gonna say , Nito never seems to worry about bracing himself for a rug pull.
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Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Wintergirl wrote: Fri Dec 31, 2021 10:57 am Great is this for real!! Nooooo! My house is already surrounded by snow everywhere yikes :cry:
Dont stress. Instead, enjoy!
#jealous
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
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Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

PortKells wrote: Fri Dec 31, 2021 10:58 am ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-total_snow_kuchera-1751200.png
Similkameen Smoke Show with this
Thanks! :clap:
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
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Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Wintergirl wrote: Fri Dec 31, 2021 11:21 am We have done that, however the one drain around property is not working so the water floods into garage....temporarily have put up a plywood wall against house so the water from plugged ice gutters repells off plywood into yard for NOW. Will continue my work tomorrow morning around house. When do you think the snow starts or becomes heaviest as in accumulates fast???
Flurries through Sunday afternoon, 1-4PM is when the heavy snow starts and lasts through Monday late PM
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Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

stuffradio wrote: Fri Dec 31, 2021 11:17 am Apparently we're only supposed to take hour 240 maps seriously when it shows warmth and ridging ;)
I dunno about completely seriously, but I’d certainly take an hour 240 map showing ridging and +10 more seriously than one showing an arctic blast and -10. The former is closer to climo and thus much more likely to verify.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: Fri Dec 31, 2021 11:45 am I dunno about completely seriously, but I’d certainly take an hour 240 map showing ridging and +10 more seriously than one showing an arctic blast and -10. The former is closer to climo and thus much more likely to verify.
I could use a plus 10 sunny day for sureeeeee just to get some Sh*t done. Also because I don’t want to look like a huge inflatable mascot dressed all warm when I leave the house.
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Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Weather101 wrote: Fri Dec 31, 2021 11:49 am I could use a plus 10 sunny day for sureeeeee just to get some Sh*t done. Also because I don’t want to look like a huge inflatable mascot dressed all warm when I leave the house.
+10 really isn’t that much warmer than our average maximum next month. Odds strongly favour it happening at least once. Bet it’s been a long time since our last January with no +10 or warmer temps at all.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Monty »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: Fri Dec 31, 2021 11:45 am I dunno about completely seriously, but I’d certainly take an hour 240 map showing ridging and +10 more seriously than one showing an arctic blast and -10. The former is closer to climo and thus much more likely to verify.
Highly unlikely ridging is going to result in +10 in early January
Last edited by Monty on Fri Dec 31, 2021 3:19 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: Fri Dec 31, 2021 11:55 am +10 really isn’t that much warmer than our average maximum next month. Odds strongly favour it happening at least once. Bet it’s been a long time since our last January with no +10 or warmer temps at all.
I’m okay with 7c and sunny :lol:

Don’t get me wrong I love this cold snap but does get a bit much if you’re outside. Buddy of mine sprained his ankle yesterday pretty bad.
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Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

EPS looking good as well

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GFS Ensembles look better with lots of sunny potential!
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Last edited by wetcoast91 on Fri Dec 31, 2021 12:28 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Wintergirl »

Hawk wrote: Fri Dec 31, 2021 11:39 am Dont stress. Instead, enjoy!
#jealous
I bet we dont see that much buuuut who knows, i will enjoy if it happens for sure :cheerlead: :cheerlead:
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Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Monty wrote: Fri Dec 31, 2021 11:56 am Highly unlikely ridging is going to result in +10 unless in early January
Think inversion. Right Nito? Tell em Nito :thumbup:
Highs of 2-3c with fog, maybe 5-6c on the coast under sun. Possibly 7-8c in the valley under sunny skies. Lows of -2 to -5, depending on where the fog sets up
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
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Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

wetcoast91 wrote: Fri Dec 31, 2021 12:27 pm EPS looking good as well

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