October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
Post Reply
Michael1
Weather Nut
Weather Nut
Posts: 798
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 6:49 pm
Location: Nanoose
Elevation: 120 ft.
Has thanked: 805 times
Been thanked: 1685 times

Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by Michael1 »

AbbyJr wrote: Sat Oct 09, 2021 1:34 pm Check out how the SST's this year compare to the past 5 years at this time. This year is significantly colder. :clap: :thumbup:

sstcompare2020.png

sstcompare2019.png

sstcompare2018.png

sstcompare2017.png

sstcompare2016.png
It looks like the PDO is trying its best to transition into a cold phase- I wonder how much effect increasing solar activity has?
User avatar
Rubus_Leucodermis
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 6342
Joined: Thu Nov 21, 2019 5:48 pm
Location: Vancouver
Elevation: 70 m / 230 ft
Has thanked: 4874 times
Been thanked: 12955 times

Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Roberts Creeker wrote: Sat Oct 09, 2021 12:43 pm I was in Costco yesterday and saw all their Christmas stuff out already. Soon it's going to be the 12 months of Christmas.
Christmas stuff before late November is bad enough, before Halloween is just wrong on a fundamental level. I support the death penalty for such transgressions.
It's called clown range for a reason.
User avatar
Abby_wx
Moderator
Moderator
Posts: 1830
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:14 pm
Location: Mission City
Elevation: 157m (515ft)
Has thanked: 8635 times
Been thanked: 4968 times

Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by Abby_wx »

No Christmas stuff until after Nov 11th is the rule I like to go by.
:dragon:

Fall/Winter 2025/26
Low min: -5.0C (Feb 20th)
Low max: 2.8C (Feb 19th)
Snowfall: 3 cm
User avatar
Hound
Site Admin
Site Admin
Posts: 4824
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:11 pm
Location: Fraser Heights
Has thanked: 30783 times
Been thanked: 10431 times

Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by Hound »

Image

Image

Image
North Surrey/Fraser Heights
Elevation - 85 M./278 Ft.
:eatyum:
User avatar
Typeing3
Weather Psycho
Weather Psycho
Posts: 14196
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:02 pm
Location: Coquitlam
Elevation: 25M./80Ft.
Has thanked: 26789 times
Been thanked: 28392 times

Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by Typeing3 »

Hound wrote: Sat Oct 09, 2021 2:35 pm [

Image
If the clouds don't move in, I think first frost on Tuesday morning is a lock. Freeze looks unlikely though.
gfs_T2m_nwus_12.png
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
:typing: :type3:
East Coquitlam
Elevation 25M (80Ft)
#MrJanuary :geek: 8-)
User avatar
stuffradio
Site Admin
Site Admin
Posts: 3125
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:07 pm
Location: Maple Ridge
Has thanked: 5010 times
Been thanked: 7523 times
Contact:

Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by stuffradio »

Today I worked a little bit on the new server config. I got the vhost setup for where the forum will be and I almost have the vhost setup for the main site too which won’t take long.

If you modify your hosts file on your computer to point to the new ip with this subdomain you can test it already, but there’s only a simple HTML file there for now instead of the forum.
User avatar
AbbyJr
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 6603
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:14 pm
Location: Abbotsford
Elevation: 50m(164ft)
Has thanked: 12854 times
Been thanked: 12300 times

Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by AbbyJr »

stuffradio wrote: Sat Oct 09, 2021 4:18 pm Today I worked a little bit on the new server config. I got the vhost setup for where the forum will be and I almost have the vhost setup for the main site too which won’t take long.

If you modify your hosts file on your computer to point to the new ip with this subdomain you can test it already, but there’s only a simple HTML file there for now instead of the forum.
Thanks so much Stuffy for all the hard work you put into developing and maintaining this forum. :D :thumbup:
Central Abbotsford
50m (164ft)

2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm

:team: :snowwindow: :snowman:
User avatar
Hawk
Total Weather Geek
Total Weather Geek
Posts: 8625
Joined: Mon Feb 18, 2019 6:45 pm
Location: Langley-Willoughby/The Similkameeeens
Elevation: 100m/950m
Has thanked: 17144 times
Been thanked: 8324 times

Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by Hawk »

AbbyJr wrote: Sat Oct 09, 2021 1:34 pm Check out how the SST's this year compare to the past 5 years at this time. This year is significantly colder. :clap: :thumbup:

sstcompare2020.png

sstcompare2019.png

sstcompare2018.png

sstcompare2017.png

sstcompare2016.png
Yes those SSTs are a eeeeuge factor imo. It looks good this year..hence the cold troffy weather. Right Nito? Yesssss. Hopefully this pattern lock will continue for two months like it often does and we're all aware of. That should bring us snow in late November and early December. I will take that. :clap: :clap:
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
User avatar
Roberts Creeker
Donator
Donator
Posts: 4135
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:17 pm
Location: Upper Roberts Creek
Elevation: 162 M./532 ft.
Has thanked: 23678 times
Been thanked: 8022 times

Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by Roberts Creeker »

Happy Thanksgiving!
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
:team: :flakey: :flakey:

Snow total: 1cm Dec 24, 1cm Feb 19
User avatar
Roberts Creeker
Donator
Donator
Posts: 4135
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:17 pm
Location: Upper Roberts Creek
Elevation: 162 M./532 ft.
Has thanked: 23678 times
Been thanked: 8022 times

Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by Roberts Creeker »

Torrential downpour right now. Wow! :shock:

Short lived, it's already over.
:team: :flakey: :flakey:

Snow total: 1cm Dec 24, 1cm Feb 19
User avatar
Typeing3
Weather Psycho
Weather Psycho
Posts: 14196
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:02 pm
Location: Coquitlam
Elevation: 25M./80Ft.
Has thanked: 26789 times
Been thanked: 28392 times

Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by Typeing3 »

00z GFS ensembles:
ens_image (5).png
00z GEM ensembles:
ens_image (6).png
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
:typing: :type3:
East Coquitlam
Elevation 25M (80Ft)
#MrJanuary :geek: 8-)
User avatar
Hawk
Total Weather Geek
Total Weather Geek
Posts: 8625
Joined: Mon Feb 18, 2019 6:45 pm
Location: Langley-Willoughby/The Similkameeeens
Elevation: 100m/950m
Has thanked: 17144 times
Been thanked: 8324 times

Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by Hawk »

Welp another epic fail for EC. Calling for 10-15cms in Southern BC passses, and Zopkios looks like nada up until the 1600m - 1800m mark. :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol:
Based on the weather we got here yesterday, i thought for sure the Coq would be snowy. I guess the cold troffy air is keeping it loco, which is good for December i hope :thumbup:
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
User avatar
Monty
Weather Enthusiast
Weather Enthusiast
Posts: 4575
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:56 pm
Has thanked: 959 times
Been thanked: 9576 times

Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by Monty »

Hawk wrote: Sun Oct 10, 2021 7:34 am Welp another epic fail for EC. Calling for 10-15cms in Southern BC passses, and Zopkios looks like nada up until the 1600m - 1800m mark. :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol:
Based on the weather we got here yesterday, i thought for sure the Coq would be snowy. I guess the cold troffy air is keeping it loco, which is good for December i hope :thumbup:
👀

13cm at Helmer Lake and absolutely dumping.
323CFD42-19B4-465B-B2E0-B1A387FE8C5B.jpeg
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
North end of Shawnigan Lake. Southern Vancouver island. 500ft
User avatar
PortKells
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 7725
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 4:08 pm
Location: Port Kells
Elevation: 78m
Has thanked: 589 times
Been thanked: 13670 times

Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by PortKells »

Hawk wrote: Sun Oct 10, 2021 7:34 am Welp another epic fail for EC. Calling for 10-15cms in Southern BC passses, and Zopkios looks like nada up until the 1600m - 1800m mark. :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol:
Based on the weather we got here yesterday, i thought for sure the Coq would be snowy. I guess the cold troffy air is keeping it loco, which is good for December i hope :thumbup:
I was up at manning park...a little disappointed the freezing levels didn't drop in time, we got a dusting this morning after it poured rain during the night.
User avatar
Antares
Model Rider
Model Rider
Posts: 1329
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:10 pm
Location: Wellington, PEI
Elevation: 5m
Has thanked: 1655 times
Been thanked: 2345 times

Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by Antares »

The forecast snow for here tomorrow morning all but disappeared. Can't say I'm surprised but I am pretty disappointed. Especially with areas to the SE in the score zone.

Had an insane storm roll through here today with some insane gusts that moved my grill a few feet. :silent:
It always snows in December in the Kootenays :clap:
Post Reply