December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Storm
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Storm »

Monty wrote: Fri Dec 18, 2020 10:26 pm I mean it’s best if the models show a perfect track every run for days on end but I’d still take my chances being on the north side with a little wiggle room for a jump north with the track. It’ll come down to when and how strong the low ends up strengthening. If it deepens a touch it’ll probably jump north a bit. If it fails to strengthen it’ll slide south. Still fun to track. I’ve had my eyes on this storm for a few days now :thumbup:
It almost always track slightly to the North from what is being modeled.
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

Typeing3 wrote: Fri Dec 18, 2020 10:27 pm Been a theme the past few winters. 20-30cm snowfall for Victoria and less than half that for Vancouver.
It would be pretty unusual for Victoria proper to get 20-30cm without at least some continental air in play. We’ll see but I’m skeptical.
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Almost 12 years since Vancouver last saw 20cm of snow in one day.

Meanwhile Victoria has had two such snowfalls in recent years (26.4cm on Feb 11th, 2019 and 20.0cm on Jan 15th, 2020).
:typing: :type3:
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

Typeing3 wrote: Fri Dec 18, 2020 10:39 pm Almost 12 years since Vancouver last saw 20cm of snow in one day.

Meanwhile Victoria has had two such snowfalls in recent years (26.4cm on Feb 11th, 2019 and 20.0cm on Jan 15th, 2020).
12 years. 🤮
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

Everyone’s favourite the NAVGEM. LOOKS GOOD.
2BC906FB-58F0-487B-BF17-2990E347FC40.png
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Monty wrote: Fri Dec 18, 2020 10:59 pm Everyone’s favourite the NAVGEM. LOOKS GOOD.

2BC906FB-58F0-487B-BF17-2990E347FC40.png
Digging deep there. ;)
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

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Monty wrote: Fri Dec 18, 2020 10:59 pm Everyone’s favourite the NAVGEM. LOOKS GOOD.

2BC906FB-58F0-487B-BF17-2990E347FC40.png
If someone pull the Korean model will be well appreciated.
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Not to be lost in all of this snow talk, the Euro looks "okay" at day 10.
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Storm wrote: Fri Dec 18, 2020 11:03 pm If someone pull the Korean model will be well appreciated.
No, but I can offer you the JMA.
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Slytyguy »

Its a start!!
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

Bonovox wrote: Fri Dec 18, 2020 11:06 pm No, but I can offer you the JMA.
Too far north. Throw it out!
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

Can we just get this thing to bomb out around 980 and still cross the Olympic peninsula. Come on!
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Monty wrote: Fri Dec 18, 2020 11:09 pm Can we just get this thing to bomb out around 980 and still cross the Olympic peninsula. Come on!
Yes, we can.
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

I almost feel like staying up for the 6Z. 🤔
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

SCORE!!! :D :clap:
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