January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

[Typeing3]

Are you seriously trying to claim that March is snowier than November? Stats, please.

Yup! At least for the majority of time, over the period of record.


YVR (March/November)

1941-1970 normals: 5.3cm/2.3cm
1951-1980 normals: 6.6cm/2.8cm
1961-1990 normals: 4.1cm/2.6cm
1971-2000 normals: 2.6cm/2.5cm

[Typeing3]

I see them as the same. November is more fun though.

Recency bias? March has had some pretty great events. Higher proportion (in comparison to November) have occurred in the past rather than in contemporary times.

[Rubus_Leucodermis]

GFS looks snowy. But it’s the GFS.

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[Radar]

Screenshot_28-1-2025_18171_spotwx.com.jpeg

So what's with the NAM for my place?

[Rubus_Leucodermis]

Euro looks stingier.

ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-snow_24hr_kuchera_cm-8540800.png

[Flakey]

Euro looks stingier.

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Snow total predictions for this part of the world are always a crap shoot IMO as so many variables.
Hopefully all areas at least get something.

[Radar]

Euro looks stingier.

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Last year I think the GEM and the GFS were the worst ones for predicting precip. Best was Euro and HRDPS

[PortKells]

Recency bias? March has had some pretty great events. Higher proportion (in comparison to November) have occurred in the past rather than in contemporary times.

I'm 37 so just going off of what I've seen. The only really half decent March event I've seen in the last long while was 2017. Before that I guess it's 2009 and 2002. To be fair, November has been fairly mediocre outside of 2006. 2022 had a good snowfall, 2010 got cold, that's about it.

Outside than December and February, the other three months seem to be suffering the most.

[wetcoast91]

NAM is more aggressive with the cold air. Friday afternoon?

[HarrisonSasquatchWx]

Huh? Kristi Gordon didn't even mention a word about this weekend very poor reporting.

[Typeing3]

NAM is more aggressive with the cold air. Friday afternoon?

It always is at this range.

[Storm]

It always is at this range.

Icon as well, with more snow for Saturday

[Typeing3]

I'm 37 so just going off of what I've seen. The only really half decent March event I've seen in the last long while was 2017. Before that I guess it's 2009 and 2002. To be fair, November has been fairly mediocre outside of 2006. 2022 had a good snowfall, 2010 got cold, that's about it.

Outside than December and February, the other three months seem to be suffering the most.

Some decent-good March snowfalls in 2002, 2008, 2009, 2011, 2012, 2014, 2017, 2019, and 2024.

Notable events occurred in 2002, 2009, 2017, and 2019, with either multiple snowfalls and/or snow on the ground for multiple days or more than a week.

[Typeing3]

00z GFS looks improved, snow and cold wise.

Snow begins Saturday evening, lasting into Sunday as the modified arctic air filters into the south coast from the north and interior.

[Storm]

00z GFS looks improved, snow and cold wise.

Snow begins Saturday evening, lasting into Sunday as the modified arctic air filters into the south coast from the north and interior.

Well into Monday

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