January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Storm »

AbbyJr wrote: ↑Tue Jan 28, 2025 10:17 pm In the short range, yes but not in the longer range. If the GFS leads the way on this one then it's one big fail for the Euro. Time will tell. :thumbup:
EPS at that range
trend-epsens-2025012900-f168.500h_anom-mean.us_nw.gif.7802325a1361f38c16af4e60a7a4efb9.gif
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by tyweather »

Cold and snowy?
https://www.vancouverisawesome.com/weat ... 5-10144820
Why not try cycling to work, grocery store, anywhere!
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

AbbyJr wrote: ↑Tue Jan 28, 2025 10:24 pm I'm starting to lose confidence of a last minute flip to a February 2017 style pattern. Taking a closer look as to why the models keep ejecting the cold offshore, we can see the culprit being the top heavy GOA block. As soon as the merger pushes in, it tilts the initial block and then shoves the cold westward. I'm not so sure that we avoid this solution but it's pretty important that we do if we want a significant cold and snowy pattern. :think: :wave:


gfs-deterministic-nhemi-z500_anom-1738108800-1738627200-1738713600-20.gif
The 00z GFS shows surface temps on Monday and Tuesday being colder than anything we saw in early Feb 2017.
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

:14clown: Lots of snow chances next week showing up in the Euro.
ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-snow_24hr_kuchera_cm-8540800.png
ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-snow_24hr_kuchera_cm-8627200.png
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ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-snow_24hr_kuchera_cm-8886400.png
ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-snow_24hr_kuchera_cm-8972800.png
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Typeing3 wrote: ↑Tue Jan 28, 2025 10:37 pm The 00z GFS shows surface temps on Monday and Tuesday being colder than anything we saw in early Feb 2017.
The EPS mean is snowy as well so maybe I'm just being too pessimistic here. Granted, this is a 10:1 ratio low resolution map but still. :wave: :14clown:

ecmwf-ensemble-avg-or_wa-total_snow_10to1-8972800.png
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Catnip »

It appears that Snyder is not a VLAD fan. :lol:

https://x.com/seattlewxguy/status/18844 ... 53125?s=61
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

AbbyJr wrote: ↑Tue Jan 28, 2025 10:42 pm The EPS mean is snowy as well so maybe I'm just being too pessimistic here. Granted, this is a 10:1 ratio low resolution map but still. :wave: :14clown:


ecmwf-ensemble-avg-or_wa-total_snow_10to1-8972800.png
It does look to be trending colder in the mid range over the past three 00z runs, more towards the GFS solution. We'll see.
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: ↑Tue Jan 28, 2025 10:40 pm :14clown: Lots of snow chances next week showing up in the Euro.

ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-snow_24hr_kuchera_cm-8540800.png
ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-snow_24hr_kuchera_cm-8627200.png
ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-snow_24hr_kuchera_cm-8713600.png
ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-snow_24hr_kuchera_cm-8800000.png
ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-snow_24hr_kuchera_cm-8886400.png
ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-snow_24hr_kuchera_cm-8972800.png
Looks like a White Rock/Langley/Maple Ridge/Mission bullseye with the arctic front convergence on Sunday.
:typing: :type3:
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Canada Goose »

tyweather wrote: ↑Tue Jan 28, 2025 10:36 pm Cold and snowy?
https://www.vancouverisawesome.com/weat ... 5-10144820
Vancouver is Awesome, really? :wtf:
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Typeing3 wrote: ↑Tue Jan 28, 2025 10:47 pm Looks like a White Rock/Langley/Maple Ridge/Mission bullseye with the arctic front convergence on Sunday.
That can be typical like some one posted winners and losers but everyone will turn cold and see snow at some point l'm sure.
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Storm »

Typeing3 wrote: ↑Tue Jan 28, 2025 10:47 pm Looks like a White Rock/Langley/Maple Ridge/Mission bullseye with the arctic front convergence on Sunday.
We will where sets up. Our area does pretty well historicly.
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

:alert: :alert: :alert:

ecmwf-ensemble-CYXX-indiv_tmp-8108800.png
ecmwf-ensemble-CYXX-indiv_snow_24-8108800.png
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Bc_trucker »

Has anyone seen that guy that was scared of snow, can't remember his name.....would be awesome if he had moved to Florida in the meantime.....can you imagine? :clap: :lol: :D
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

ecmwf-ensemble-CYVR-indiv_snow-8108800.png
cmc-ensemble-all-CYVR-indiv_snow-8108800.png
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It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Bc_trucker wrote: ↑Tue Jan 28, 2025 11:25 pm Has anyone seen that guy that was scared of snow, can't remember his name.....would be awesome if he had moved to Florida in the meantime.....can you imagine? :clap: :lol: :D
:lol: Oh yes that troll l was looking to see if he posted somewhere. Bit of a screwball attention seeker but rather comical and annoying.too.
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