February 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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smartlikefox
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Re: February 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by smartlikefox »

Looks like another 10cmish fell overnight so sitting around 35cm since early yesterday morning. Still very lightly snowing. Time to shovel 😞
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snowjoker
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Re: February 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by snowjoker »

AbbyJr wrote: Tue Feb 04, 2025 10:51 am :alert: :alert: :alert:


ecmwf-deterministic-CYXX-daily_tmin_tmax-8670400.png

agassizecmwf-deterministic-CWZA-daily_tmin_tmax-8670400.png

meadowsecmwf-deterministic-CWMM-daily_tmin_tmax-8670400.png

vanecmwf-deterministic-CWHC-daily_tmin_tmax-8670400.png

ecmwf-deterministic-CYVR-daily_tmin_tmax-8670400.png
-18 would be an all-time record low at YVR, so I slightly doubt that's going to happen. :lol: Not quite as frigid of an airmass as previous years.
Praying for another 1950
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HarrisonSasquatchWx
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Re: February 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: Tue Feb 04, 2025 11:03 am Almost certainly overdone, since models almost always overdo the cold air advection in our arctic blasts.

But it does bode well for a classic garden-variety arctic blast.
This is where it gets confusing Rubes, so at what point does this blast end? and the next one begins. :wtf:
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
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wetcoast91
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Re: February 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Lots of melting going on here despite temps near -5C. The Feb sun is strong. :blowtor:
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VanCitySouth
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Re: February 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

wetcoast91 wrote: Tue Feb 04, 2025 11:15 am Lots of melting going on here despite temps near -5C. The Feb sun is strong. :blowtor:
TECHNICALLY sublimation no?
2025-26 season stats:
Climo :cancel: ∞ to 0.5 :14clown: GFS

Season total: 0.5 cm and TWO traces!
Peak depth: 0.5 cm (01/07/2026)
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HarrisonSasquatchWx
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Re: February 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

snowjoker wrote: Tue Feb 04, 2025 11:07 am -18 would be an all-time record low at YVR, so I slightly doubt that's going to happen. :lol: Not quite as frigid of an airmass as previous years.
Well let's see l'm 65 no applause please sit down. I've lived through the --18c record low in Dec /68 and the record high in July /09, however YVR did hit -16c in Dec 2021 so l doubt YVR set a record low in my my lifetime at least and may never win global warming.
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
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HarrisonSasquatchWx
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Re: February 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

VanCitySouth wrote: Tue Feb 04, 2025 11:19 am TECHNICALLY sublimation no?
Seems ike deep seek to me Neeeto. :wtf: the next super weather computer toss the pineapples then.
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
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Re: February 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

snowjoker wrote: Tue Feb 04, 2025 11:07 am -18 would be an all-time record low at YVR, so I slightly doubt that's going to happen. :lol: Not quite as frigid of an airmass as previous years.
its not happening. Same as the -22 for Agassiz lol.
Maybe like -10 and -15 would be solid. I'd rather it be -2c and snowy for the first 48 tho 8-)
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
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Re: February 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

wetcoast91 wrote: Tue Feb 04, 2025 11:15 am Lots of melting going on here despite temps near -5C. The Feb sun is strong. :blowtor:
yes nito...buuuut that same Feb sun will help to fuel these troffy conditions and instability to produce ONLY SNOW.
Tell em!!
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
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HarrisonSasquatchWx
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Re: February 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

l wonder what happened to Nimbus was posting during winter regularly he worked at the old weather office @ YVR l had a chance to talk to him on the phone back in 2021 we were reminiscing about when l called the weather office back then. He wrote a book l can't remember the name it's about weather on the west coast.
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
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AbbyJr
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Re: February 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

SouthSardiswx wrote: Tue Feb 04, 2025 11:13 am This is where it gets confusing Rubes, so at what point does this blast end? and the next one begins. :wtf:
It just keeps reloading and reloading. February version of January 1969 eventually transitions to a March 1951 repeat. Everyone gets buried. :thumbup: :flakey:
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2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm

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AbbyJr
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Re: February 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

wetcoast91 wrote: Tue Feb 04, 2025 11:15 am Lots of melting going on here despite temps near -5C. The Feb sun is strong. :blowtor:
It's not melting. The snow is just compacting. Winter lives on. :clap: :wave: :flakey:
Central Abbotsford
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2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm

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VanCitySouth
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Re: February 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

AbbyJr wrote: Tue Feb 04, 2025 11:56 am It just keeps reloading and reloading. February version of January 1969 eventually transitions to a March 1951 repeat. Everyone gets buried. :thumbup: :flakey:
Bono hasn't sacrificed any planes this year that we know of yet tho...

Bono what were you up to at work last night?
2025-26 season stats:
Climo :cancel: ∞ to 0.5 :14clown: GFS

Season total: 0.5 cm and TWO traces!
Peak depth: 0.5 cm (01/07/2026)
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Re: February 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

AbbyJr wrote: Tue Feb 04, 2025 10:26 am Reload next week looks healthy on the 12Z Euro. :chilly: :chilly: :chilly:


ecmwf-deterministic-namer-t2m_c_anom-9253600.png

ecmwf-deterministic-namer-t2m_c_anom-9448000.png
Wow, that could be colder than what we're seeing this week. Nice!

If it verifies we'll be seeing some healthy frozen local lakes and ponds, given they were already primed over the last few weeks with the dry weather cold nighttime temps.
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Re: February 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Storm wrote: Tue Feb 04, 2025 11:00 am With nice arctic front snow. Sign me up.
Throw a couple sliders in there to mix in with the clear/cold/dry days. 8-)
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