January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
Post Reply
User avatar
Catnip
Moderator
Moderator
Posts: 10709
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 4:01 pm
Location: Coquitlam (Mundy Park)
Elevation: 530ft
Has thanked: 12935 times
Been thanked: 24059 times

Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

AbbyJr wrote: Wed Jan 05, 2022 8:42 am 12Z RGEM has a major ice storm after the heavy snow.

rgem-all-vancouverski-frzr_total-1524400.png
Not good Jr.

:thumbdown:
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
User avatar
VanCitySouth
Weather Enthusiast
Weather Enthusiast
Posts: 3922
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:21 pm
Location: Vancouver (Langara)
Elevation: 72 m/236 ft
Has thanked: 4164 times
Been thanked: 8316 times

Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

AbbyJr wrote: Wed Jan 05, 2022 8:42 am 12Z RGEM has a major ice storm after the heavy snow.

rgem-all-vancouverski-frzr_total-1524400.png
This is very bad.
2025-26 season stats:
Climo :cancel: ∞ to 0.5 :14clown: GFS

Season total: 0.5 cm and TWO traces!
Peak depth: 0.5 cm (01/07/2026)
User avatar
Storm
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 7094
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:09 pm
Location: North Burnaby/Burquitlam
Has thanked: 2493 times
Been thanked: 12532 times

Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Storm »

Can someone post 12z HRDPS?
North Burnaby/Burquitlam
Elevation - 64 M./210 Feet
User avatar
Catnip
Moderator
Moderator
Posts: 10709
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 4:01 pm
Location: Coquitlam (Mundy Park)
Elevation: 530ft
Has thanked: 12935 times
Been thanked: 24059 times

Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

00Z EPS was a bit quicker in retrograding the ridge vs the 12Z.
14-km EPS Global North America 500 hPa Height Anom(4).gif
14-km EPS Global North America 850 hPa Temp Anom(6).gif
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
User avatar
stuffradio
Site Admin
Site Admin
Posts: 3127
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:07 pm
Location: Maple Ridge
Has thanked: 5010 times
Been thanked: 7526 times
Contact:

Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: Wed Jan 05, 2022 8:18 am He seems to be putting a lot of faith in the GooFuS, at least for the city.
Not sure about that, he cut back the Maple Ridge snow totals by 13cm so my guess is he isn't. Models like HRDPS agree. I don't know what the GFS is saying I didn't pay attention to it.
User avatar
wetcoast91
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 7099
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:12 pm
Location: New Westminster
Elevation: 106m
Has thanked: 6962 times
Been thanked: 16341 times

Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Heavy snow
Freezing rain
Heavy rain to finish
Going to be a very crappy day tomorrow.
User avatar
PortKells
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 7726
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 4:08 pm
Location: Port Kells
Elevation: 78m
Has thanked: 589 times
Been thanked: 13672 times

Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Storm wrote: Wed Jan 05, 2022 8:51 am Can someone post 12z HRDPS?
hrdps-vancouverski-total_snow_10to1_cm-1502800.png
hrdps-vancouverski-frzr_total-1528000.png
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
User avatar
Catnip
Moderator
Moderator
Posts: 10709
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 4:01 pm
Location: Coquitlam (Mundy Park)
Elevation: 530ft
Has thanked: 12935 times
Been thanked: 24059 times

Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

wetcoast91 wrote: Wed Jan 05, 2022 8:56 am Heavy snow
Freezing rain
Heavy rain to finish
Going to be a very crappy day tomorrow.
The Trifecta.

:thumbdown:
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
User avatar
wetcoast91
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 7099
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:12 pm
Location: New Westminster
Elevation: 106m
Has thanked: 6962 times
Been thanked: 16341 times

Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Storm wrote: Wed Jan 05, 2022 7:25 am 12z RGEM. Looks bad.
zr_acc.us_nw.png
Could trend worse if we see tigher pressure gradients bring stronger outflow winds at the surface. Depends if that meandering low intensifies enough. Total wait and see right now.

Metro Van should be in the clear. Incoming airmass aloft is really mild and arctic air is shallow enough at the surface.
User avatar
Bc_trucker
Weather Tracker
Weather Tracker
Posts: 231
Joined: Sun Oct 06, 2019 10:54 pm
Location: Chilliwack
Elevation: 15 M.
Has thanked: 716 times
Been thanked: 871 times

Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bc_trucker »

Memories popped up on Facebook...this was January 5, 2015....
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
East Chilliwack/Rosedale 15m
User avatar
Monty
Weather Enthusiast
Weather Enthusiast
Posts: 4575
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:56 pm
Has thanked: 959 times
Been thanked: 9576 times

Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

PortKells wrote: Wed Jan 05, 2022 9:03 am hrdps-vancouverski-total_snow_10to1_cm-1502800.png
hrdps-vancouverski-frzr_total-1528000.png
A very GFS like ~40cm here. :wave: :hearteyes: :dunno:
North end of Shawnigan Lake. Southern Vancouver island. 500ft
User avatar
Catnip
Moderator
Moderator
Posts: 10709
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 4:01 pm
Location: Coquitlam (Mundy Park)
Elevation: 530ft
Has thanked: 12935 times
Been thanked: 24059 times

Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
User avatar
Bonovox
Moderator
Moderator
Posts: 6738
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:10 pm
Location: Ladner
Elevation: Sea Level
Has thanked: 4808 times
Been thanked: 15613 times

Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

-4.1c here at the moment. I don’t think we’ll make it to the forecasted high of +2c today. :think:
Spring/Summer :sick: Fall/Winter :thumbup:

Ladner - Elevation: Sea Level

Wx Station: https://tempestwx.com/station/41362/grid
User avatar
PortKells
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 7726
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 4:08 pm
Location: Port Kells
Elevation: 78m
Has thanked: 589 times
Been thanked: 13672 times

Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Monty wrote: Wed Jan 05, 2022 9:20 am A very GFS like ~40cm here. :wave: :hearteyes: :dunno:
Was there ever any doubt?
User avatar
tyweather
Model Rider
Model Rider
Posts: 1869
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:39 pm
Location: Newton, Surrey, EL. 70m
Has thanked: 84 times
Been thanked: 4244 times

Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by tyweather »

Cold air getting closer in the :14clown: range

Image
Why not try cycling to work, grocery store, anywhere!
Post Reply