January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Nordelian
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Nordelian »

Snow depth maps would be more accurate to show what actually is on the ground. A lot of these totals maps will have mixing in between and sublimation or impaction and are not reflective of what actually accumulates.
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

John wrote: Wed Jan 29, 2025 8:52 pm Thanks for taking the time. Good night!
Your going to bed it's too early John. :o Thanks WPro you rock my friend. :thumbup: :wave:
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by WeatherPro »

One thing I forgot to mention is how different this scenario is going into this cold period. Normally you enter from a warm/cool rainy period, this time is very different. Almost all of January was dry and chilly, especially at night. So it's almost like a mini cool period has been around for a few weeks. I'm very interested to see if this affects the normal dynamics we see, or if it will be largely unaffected. I saw some pics on social media of frozen portions of farm fields in low lying areas. Also unusual without an actual arctic front. My curiosity is really excited to see the potential behavior of the weather over the next several days! :thumbup:
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by WeatherPro »

AbbyJr wrote: Wed Jan 29, 2025 9:07 pm The past three Euro runs have been very generous too. No guarantees but given the Euro is one of the best models, it's noteworthy. :thumbup: :think:
Yes indeed! Hmmm... :think:
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by WeatherPro »

wetcoast91 wrote: Wed Jan 29, 2025 9:09 pm I do not see accumulating snow for the lowlands tomorrow. Probably 2cm up on Burnaby Mountains.
Yes, higher elevations only.
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

WeatherPro wrote: Wed Jan 29, 2025 9:13 pm One thing I forgot to mention is how different this scenario is going into this cold period. Normally you enter from a warm/cool rainy period, this time is very different. Almost all of January was dry and chilly, especially at night. So it's almost like a mini cool period has been around for a few weeks. I'm very interested to see if this affects the normal dynamics we see, or if it will be largely unaffected. I saw some pics on social media of frozen portions of farm fields in low lying areas. Also unusual without an actual arctic front. My curiosity is really excited to see the potential behavior of the weather over the next several days! :thumbup:
Wait, so there's no arctic front? I always assumed all of our arctic air masses have one associated with it. I've learned something new today. :thumbup:
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by WeatherPro »

I just want to clarify that everything before Saturday evening are possibilities. Only as we hit Saturday afternoon/evening is snow really guaranteed for most areas. Everything before that is a bonus! :thumbup:
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by WeatherPro »

AbbyJr wrote: Wed Jan 29, 2025 9:28 pm Wait, so there's no arctic front? I always assumed all of our arctic air masses have one associated with it. I've learned something new today. :thumbup:
Sorry, I mean currently, or for all of January that has passed.
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by tyweather »

Wow, that's a lot of high pressure
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Why not try cycling to work, grocery store, anywhere!
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by WeatherPro »

tyweather wrote: Wed Jan 29, 2025 9:30 pm Wow, that's a lot of high pressure
Hello, when will you be biking through Edmonton? :lol:
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Storm »

ecmwf-deterministic-washington-total_snow_kuchera-8584000.thumb.png.d0bd17024bcf5795fcca7cc7d986a81b.png
ecmwf-deterministic-washington-total_snow_kuchera-8584000.thumb.png.d0bd17024bcf5795fcca7cc7d986a81b.png
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Catnip »

VanCitySouth wrote: Wed Jan 29, 2025 8:58 pm Does anybody know the formula that goes into the blend? Like, which models and what weighting they're given?
Here’s what I found on the NWS site:
IMG_3110.jpeg
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*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

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#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

The 00Z Euro stays solid. Continues to show a major region wide snowstorm beginning Saturday evening. I can sleep stress free tonight. :thumbup: :wave: :flakey:

ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-snow_24hr_kuchera_cm-8519200.png
ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-total_snow_kuchera_cm-8584000.png
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Last edited by AbbyJr on Wed Jan 29, 2025 9:49 pm, edited 3 times in total.
Central Abbotsford
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2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm

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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

WPro should do a Q & A like Michael Snyder that would be cool.. :thumbup:
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Michael1 »

Storm wrote: Wed Jan 29, 2025 9:35 pm ecmwf-deterministic-washington-total_snow_kuchera-8584000.thumb.png.d0bd17024bcf5795fcca7cc7d986a81b.pngecmwf-deterministic-washington-total_snow_kuchera-8584000.thumb.png.d0bd17024bcf5795fcca7cc7d986a81b.png
Again, stingy for SE island.perplexing
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