December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
Post Reply
User avatar
SouthSardiswx
Donator
Donator
Posts: 19328
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:37 pm
Location: Chilliwack (South Sardis)
Has thanked: 52634 times
Been thanked: 16338 times

Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Courtesy of the winter canceled AF.
ecmwf-ensemble-avg-namer-t850_anom_5day-0174400.thumb.png.81498c7086290967949f1d67622ba92f.png
ecmwf-ensemble-avg-namer-z500_anom-0088000.png
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
Join us next season for the 7th annual 2 old retired geezer's inaccurate snowfall contest

:snowatt:
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm
:hockey: South Sardines: 0cm
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
User avatar
Monty
Weather Enthusiast
Weather Enthusiast
Posts: 4459
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:56 pm
Has thanked: 930 times
Been thanked: 9187 times

Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Monty »

SouthSardiswx wrote: Tue Dec 07, 2021 11:33 am Re: Doyle
Sun-Tue sporadic flurries, l don't believe it above 300m perhaps.
850s below -6c with 925mb -1 to -2C with a showery airmass could produce snow flurries to sea level although best chance of accumulating snow would come with elevation
North end of Shawnigan Lake. Southern Vancouver island. 500ft
User avatar
Monty
Weather Enthusiast
Weather Enthusiast
Posts: 4459
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:56 pm
Has thanked: 930 times
Been thanked: 9187 times

Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Monty »

Here’s your MJO phase to observed temperature composite maps for North American in NDJ
94E75A32-DD24-45E7-81FD-2EEB3A46E535.png
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
North end of Shawnigan Lake. Southern Vancouver island. 500ft
User avatar
Monty
Weather Enthusiast
Weather Enthusiast
Posts: 4459
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:56 pm
Has thanked: 930 times
Been thanked: 9187 times

Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Monty »

At least we got enough snow to build 1 slightly muddy snowman
98274215-9359-471B-A51E-7233B51734A2.jpeg
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
North end of Shawnigan Lake. Southern Vancouver island. 500ft
User avatar
SouthSardiswx
Donator
Donator
Posts: 19328
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:37 pm
Location: Chilliwack (South Sardis)
Has thanked: 52634 times
Been thanked: 16338 times

Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

[quote=Monty post_id=692191 time=1638910221 user_id=711]
At least we got enough snow to build 1 slightly muddy snowman
:lol:
Join us next season for the 7th annual 2 old retired geezer's inaccurate snowfall contest

:snowatt:
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm
:hockey: South Sardines: 0cm
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
User avatar
SouthSardiswx
Donator
Donator
Posts: 19328
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:37 pm
Location: Chilliwack (South Sardis)
Has thanked: 52634 times
Been thanked: 16338 times

Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

[quote=Monty post_id=692181 time=1638910077 user_id=711]
Here’s your MJO phase to observed temperature
O.k. so what phase are we in or going into then?
Join us next season for the 7th annual 2 old retired geezer's inaccurate snowfall contest

:snowatt:
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm
:hockey: South Sardines: 0cm
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
User avatar
SouthSardiswx
Donator
Donator
Posts: 19328
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:37 pm
Location: Chilliwack (South Sardis)
Has thanked: 52634 times
Been thanked: 16338 times

Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Stock up Granddaddy just in case. :thumbup:
Join us next season for the 7th annual 2 old retired geezer's inaccurate snowfall contest

:snowatt:
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm
:hockey: South Sardines: 0cm
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
User avatar
Monty
Weather Enthusiast
Weather Enthusiast
Posts: 4459
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:56 pm
Has thanked: 930 times
Been thanked: 9187 times

Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Monty »

SouthSardiswx wrote: Tue Dec 07, 2021 1:07 pm
I think we’re in 6. Heading for 7 and then possibly 8.
North end of Shawnigan Lake. Southern Vancouver island. 500ft
User avatar
Hawk
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 6803
Joined: Mon Feb 18, 2019 6:45 pm
Location: Langley/The Similkameeeens
Elevation: 320/3024
Has thanked: 12125 times
Been thanked: 6152 times

Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Ya throw these maps out. When these maps and graphs are showing W. Van Isle, Pitt Meadows, and Abby in the hammer zone :lol: :lol:
:bs: and :w101: and :naughty:
Are we prepared for this stormy, chilly and wet November, LN style, with our first warning shots :flakey: :flakey: coming early due to this potentially historic LN :shock: :shock:
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
User avatar
Catnip
Moderator
Moderator
Posts: 9496
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 4:01 pm
Location: Coquitlam (Mundy Park)
Elevation: 530ft
Has thanked: 11670 times
Been thanked: 20751 times

Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Hawk wrote: Tue Dec 07, 2021 2:43 pm Ya throw these maps out. When these maps and graphs are showing W. Van Isle, Pitt Meadows, and Abby in the hammer zone :lol: :lol:
:bs: and :w101: and :naughty:
I don’t think too many on here take them that seriously.

At least I hope not!

:think:
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
User avatar
Typeing3
Weather Psycho
Weather Psycho
Posts: 12423
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:02 pm
Location: Coquitlam
Elevation: 25M./80Ft.
Has thanked: 21418 times
Been thanked: 23685 times

Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Hawk wrote: Tue Dec 07, 2021 2:43 pm Ya throw these maps out. When these maps and graphs are showing W. Van Isle, Pitt Meadows, and Abby in the hammer zone :lol: :lol:
:bs: and :w101: and :naughty:
:arrow: :arrow: :arrow:

https://climate.weather.gc.ca/climate_d ... ame=Tahsis
:typing: :type3:
East Coquitlam
Elevation 25M (80Ft)
#MrJanuary :geek: 8-)
User avatar
Roberts Creeker
Donator
Donator
Posts: 3853
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:17 pm
Location: Upper Roberts Creek
Elevation: 162 M./532 ft.
Has thanked: 21815 times
Been thanked: 7197 times

Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Roberts Creeker »

SouthSardiswx wrote: Tue Dec 07, 2021 11:06 am l don't believe these picasso snow maps anymore. But there good to use to adjust the color on my old 1996 Dell monitor.
:lol: :lol:
User avatar
Hawk
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 6803
Joined: Mon Feb 18, 2019 6:45 pm
Location: Langley/The Similkameeeens
Elevation: 320/3024
Has thanked: 12125 times
Been thanked: 6152 times

Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

:lol: 1969..what about the other 52 years since? :think: :think: Even Portland gets buried once in a blue moon, and they is way south :flakey: :flakey:
Are we prepared for this stormy, chilly and wet November, LN style, with our first warning shots :flakey: :flakey: coming early due to this potentially historic LN :shock: :shock:
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
User avatar
Hawk
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 6803
Joined: Mon Feb 18, 2019 6:45 pm
Location: Langley/The Similkameeeens
Elevation: 320/3024
Has thanked: 12125 times
Been thanked: 6152 times

Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Plus Tahsis is more N/Central, and not really outer coast. Deep channel..kinda like Port Alberni, and central Island than western ;)
I checked it out. They prolly get lots of snow sometimes..i think ive seen them get snow on Drive BC lots when we are getting rain here :thumbdown:
Are we prepared for this stormy, chilly and wet November, LN style, with our first warning shots :flakey: :flakey: coming early due to this potentially historic LN :shock: :shock:
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
User avatar
wetcoast91
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 6000
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:12 pm
Location: New Westminster
Elevation: 106m
Has thanked: 5947 times
Been thanked: 13578 times

Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Split.
Flow.

Not a dry one though. Tons of chilly drizzle and minimal dry days.

Image
Image
Image
Post Reply