February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Canada Goose
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Canada Goose »

Hawk wrote: ↑Sun Feb 07, 2021 5:08 pm Hope is getting smashed with snow all day. Hey Goose do you know how much snow they have there so far?
I don't know. Maybe 10-15 cm.

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Hawk
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Canada Goose wrote: ↑Sun Feb 07, 2021 5:14 pm I don't know. Maybe 10-15 cm.


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Oh I thought you might know. I heard earlier there was already 20cm in some areas :shock: :shock:
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

And maybe another 10 to 20 by time it's done
:shock: :shock:
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by LadnerWeather »

Looks like the 18z EPS is better than the OP so for now it’s probably just an outlier. It does set us up for some pretty big 00z runs tonight tho :shock: :think:
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Storm »

LadnerWeather wrote: ↑Sun Feb 07, 2021 5:17 pm Looks like the 18z EPS is better than the OP so for now it’s probably just an outlier. It does set us up for some pretty big 00z runs tonight tho :shock: :think:
Not really. Plenty of nail biting ahead.
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Radar »

Hawk wrote: ↑Sun Feb 07, 2021 5:16 pm Oh I thought you might know. I heard earlier there was already 20cm in some areas :shock: :shock:
Who’s official certified measuring stick? Scholastic, Grand N Toy, ?
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Storm wrote: ↑Sun Feb 07, 2021 5:22 pm Not really. Plenty of nail biting ahead.
ecmwf-ensemble-c00-nw-t850_anom_stream-3239200.thumb.png.d6d5256c40469c6c244af79a44e9f070.png
Yeah. Wants to go full 2011. Just so much spread though.

We could see anything from -10C and snow to +12C with rain by next weekend.
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Esquimalt39 »

wetcoast91 wrote: ↑Sun Feb 07, 2021 5:33 pm Yeah. Wants to go full 2011. Just so much spread though.

We could see anything from -10C and snow to +12C with rain by next weekend.
What do you honestly see happening?
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Does he mean -10.1c or below? Because YVR hit -10.0c on December 7th, 2013.
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hound »

Esquimalt39 wrote: ↑Sun Feb 07, 2021 5:34 pm What do you honestly see happening?
He sees he is so famous he has his own snack cake:
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Highly doubt YVR hits -10c with clouds or snow on Wednesday or Thursday. We had the same problem last Jan.
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Esquimalt39 wrote: ↑Sun Feb 07, 2021 5:34 pm What do you honestly see happening?
In between.

I don't trust any scenario that has insane jet supression on a year like this. That said...colder onshore flow would promote more snow chances.
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

wetcoast91 wrote: ↑Sun Feb 07, 2021 5:40 pm In between.

I don't trust any scenario that has insane jet supression on a year like this. That said...colder onshore flow would promote more snow chances.
Agreed. The GEM retrograded the PV lobe into BC/WA/OR which basically suppressed the jet into central california.
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

LadnerWeather wrote: ↑Sun Feb 07, 2021 5:17 pm Looks like the 18z EPS is better than the OP so for now it’s probably just an outlier. It does set us up for some pretty big 00z runs tonight tho :shock: :think:
I'd go with the EPS at this point. Operational probably just an outlier. Likely colder on the 00Z tonight.
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Storm »

wetcoast91 wrote: ↑Sun Feb 07, 2021 5:40 pm In between.

I don't trust any scenario that has insane jet supression on a year like this. That said...colder onshore flow would promote more snow chances.
One thing is, AF is going in a full weenie mode.
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