November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

[Typeing3]

precipbc.png
precipwa.png

At face value... monthly precip would likely top 650mm at the Burke Mountain (northeast Coquitlam) rain gauge.

The gauge has only been around since 2013, but I suspect Nov 2006, 1995, 1990, and 1909 had around the same or higher monthly totals.

[Typeing3]

Happened in December 1996.

January 1935 as well.

[Rubus_Leucodermis]

Happened once, can happen again, right?!? Can you imagine 10" of rain fell as snow instead? This is just the year for that to happen.

That would work out to around 3 m of snow, but with compaction I doubt it would ever get deeper than 1–1.5 m. Which still would be very impressive.

[wetcoast91]

Some good news for rain fans. The 18z GFS has slightly increased moisture totals tonight and tomorrow. 50-100mm!

[AbbyJr]

https://twitter.com/50ShadesofVan/statu ... 15020?s=20

[Typeing3]

That would work out to around 3 m of snow, but with compaction I doubt it would ever get deeper than 1–1.5 m. Which still would be very impressive.

The Puget sound region had some pretty insane totals associated with the January 1880 "storm king". I think some areas got up to 1.5m of snow. Pretty sure it was mostly heavy wet snow as well since temps were not particularly cold, so the precip equivalent must've been fairly high.

[VanCitySouth]

Oh looks like druncle is back.

[tyweather]

Some good news for rain fans. The 18z GFS has slightly increased moisture totals tonight and tomorrow. 50-100mm!

Overall there is less rain accumulated on the 18Z than the 12Z though and the some cold air is back. I call that a win.
18Z


12Z

[Roberts Creeker]

https://twitter.com/50ShadesofVan/statu ... 15020?s=20

Touch and go is not really something I want to hear from a meteorologist.

[PortKells]

That would work out to around 3 m of snow, but with compaction I doubt it would ever get deeper than 1–1.5 m. Which still would be very impressive.

That would be an emergency situation that even us snow lovers might be keen to avoid.

Glad to see the drunkle is back though. Keep hitting that sauce.

[wetcoast91]

Overall there is less rain accumulated on the 18Z than the 12Z though and the some cold air is back. I call that a win.

Agree. Good news that the weekend AR takes more rain further north.

Though it introduces a sinister outlook for Victoria and the San Juan Islands.

[Typeing3]

@CanadaGoose, do you have a table of the top 10 wettest SON at YVR?

[PortKells]

I figured.. ensembles aren't biting. I believe this has been a false start, head fake, whatever you want to call it. Happens everytime, might lead to something down the road.

[stuffradio]

Good news is this is the wettest month on average of the year statistically speaking, so we should start getting less and less hopefully. Who would of thought we would be wishing for less precip after this last Spring/Summer!?

[Typeing3]

I figured.. ensembles aren't biting. I believe this has been a false start, head fake, whatever you want to call it. Happens everytime, might lead to something down the road.

Could see a quick hitting minor snowfall early-mid month before we get anything more noticeable.