November 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

[wetcoast91]

I’d probably go with Euro and hrdps. Although I generally like those higher resolution mesoscale models once we get even closer to the event. So 6Z, 12z and 18z tomorrow for the hrdps.

Matter of time before a snowfall warning is issued. EC may go with 5-10cm of snow at higher elevations.

[VanCitySouth]

Matter of time before a snowfall warning is issued. EC may go with 5-10cm of snow at higher elevations.

That seems bullish to me?

[wetcoast91]

That seems bullish to me?

Remember that EC tends to go higher to account for variations in our terrain. Westwood Plateau and Burnaby Mountain could see 10cm. Probably 2-5cm at lower levels.

[VanCitySouth]

Remember that EC tends to go higher to account for variations in our terrain. Westwood Plateau and Burnaby Mountain could see 10cm. Probably 2-5cm at lower levels.

So what are you seeing as the snow level? 150m?

[Monty]

Matter of time before a snowfall warning is issued. EC may go with 5-10cm of snow at higher elevations.

Maybe. Not a ton of moisture coming and low ratios, though.

[Hound]

https://twitter.com/meteo_matt/status/1 ... 3853788160

[Bonovox]

Maybe. Not a ton of moisture coming and low ratios, though.

Yeah, 10-15 mm of precipitation across the lower mainland and not all of that will be snow. 2-5cm seems like a reasonable call.

[AbbyJr]

Exciting news for people with just a little bit of elevation come late Monday and overnight into Tuesday. The situation is going to be interesting for sure. I can see a few CM of overnight snow on elevations above 150M Higher areas may see a bit more. Sea level looks to miss out. Abbotsford could pick up a CM or so. Again at this time of year the ground is still fairly warm which will cause faster melting. Watch for wet bulb! DP is already pretty good so if it stays where it is, it will snow for sure.

Honestly, as exciting as it is to see our first flakes of the season, I'm more intrigued by the potential for a widespread damaging windstorm Friday. What are your thoughts on that?

[wetcoast91]

So what are you seeing as the snow level? 150m?

100m. But accumulating wet snow down to 50m in the Northern areas.

WRF tends to overdo moisture so thinking 2-4cm is reasonable.

Yeah, 10-15 mm of precipitation across the lower mainland and not all of that will be snow. 2-5cm seems like a reasonable call.

Oh for sure but I am just thinking what EC issues as they have a history of going higher with amounts in warnings now.

[VanCitySouth]

100m. But accumulating wet snow down to 50m in the Northern areas.

WRF tends to overdo moisture so thinking 2-4cm is reasonable.



Oh for sure but I am just thinking what EC issues as they have a history of going higher with amounts in warnings now.

Thanks. Jr might be too pre-occupied with the pup to ask questions so I'm filling in today.

You mean northern areas as in north of the Fraser? So I have a shot at 72 m?

[Bonovox]

Thanks. Jr might be too pre-occupied with the pup to ask questions so I'm filling in today.

You mean northern areas as in north of the Fraser? So I have a shot at 72 m?

18z 3km NAM says you do.

[Antares]

https://twitter.com/meteo_matt/status/1 ... 3853788160

Yeah I was there yesterday evening. It was very windy.

[Storm]

https://twitter.com/50ShadesofVan/statu ... 85026?s=19

[PortKells]

12z GFS ensembles:

That's a lot of mountain snow for November.

[Roberts Creeker]

Thanks. Jr might be too pre-occupied with the pup to ask questions so I'm filling in today.

You mean northern areas as in north of the Fraser? So I have a shot at 72 m?

Skimming through the forum, and read that as you expect to get 72 m of snow! Wow!!!

I'll be excited to see snow flakes, even if it doesn't stick.