March 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Storm
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Re: March 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Storm »

wetcoast91 wrote: Tue Mar 10, 2026 1:52 pm You can see why as the airmass aloft is slowly moderating already and a S/SE wind is kicking up temps at the surface. Could see our last lowland slushfall on Fri morning.

It will be mostly rain on the local ski hills tomorrow. Thurs to Saturday look more pleasant up there. For all intents and purposes...this is the last good weekend up there. Lots of mild rain will obliterate snowpack next week.
HRDPS disagree with you. Pretty much repeat of today.

Better view.
pivotal-weather-hrdps-prateptype-met-ca_w.gif
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Re: March 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Big shift on the GFS. Brings a pretty big snowstorm for the higher areas of Puget Sound.

Image
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Re: March 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

wetcoast91 wrote: Tue Mar 10, 2026 1:52 pm It will be mostly rain on the local ski hills tomorrow.
That's just a silly take from what I can see. It will warm up for a period in the afternoon but temps plummet again. The only model I could find that gets to a significant amount of rain was the 18Z Hrrr. A lot of it is sleet and ice. Very inconsistent with the others, The HRDPS, Nam, and the non mesos all appear to support snow for 1000ft and up.
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Re: March 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Abby_wx »

I had about half a cm of snow on the ground when I woke up, but it melted by 10 am. I've had on and off wet snow all day, but no accumulations. It's currently 4.2C with very light snow.

YXX is 6C at this hour. :shock:
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Re: March 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

wetcoast91 wrote: Tue Mar 10, 2026 3:01 pm Big shift on the GFS. Brings a pretty big snowstorm for the higher areas of Puget Sound.

Image
And this, which I'm sure is happening too :roll:
gfs-deterministic-vancouverski-snow_24hr_kuchera_cm-3640800.png
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Re: March 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Storm »

PortKells wrote: Tue Mar 10, 2026 3:13 pm And this, which I'm sure is happening too :roll:

gfs-deterministic-vancouverski-snow_24hr_kuchera_cm-3640800.png
It could.
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Re: March 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Pomoman »

Is snow continuing for everyone or is it raining down there?
Snowing up here again. Slowed down for a time but picking back up. Some melting on paved areas but otherwise continuing to slowly accumulate especially where there is already snow. Best snow of the season, and that's just kind of sad.
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Re: March 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Pomoman wrote: Tue Mar 10, 2026 3:20 pm Is snow continuing for everyone or is it raining down there?
Snowing up here again. Slowed down for a time but picking back up. Some melting on paved areas but otherwise continuing to slowly accumulate especially where there is already snow. Best snow of the season, and that's just kind of sad.
All rain down here. Guessing freezing level is up at 500m. Temp jumped up tp +5C, and now back to +3C under a heavy rain shower.
PortKells wrote: Tue Mar 10, 2026 3:08 pm That's just a silly take from what I can see. It will warm up for a period in the afternoon but temps plummet again. The only model I could find that gets to a significant amount of rain was the 18Z Hrrr. A lot of it is sleet and ice. Very inconsistent with the others, The HRDPS, Nam, and the non mesos all appear to support snow for 1000ft and up.
Temp profiles at 850mb suggests a temp jump to 1-2C tomorrow while the heaviest precip is occuring. This plummets to 600m with lighter precip after the FROPA.
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Re: March 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Wasn't at home to personally confirm, but I heard we picked up 2cm in east Coquitlam this morning. :thumbup: :flakey:

Score! :clap: :flakey:
IMG-20260310-WA0002.jpg
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Re: March 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

wetcoast91 wrote: Tue Mar 10, 2026 3:27 pm All rain down here. Guessing freezing level is up at 500m. Temp jumped up tp +5C, and now back to +3C under a heavy rain shower.



Temp profiles at 850mb suggests a temp jump to 1-2C tomorrow while the heaviest precip is occuring. This plummets to 600m with lighter precip after the FROPA.
So the mesoscale models can't pick up on the difference in precipitation from that change? I'm genuinely curious. You've been nailing it all winter so I should know better than to doubt lol. I'm not going to the locals anyways, going to Manning Thursday for that surefire powder.
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Re: March 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Storm »

Tomorrow morning
hrrr-ref1km_ptype-ca_w-2026031021-18.png
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Re: March 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

PortKells wrote: Tue Mar 10, 2026 3:34 pm So the mesoscale models can't pick up on the difference in precipitation from that change? I'm genuinely curious. You've been nailing it all winter so I should know better than to doubt lol. I'm not going to the locals anyways, going to Manning Thursday for that surefire powder.
He's trolling you Kells :lol: he's on a roll this winter believe in karma perhaps next winter ☃️ ❄️ enjoy the sure thing @ Manning park. :thumbup:
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Re: March 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Typeing3 wrote: Tue Mar 10, 2026 3:32 pm Wasn't at home to personally confirm, but I heard we picked up 2cm in east Coquitlam this morning. :thumbup: :flakey:

Score! :clap: :flakey:

IMG-20260310-WA0002.jpg
Nice score Tea man nada @ the lake my curse continues. :sick:
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Re: March 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

18Z HRDPS pulled the rug on tonight’s snow chances.
hrdps-vancouverski-snow_12hr_cm-3255600.png
18Z NAM 3km shows a little light gray over parts of the eastern metro area. Consolation flurries?
nam-nest-vancouverski-snow_12hr_cm-3255600.png
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It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: March 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Looks like it even turned to rain and melted in Squamish.
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It's called clown range for a reason.
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