February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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PortKells
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

You can do this EPS...
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Typeing3 wrote: Wed Feb 08, 2023 2:27 am 00z GFS ensembles:
ens_image (63).png
00z ECMWF ensembles:
ens_image (64).png
00z GEM ensembles:
ens_image (65).png
:clown: Ensemble means around that magic -7 mark where precip type starts to get interesting at sea level.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: Wed Feb 08, 2023 11:08 am Already been there, done that. It’s helped, but it’s not perfect.

Best thing for me was getting out of the Willamette Valley. They grow 80 to 90 percent of the world's lawn grass seed, and three lawn grass species grown there rank on the list of the top 10 most allergenic pollens known.
Move to the Similkameenz. I heard that there are no allergens there... and it snows a lot. It's a magical place!

;)
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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PortKells
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Cold enough for sea level depending on precip timing.
ecmwf-ensemble-avg-or_wa-t850-6440800.png
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Catnip »

:dunno:

Too far out in :14clown: land to get excited about... but some long range Ensembles are showing perhaps one last kick at the can.
geps_z500a_d5_noram_384.png
gefs_z500a_d5_noram_384.png
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*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

EPS playing catch up :clap:

Presentation3.thumb.gif.aa6a00b3a734217fb8be8bbc9155167b.gif
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Pumpkin Seed
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Pumpkin Seed »

PortKells wrote: Wed Feb 08, 2023 11:29 am Cold enough for sea level depending on precip timing.

ecmwf-ensemble-avg-or_wa-t850-6440800.png
Even if it falls as snow at sea level, I believe that the surface will be too warm for any accumulation. So I can tell that this winter is over.
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Pumpkin Seed wrote: Wed Feb 08, 2023 12:19 pm Even if it falls as snow at sea level, I believe that the surface will be too warm for any accumulation. So I can tell that this winter is over.
Looks like that won't be the main event of this troughing period.
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

12z GFS ensembles:
ens_image (3).png
12z ECMWF ensembles:
ens_image (4).png
12z GEM ensembles:
ens_image (5).png
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:typing: :type3:
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

20230208211128-535e77aef603211bcae61b0c6a16fe49363faaff.png
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:typing: :type3:
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

Random heavy rain shower in Richmond with wind gusts that lasted 2 mins.
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Weather101 wrote: Wed Feb 08, 2023 2:50 pm Random heavy rain shower in Richmond with wind gusts that lasted 2 mins.
Today is an in-office day for me, and I did not ride in with rain gear, virtually guaranteeing a thunderstorm or at least a heavy shower this evening. :problem:
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: Wed Feb 08, 2023 3:41 pm Today is an in-office day for me, and I did not ride in with rain gear, virtually guaranteeing a thunderstorm or at least a heavy shower this evening. :problem:
Seems how it always works for me as well lol I go into the office and think eh I'll not drive today, Boom heavy rainshower lol
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

The spaghetti for Prince George is pretty convincing that there's something coming for BC. Will it reach the coast is the question.
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by tyweather »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: Wed Feb 08, 2023 3:41 pm Today is an in-office day for me, and I did not ride in with rain gear, virtually guaranteeing a thunderstorm or at least a heavy shower this evening. :problem:
The commutes were dry. Log your rides for Go by Bike Week this week at https://gobybikebc.ca/
Why not try cycling to work, grocery store, anywhere!
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