November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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HarrisonSasquatchWx
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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Typeing3 wrote: Fri Nov 26, 2021 11:17 pm Maybe a freeze by Friday. They've been few and far between so far this fall.
gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_26.png
Ah the good ole Rocky mountain high sliding off to the east. :roll:
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

00z HRDPS total rainfall thru Sunday 4pm. About 25-100mm across the mainland depending on location.
hrdps_apcpn_nwus_48.png
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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

00z 3km WRF-GFS total rainfall through Sunday 4pm.

75-125mm across most of the mainland, except less over W/SW sections.
pcp48.48.0000.gif
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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Typeing3 wrote: Sat Nov 27, 2021 12:21 am 00z 3km WRF-GFS total rainfall through Sunday 4pm.

75-125mm across most of the mainland, except less over W/SW sections.

pcp48.48.0000.gif
Yikes!
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

tyweather wrote: Fri Nov 26, 2021 1:27 pm We had 2 weeks of ridge with fog and heavy frost. The 2nd half of the month featured some small snowfalls around Christmas. That year the mountains had a lot of snow in November though.
Love the ole bike shots Ty my man, miss those days.
Hrard about an active shooter in Vanderhoof on Thursday shot up the RCMP detachment. :crazy:
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

SouthSardiswx wrote: Sat Nov 27, 2021 12:35 amYikes!
Indeed. Potential for 150-250mm in the mountains north of the Fraser spanning the entire lower mainland from West Vancouver all the way east towards Hope from tomorrow morning thru late Sunday. Increases runnoff with the high snow levels.
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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Forrest Gump wrote: Fri Nov 26, 2021 11:09 am How's the situation at Sumas lake, Hwy 1 still open? Not that I'll travel on it anytime soon.

Nothing but blue skies right now :shock:
As of Friday evening @ 8p.m. Grumps there's many spots where the water is only afew mm from over topping hiway 1 between West of Yale rd west and Whatcom rd l wouldn't be surprised if they shut er down again Saturday evening.
We need a very long stretch of dry day's and as we know that won't happen this time of year.
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

And there's goes the 06Z GooFasS again off the rails again. :drunk: :eek: :bs:
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Omg look at that AR disaster GFS is showing around Dec 11 and 12 :shock: :shock:
If that verifies we're going to get flooded off the map. Only 14 days away!!
Last edited by Hawk on Sat Nov 27, 2021 6:42 am, edited 1 time in total.
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by John »

Hawk wrote: Sat Nov 27, 2021 3:59 am Omg look at that a disaster GFS is showing around Dec 11 and 12 :shock: :shock:
If that verifies we're going to get flooded off the map. Only 14 days away!!
:thumbdown: :eh:
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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by tyweather »

SouthSardiswx wrote: Sat Nov 27, 2021 12:39 am Love the ole bike shots Ty my man, miss those days.
Hrard about an active shooter in Vanderhoof on Thursday shot up the RCMP detachment. :crazy:
Quite the crazy story. My father inlaw was on lockdown downtown.
Why not try cycling to work, grocery store, anywhere!
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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Well im hoping for the best for all people living in flood/landslide prone areas. This next 14 days looks to bring up to 4 more AR events, with 2 or 3 of this likely to be catastrophically significant..I really hope the models are wrong, and good thing the last 2 AR's are several days away so hopefully the models are #modelfail :nocomment: :nocomment:
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

I also should add that if Hwy3 gets pumbled with these AR's, i hope no further slides/washouts otherwise we will be completely shut down in our own little bubble for months :thumbdown: :thumbdown:
Expect prices to rise again :sorry: :sorry: , especially anything to do with transport. Oh wait, that includes everything :roll: :roll:
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

:dunno:
BA4599CB-5A20-4DB0-8AD3-A6B0FBDE7974.jpeg
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*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

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#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

:dunno:
749BE2CC-4009-41CB-8932-F7A597EC7470.jpeg
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

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#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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