October 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather101 · Post by **Weather101** » Sat Oct 17, 2020 12:04 pm

We will see, Still only October I would be okay with chilly weather and frosty mornings.

Post by **Bonovox** » Sat Oct 17, 2020 12:18 pm

Even better.

Rubus_Leucodermis · Post by **Rubus_Leucodermis** » Sat Oct 17, 2020 1:46 pm

Monty wrote: ↑Sat Oct 17, 2020 12:33 am Slippery commute on Election Day.

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Weather model porn if there ever was any.

Rubus_Leucodermis · Post by **Rubus_Leucodermis** » Sat Oct 17, 2020 1:50 pm

Bonovox wrote: ↑Sat Oct 17, 2020 12:00 pm I'm still convinced something interesting evolves out of this pattern next weekend. Maybe not for us, but still interesting to track.

At this stage IÃ¢â‚¬â„¢m convinced itÃ¢â‚¬â„¢s going to be colder next weekend. Exactly how much colder, I have no idea. I would rate snow a long-shot.

Weather101 · Post by **Weather101** » Sat Oct 17, 2020 2:16 pm

NAM looks good.

Storm · Post by **Storm** » Sat Oct 17, 2020 3:03 pm

Weather101 wrote: ↑Sat Oct 17, 2020 2:16 pm NAM looks good.

NAM looks NAMish

Post by **Abby_wx** » Sat Oct 17, 2020 3:05 pm

I can't help thinking of the Nov 2, 2017 event... just not quite cold enough, mostly cold rain despite the outflow.

Weather101 · Post by **Weather101** » Sat Oct 17, 2020 4:23 pm

Storm wrote: ↑Sat Oct 17, 2020 3:03 pmNAM looks NAMish

Monty · Post by **Monty** » Sat Oct 17, 2020 4:26 pm

Abby_wx wrote: ↑Sat Oct 17, 2020 3:05 pm I can't help thinking of the Nov 2, 2017 event... just not quite cold enough, mostly cold rain despite the outflow.

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Post by **Bonovox** » Sat Oct 17, 2020 4:48 pm

18z GFS takes away the Puget Sound snowstorm, but north Vancouver Island gets clobbered.

wetcoast91 · Post by **wetcoast91** » Sat Oct 17, 2020 4:53 pm

Can we not do an early cold snap? My tomato plant is still producing.

Post by **Bonovox** » Sat Oct 17, 2020 4:55 pm

wetcoast91 wrote: ↑Sat Oct 17, 2020 4:53 pm Can we not do an early cold snap? My tomato plan ia still producing.

How about we give you until Oct 24th?

Monty · Post by **Monty** » Sat Oct 17, 2020 4:57 pm

wetcoast91 wrote: ↑Sat Oct 17, 2020 4:53 pm Can we not do an early cold snap? My tomato plan ia still producing.

Mine are all finished. Too wet! They went brown and mushy over the past couple weeks.

Post by **Bonovox** » Sat Oct 17, 2020 4:58 pm

18z Ensembles.

Post by **Abby_wx** » Sat Oct 17, 2020 5:30 pm

Monty wrote: ↑Sat Oct 17, 2020 4:26 pm

3935DFD2-B670-4F2C-AC22-8E2754273246.jpeg

As I recall there was 1-2 cm of wet snow, after about 25 mm of cold rain. I was just pointing it out because it felt like a perfect setup for a decent snowfall, but there's no such thing as a perfect setup this early in the season. It was also 8 days later than the event modelled for next week...

I'd call it a win if we just saw snow in the air next weekend. Getting sticking snow below 500 feet would be like winning the lottery.

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