December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Storm
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Storm »

Hawk, Hawk2 who is who?
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

I am the original HAWK! Hawk2 is my other login to confuse my buttees that arent admins 8-)
Sorry about that :shifty:
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Canuck »

I thought this was supposed to be a good winter for a change? Guess I forgot the year is 2020.
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VanCitySouth
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

wetcoast91 wrote: ↑Sat Dec 05, 2020 11:17 pm Only took a few runs but models now solidly converging on wet and mild the next 7-10 days. This dry spell was nice...
I see 4C rain on this morning's GFS and GEM, I don't know if I would call that mild :?: :?: :?:
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Climo :cancel: ∞ to 0.5 :14clown: GFS

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Peak depth: 0.5 cm (01/07/2026)
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

VanCitySouth wrote: ↑Sun Dec 06, 2020 11:18 am I see 4C rain on this morning's GFS and GEM, I don't know if I would call that mild :?: :?: :?:
NFS warm bias.
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

Typeing3 wrote: ↑Sun Dec 06, 2020 10:24 am Who's been hyping up this winter?
hmmmm :think: 1950 baby !!
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Weather101 wrote: ↑Sun Dec 06, 2020 11:50 am hmmmm :think: 1950 baby !!
The american forum? Yeah I see your point. :lol:
:typing: :type3:
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Canuck wrote: ↑Sun Dec 06, 2020 11:11 am I thought this was supposed to be a good winter for a change? Guess I forgot the year is 2020.
I know this isn't an ideal pattern but there are some decently encouraging trends. Don't lose hope just yet, its only the 6th.
ecmwf-ensemble-avg-nhemi-z500_anom-8552000.png
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

Typeing3 wrote: ↑Sun Dec 06, 2020 12:18 pm The american forum? Yeah I see your point. :lol:
Haha yeah and I think Abby jr said many times this winter will be special due to everything in place.

The American forum does that every year tho :lol:
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

I hate relying on the CMC operational but...
cmc-ensemble-all-avg-pna-box-7256000.png
And the Euro aint bad, even the ensemble.
ecmwf-ensemble-nhem-avg-pna-box-7256000.png
This is the first batch of model trends that haven't sucked in about 5 days :thumbup: Cheer up folks :!:
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

PortKells wrote: ↑Sun Dec 06, 2020 12:47 pm I hate relying on the CMC operational but...

cmc-ensemble-all-avg-pna-box-7256000.png

And the Euro aint bad, even the ensemble.

ecmwf-ensemble-nhem-avg-pna-box-7256000.png

This is the first batch of model trends that haven't sucked in about 5 days :thumbup: Cheer up folks :!:
How do the EPO and NAO plots look?
:typing: :type3:
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

ecmwf-ensemble-nhem-avg-nao-box-7256000.png
ecmwf-ensemble-nhem-avg-epo-box-7256000.png
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Storm »

Nito
https://twitter.com/judah47/status/1335 ... 56128?s=19
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

#fakenews
#winteriscancelled
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Nito is definitely going to comment on this 18z, specifically how it is suddenly showing cold in the east. We do get a brief backdoor shot ourselves.
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