February 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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PortKells
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Re: February 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

GFS and CMC ensembles actually try to bring back -PNA and GOA ridging. A little unconvincing but something to keep an eye on? Nito??
gfs-ensemble-all-avg-namer-z500_anom-1003200.png
cmc-ensemble-all-avg-namer-z500_anom-1003200.png
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Hawk
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Re: February 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

wetcoast91 wrote: Sat Feb 15, 2025 8:21 am Still feels like winter. 1.8C and light rain. :thumbup:
mixed precip tonight for the hills..maybe even some slushy accumulations! :shock: :shock:
EC keeps it relatively chilly the next 2-3 days

EC is #1! :thumbup:
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
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Hawk
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Re: February 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

PortKells wrote: Sat Feb 15, 2025 11:42 am Euro and GFS still get us to a chilly place. The torching won't last at least.

ecmwf-deterministic-namer-t850_anom_stream-0916800.pnggfs-deterministic-namer-t850_anom_stream-1003200.png
tell em PK!! 8-)
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
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HarrisonSasquatchWx
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Re: February 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

PortKells wrote: Sat Feb 15, 2025 11:42 am Euro and GFS still get us to a chilly place. The torching won't last at least.

ecmwf-deterministic-namer-t850_anom_stream-0916800.pnggfs-deterministic-namer-t850_anom_stream-1003200.png
But Neetzz says it BBQ time. :o
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wetcoast91
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Re: February 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Hawk wrote: Sat Feb 15, 2025 11:53 am mixed precip tonight for the hills..maybe even some slushy accumulations! :shock: :shock:
EC keeps it relatively chilly the next 2-3 days

EC is #1! :thumbup:
EC called for flurries and mixed precip this morning when the snow level was at 600m.
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Re: February 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

PortKells wrote: Sat Feb 15, 2025 11:53 am GFS and CMC ensembles actually try to bring back -PNA and GOA ridging. A little unconvincing but something to keep an eye on? Nito??

gfs-ensemble-all-avg-namer-z500_anom-1003200.pngcmc-ensemble-all-avg-namer-z500_anom-1003200.png
March 2002! Lets go! :silent: :wave:
Central Abbotsford
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2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm

:team: :snowwindow: :snowman:
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Re: February 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

PortKells wrote: Sat Feb 15, 2025 11:53 am GFS and CMC ensembles actually try to bring back -PNA and GOA ridging. A little unconvincing but something to keep an eye on? Nito??

gfs-ensemble-all-avg-namer-z500_anom-1003200.pngcmc-ensemble-all-avg-namer-z500_anom-1003200.png
Mid to late March is the window. I have a feeling models will advertise it sooner but push it back.

CFS has been spitting out crazy runs.

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Re: February 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

AbbyJr wrote: Sat Feb 15, 2025 1:05 pm March 2002! Lets go! :silent: :wave:
I'm ready Jr. Man
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Re: February 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

I'm seeing the potential for a significant atmospheric river next weekend. Still a long ways to go but the Euro and GEM are both suggesting it. :wave: :raindrip:
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Re: February 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

AbbyJr wrote: Sat Feb 15, 2025 2:24 pm I'm seeing the potential for a significant atmospheric river next weekend. Still a long ways to go but the Euro and GEM are both suggesting it. :wave: :raindrip:
Do l need to start building the ark Jr. Man? at least I'll be the first sardine on board. :D :wave:
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Re: February 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

wetcoast91 wrote: Sat Feb 15, 2025 12:37 pm EC called for flurries and mixed precip this morning when the snow level was at 600m.
ummmm close enough! almost at Westwood Pl or Bby Mtn levels :think:
snow levels are not exactly :dance: :dance: like cmon Nito
cut EC some slack. Otherwsie they have nailed almost every snow/marginal event in the last 2 weeks.
Go EC go! :clap:
Last edited by Hawk on Sat Feb 15, 2025 2:45 pm, edited 1 time in total.
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
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Re: February 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

wetcoast91 wrote: Sat Feb 15, 2025 12:37 pm EC called for flurries and mixed precip this morning when the snow level was at 600m.
and precip intensity was not there :thumbdown:
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
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Re: February 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Hey Neetzzzo wet balls effect possibly in the central valley desert currently +4.6c dewpoint -4.0c :wave: :alert: :flakey:
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Re: February 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Abby_wx »

SouthSardiswx wrote: Sat Feb 15, 2025 3:15 pm Hey Neetzzzo wet balls effect possibly in the central valley desert currently +4.6c dewpoint -4.0c :wave: :alert: :flakey:
Yeah, the air is drier than I thought it would be. It sprinkled light rain for a bit, but I've had virga for most of the afternoon.
:dragon:

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Low min: -5.0C (Feb 20th)
Low max: 2.8C (Feb 19th)
Snowfall: 3 cm
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Re: February 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Canada Goose »

Want snow? Move to Japan! :D

Snow depths recorded last week:

750 cm Gassan Ubasawa [1,150 m]
693 cm Minakami [2,040 m]
634 cm Arai
620 cm Hakuba/Happo-one
620 cm Tengendai Kogen
560 cm Charmant Hiuichi [800 m]
496 cm Shizu [700 m]
470 cm Matsunoyama [446 m]
465 cm Sukayu
408 cm Nagaoka

https://x.com/ThierryGooseBC/status/1890907297666244910
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